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Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-109
31-29 31-26 23-25 26-29
Position#28
Record15-52
FormWWLLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game118.5
vs
Position#3
Record47-21
FormLLLWW
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Boston Celtics
02 Nov 2026
HOU109
BOS93
04 Feb 2026
HOU93
BOS114
03 Jan 2025
HOU86
BOS109
21 Jan 2024
HOU107
BOS116
13 Mar 2023
HOU111
BOS109
24 Oct 2021
HOU97
BOS107
14 Mar 2021
HOU107
BOS134
28 Jul 2020
HOU137
BOS112
11 Feb 2020
HOU116
BOS105
27 Dec 2018
HOU127
BOS113
03 Mar 2018
HOU123
BOS120
05 Dec 2016
HOU107
BOS106
16 Nov 2015
HOU95
BOS111
01 Nov 2014
HOU104
BOS90
19 Nov 2013
HOU109
BOS85
14 Dec 2012
HOU101
BOS89
18 Mar 2011
HOU93
BOS77
19 Mar 2010
HOU87
BOS94
04 Nov 2008
HOU99
BOS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
96-133
96
133
-37
78avg 102
A16/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
101-116
101
116
-15
88avg 102
A25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
114-131
114
131
-17
100avg 102
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
112-133
112
133
-21
105avg 102
H01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
99-113
99
113
-14
83avg 102
H02/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
122-110
122
110
+12
119avg 102
A05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
142-110
142
110
+32
144avg 102
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
96-118
96
118
-22
83avg 102
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
125-134 OT
125
134
-9
108avg 102
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
111-119
111
119
-8
102avg 102
H12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-38
33-38
24-40
18-17
26-26
23-40
28-20
24-30
31-32
27-41
30-29
26-29
30-41
24-33
30-32
28-27
19-25
25-22
24-38
31-28
29-32
41-36
25-22
27-20
38-24
35-39
35-24
34-23
32-27
22-32
24-33
18-26
27-38
31-26
33-34
24-17
32-22
23-32
40-33
16-32
233.5Avg total
111.8Scored
121.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)110.3118.5228.7-8.222%
Season at home (33)110.1115.2225.2-5.127%
Season away (34)110.4121.7232.1-11.218%
Last 10 (10)111.8121.7233.5-9.920%
Last 5 (5)119.2118.2237.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)109.2122.8232.0-13.58%
vs Similar (5)122.4117.4239.8+5.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 111
H16/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
142-138 OT
142
138
+4
139avg 111
A24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
110-107
110
107
+3
101avg 111
A26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
94-109
94
109
-15
81avg 111
A28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
117-113
117
113
+4
116avg 111
H02/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
105-115
105
115
-10
102avg 111
H04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
129-131 OT
129
131
-2
115avg 111
H06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
114-118 OT
114
118
-4
101avg 111
A07/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
115-93
115
93
+22
108avg 111
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
134-125
134
125
+9
132avg 111
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
35-25
31-38
30-20
34-31
34-27
32-39
25-28
28-30
22-26
30-22
30-29
15-27
31-33
29-28
19-21
26-28
29-24
41-26
21-35
37-15
27-40
20-34
21-26
34-31
27-23
26-34
26-25
33-26
35-30
24-22
17-31
35-28
25-17
34-27
21-21
37-38
34-23
30-28
33-36
234.5Avg total
118.7Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)117.9112.4230.2+5.569%
Season at home (35)120.7111.9232.6+8.774%
Season away (33)114.8112.8227.7+2.064%
Last 10 (10)118.7115.8234.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)119.4116.4235.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)114.6115.2229.8-0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)118.0109.4227.3+8.681%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
Houston RocketsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A16/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
54-74
54
74
-20
H01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H02/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H12/03
NBA
121.3Avg total
56.9Scored
64.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.962.4119.3-5.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.358.7115.1-2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)57.466.1123.5-8.727%-
Last 10 (10)56.964.4121.3-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)62.061.6123.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)55.462.4117.8-6.928%-
vs Similar (5)64.062.8126.8+1.280%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H16/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H02/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A07/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A12/03
NBA
115.7Avg total
60.9Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.454.7115.1+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.352.7113.0+7.780%-
Last 30 away (15)60.556.7117.3+3.860%-
Last 10 (10)60.954.8115.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)64.854.2119.0+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)58.155.9114.0+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)61.454.2115.6+7.271%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.832.4
51.6%
54.5%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.8
34.1%
35.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.117.6
73.0%
78.1%17.6
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.427.5
55.7%
54.5%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.216.4
38.9%
35.8%49.2
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
78.1%14.5
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLWWLLLLL
Boston Celtics
WWLLLWLWWW
#28
League position
#3
-9.8
Net rating
+2.8
110.1
Offensive rating
115.6
119.9
Defensive rating
112.7
51.5%
Effective FG%
56.9%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.3%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.1%
3-point %
38.9%
55.0%
Assist %
61.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 115.6Defence119.9 · 112.7Shooting51.5% · 56.9%3-point %34.1% · 38.9%Ball care13.5% · 12.3%Off. rebounds29.0% · 22.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Houston Rockets wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HChicago Bulls111-119
10/03/23AIndiana Pacers125-134 OT
08/03/23HBrooklyn Nets96-118
06/03/23HSan Antonio Spurs142-110
05/03/23ASan Antonio Spurs122-110
02/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies99-113
01/03/23HDenver Nuggets112-133
27/02/23APortland Trail Blazers114-131
25/02/23AGolden State Warriors101-116
16/02/23AOklahoma City Thunder96-133
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AAtlanta Hawks134-125
09/03/23HPortland Trail Blazers115-93
07/03/23ACleveland Cavaliers114-118 OT
06/03/23HNew York Knicks129-131 OT
04/03/23HBrooklyn Nets105-115
02/03/23HCleveland Cavaliers117-113
28/02/23ANew York Knicks94-109
26/02/23APhiladelphia 76ers110-107
24/02/23AIndiana Pacers142-138 OT
16/02/23HDetroit Pistons127-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL22%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673334
Win %22%27%18%
Points / game110.3110.1110.4
Allowed / game118.5115.2121.7
Point differential-8.2-5.1-11.2
Avg total228.7225.2232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%9%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)29% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW69%
HomeWWLLW74%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683533
Win %69%74%64%
Points / game117.9120.7114.8
Allowed / game112.4111.9112.8
Point differential+5.5+8.7+2.0
Avg total230.2232.6227.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%46%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)50% (10)67% (9)
Overtime %16%17%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks67481972%115.9111.9+4.0
2 Boston Celtics68472169%117.9112.4+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets68462268%116.9113.0+3.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers67452267%115.0110.7+4.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers70432761%112.0106.7+5.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies67412661%115.6111.6+4.1
7 Sacramento Kings66402661%121.2118.3+2.9
8 Brooklyn Nets68392957%113.9113.0+0.9
9 New York Knicks70403057%115.0112.3+2.7
10 Phoenix Suns67373055%113.4111.2+2.2
11 Miami Heat70373353%108.7109.5-0.8
12 Los Angeles Clippers69363352%112.5112.5+0.0
13 Golden State Warriors68353351%118.1117.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves69353451%115.7115.7-0.0
15 Dallas Mavericks69343549%113.5113.1+0.4
16 Atlanta Hawks69343549%117.2117.5-0.3
17 Oklahoma City Thunder68333549%117.8116.3+1.5
18 New Orleans Pelicans68333549%114.0113.3+0.7
19 Los Angeles Lakers68333549%116.6117.2-0.6
20 Utah Jazz69333648%117.2117.2-0.0
21 Toronto Raptors68323647%112.4112.2+0.2
22 Chicago Bulls67313646%113.2112.4+0.7
23 Washington Wizards68313746%112.9113.4-0.5
24 Portland Trail Blazers68313746%114.6115.8-1.3
25 Indiana Pacers69313845%115.5117.9-2.4
26 Orlando Magic68284041%111.6114.3-2.7
27 Charlotte Hornets70224831%111.8117.5-5.7
28 San Antonio Spurs67175025%112.0122.0-10.0
29 Detroit Pistons69165323%111.4118.6-7.2
30 Houston Rockets67155222%110.3118.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets31312326111
Boston Celtics29262529109
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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