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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 116-104
36-39 28-24 28-23 24-18
Position#10
Record42-31
FormLLLWL
Points / game118.4
Allowed / game115.5
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
vs
Phoenix Suns
USA
Position#14
Record42-29
FormWWWLL
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game110.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns
31 Jan 2027
MIN v PHX
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIN v PHX
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
MIN116
PHX104
08 Dec 2025
MIN105
PHX108
16 Jul 2025
MIN89
PHX85
28 Mar 2025
MIN124
PHX109
17 Nov 2024
MIN120
PHX117
23 Apr 2024
MIN105
PHX93
20 Apr 2024
MIN120
PHX95
14 Apr 2024
MIN106
PHX125
13 Jan 2023
MIN121
PHX116
09 Nov 2022
MIN117
PHX129
23 Mar 2022
MIN116
PHX125
15 Nov 2021
MIN96
PHX99
28 Feb 2021
MIN99
PHX118
07 Apr 2020
MIN v PHX
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIN98
PHX100
20 Jan 2019
MIN116
PHX114
16 Dec 2017
MIN106
PHX108
26 Nov 2017
MIN119
PHX108
19 Dec 2016
MIN115
PHX108
17 Jul 2016
MIN93
PHX83
28 Mar 2016
MIN121
PHX116
17 Jan 2016
MIN117
PHX87
20 Feb 2015
MIN111
PHX109
07 Jan 2015
MIN111
PHX113
23 Mar 2014
MIN120
PHX127
08 Jan 2014
MIN103
PHX104
13 Apr 2013
MIN105
PHX93
29 Dec 2012
MIN111
PHX107
09 Apr 2012
MIN90
PHX114
06 Apr 2011
MIN98
PHX108
28 Mar 2010
MIN105
PHX111
27 Nov 2009
MIN95
PHX120
11 Apr 2009
MIN97
PHX110
26 Nov 2008
MIN102
PHX110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
124-121
124
121
+3
118avg 110
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 110
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
117-108
117
108
+9
116avg 110
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-110
117
110
+7
111avg 110
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
115-107
115
107
+8
110avg 110
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
92-119
92
119
-27
72avg 110
H07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
106-120
106
120
-14
99avg 110
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
128-153
128
153
-25
127avg 110
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
127-117
127
117
+10
127avg 110
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-116
103
116
-13
97avg 110
A15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
29-32
34-35
28-27
29-27
15-11
19-30
31-20
22-31
36-19
32-32
27-26
23-32
34-30
32-20
28-28
31-27
24-27
35-22
25-31
30-27
20-33
28-30
14-29
21-16
24-29
23-39
38-36
27-38
38-36
33-35
30-44
31-28
38-20
31-39
27-30
22-23
31-24
23-33
27-36
228.2Avg total
112.3Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)118.4115.5233.9+2.858%
Season at home (35)115.3111.5226.8+3.863%
Season away (38)121.2119.3240.4+1.953%
Last 10 (10)112.3115.9228.2-3.660%
Last 5 (5)111.2125.0236.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)113.2114.0227.2-0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (17)114.0116.7230.7-2.753%
vs Weaker (9)123.0116.6239.6+6.456%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 102
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
113-110
113
110
+3
103avg 102
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
114-103
114
103
+11
112avg 102
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
103-105
103
105
-2
90avg 102
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
118-116
118
116
+2
107avg 102
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
111-99
111
99
+12
106avg 102
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
129-114
129
114
+15
128avg 102
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
113avg 102
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
115-122
115
122
-7
102avg 102
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
112-120
112
120
-8
103avg 102
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
20-29
11-30
24-17
22-27
27-22
31-31
33-30
22-30
37-25
31-20
24-28
20-24
30-31
27-28
26-22
26-29
32-23
34-29
26-35
28-30
32-28
21-19
30-22
36-30
26-35
38-32
29-17
36-36
31-25
29-27
27-20
28-30
34-29
30-27
23-36
32-31
29-34
25-26
26-29
221.3Avg total
111.9Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)113.0110.6223.6+2.459%
Season at home (38)111.8108.4220.2+3.363%
Season away (33)114.3113.1227.4+1.255%
Last 10 (10)111.9109.4221.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)118.0112.6230.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)103.0111.0214.0-8.029%
vs Similar ◀ (14)108.6111.1219.7-2.643%
vs Weaker (9)116.8107.7224.4+9.189%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
69-48
69
48
+21
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A15/03
NBA
109.5Avg total
55.8Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.855.1112.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.754.9112.6+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)57.955.3113.2+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)55.853.7109.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)56.454.8111.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.555.2105.8-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.954.7111.6+2.259%-
vs Weaker (9)62.855.8118.6+7.067%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A16/03
NBA
114.3Avg total
57.4Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.457.3113.7-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.253.7106.9-0.541%-
Last 30 away (13)60.562.0122.5-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)57.456.9114.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)62.461.6124.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.959.9116.7-3.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.656.8109.4-4.229%-
vs Weaker (9)62.056.1118.1+5.978%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.727.6
57.9%
54.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.811.8
34.9%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws25.719.7
76.7%
78.1%19.7
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.2
53.6%
54.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.517.0
38.2%
35.8%51.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
78.1%16.5
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLLWWWWW
Phoenix Suns
LLWWWWLWWL
#10
League position
#14
-3.8
Net rating
+2.6
110.4
Offensive rating
116.7
114.2
Defensive rating
114.1
55.6%
Effective FG%
55.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.0%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.9%
3-point %
38.2%
58.1%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 116.7Defence114.2 · 114.1Shooting55.6% · 55.5%3-point %34.9% · 38.2%Ball care15.1% · 12.0%Off. rebounds21.9% · 28.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
2
Phoenix Suns wins
DateGameScore
09/12/25Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns105-108
22/11/25Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves114-113
16/07/25Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns89-85
29/03/25Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns124-109
03/03/25Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves98-116
30/01/25Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves113-121
17/11/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns120-117
29/04/24Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves116-122
27/04/24Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves109-126
23/04/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns105-93
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder103-116
14/03/26AGolden State Warriors127-117
12/03/26ALos Angeles Clippers128-153
11/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers106-120
07/03/26HOrlando Magic92-119
06/03/26HToronto Raptors115-107
04/03/26HMemphis Grizzlies117-110
01/03/26ADenver Nuggets117-108
27/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers94-88
25/02/26APortland Trail Blazers124-121
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26ABoston Celtics112-120
13/03/26AToronto Raptors115-122
12/03/26AIndiana Pacers123-108
11/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks129-114
09/03/26HCharlotte Hornets111-99
07/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans118-116
06/03/26HChicago Bulls103-105
04/03/26ASacramento Kings114-103
27/02/26HLos Angeles Lakers113-110
25/02/26HBoston Celtics81-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWLWWL63%
AwayWLLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733538
Win %58%63%53%
Points / game118.4115.3121.2
Allowed / game115.5111.5119.3
Point differential+2.8+3.8+1.9
Avg total233.9226.8240.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%37%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (21)55% (11)30% (10)
Overtime %7%3%11%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeLWLWW63%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713833
Win %59%63%55%
Points / game113.0111.8114.3
Allowed / game110.6108.4113.1
Point differential+2.4+3.3+1.2
Avg total223.6220.2227.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (23)62% (16)29% (7)
Overtime %4%5%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder73571678%117.6108.0+9.5
2 San Antonio Spurs70521874%119.2111.8+7.4
3 Detroit Pistons72512171%117.2109.9+7.3
4 Boston Celtics72482467%114.6107.0+7.5
5 New York Knicks73472664%116.1110.0+6.1
6 Houston Rockets71452663%114.8110.4+4.4
7 Denver Nuggets73442960%119.9116.1+3.8
8 Los Angeles Lakers73442960%115.2114.6+0.6
9 Phoenix Suns71422959%113.0110.6+2.4
10 Orlando Magic70412959%116.1113.9+2.2
11 Cleveland Cavaliers72423058%118.8115.1+3.7
12 Toronto Raptors72423058%113.8111.9+2.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves73423158%118.4115.5+2.8
14 Atlanta Hawks72393354%117.8116.9+0.9
15 Philadelphia 76ers72383453%114.9115.8-0.9
16 Miami Heat74383651%119.6117.1+2.5
17 Los Angeles Clippers71363551%113.0112.1+0.9
18 Charlotte Hornets74373750%116.1112.8+3.4
19 Golden State Warriors73363749%115.3114.4+0.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers73343947%115.4117.7-2.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks71314044%111.4115.8-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls73314242%116.3120.0-3.7
23 Dallas Mavericks73264736%113.2117.3-4.1
24 Memphis Grizzlies72244833%115.7119.3-3.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans71234832%115.9120.0-4.1
26 Utah Jazz72215129%117.6125.1-7.6
27 Sacramento Kings73195426%111.0120.5-9.6
28 Brooklyn Nets71185325%107.0115.8-8.7
29 Washington Wizards71175424%112.7123.3-10.6
30 Indiana Pacers73175623%111.4120.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves36282824116
Phoenix Suns39242318104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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