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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 110-108 (OT)
23-19 21-24 26-25 25-27 15-13
Position#10
Record45-32
FormLWWLW
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game114.9
vs
Position#7
Record47-28
FormLLWWL
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
19 Jul 2025
MIN101
HOU104
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
115-107
115
107
+8
110avg 110
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
92-119
92
119
-27
72avg 110
H07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
106-120
106
120
-14
99avg 110
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
128-153
128
153
-25
127avg 110
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
127-117
127
117
+10
127avg 110
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-116
103
116
-13
97avg 110
A15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
116-104
116
104
+12
115avg 110
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
147-111
147
111
+36
149avg 110
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-108
104
108
-4
88avg 110
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
102-92
102
92
+10
98avg 110
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
24-27
35-22
25-31
30-27
20-33
28-30
14-29
21-16
24-29
23-39
38-36
27-38
38-36
33-35
30-44
31-28
38-20
31-39
27-30
22-23
31-24
23-33
27-36
36-39
28-24
28-23
24-18
43-31
29-27
38-26
37-27
28-33
31-35
27-19
18-21
14-23
33-21
29-33
26-15
228.7Avg total
114.0Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)118.3114.9233.2+3.458%
Season at home (38)115.9111.2227.1+4.763%
Season away (39)120.7118.6239.2+2.154%
Last 10 (10)114.0114.7228.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)114.4106.2220.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)112.8111.2224.0+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)112.9114.1227.0-1.259%
vs Weaker (9)123.9117.1241.0+6.856%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
106-99
106
99
+7
104avg 107
H07/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
120-145
120
145
-25
110avg 107
A09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
113-99
113
99
+14
110avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
93-129
93
129
-36
78avg 107
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
107-105
107
105
+2
99avg 107
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 107
H17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
116-124
116
124
-8
107avg 107
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
117-95
117
95
+22
121avg 107
H21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
123-122
123
122
+1
124avg 107
H22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
124-132
124
132
-8
115avg 107
A24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
30-22
20-26
29-17
33-32
24-37
37-41
26-35
29-29
29-20
28-34
27-16
20-24
27-29
22-40
24-36
28-24
29-25
23-23
27-33
28-29
29-22
23-32
12-17
26-35
29-32
37-22
24-35
35-27
27-27
39-22
16-19
32-29
32-34
23-33
36-26
21-41
27-24
39-30
37-37
226.1Avg total
111.1Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)115.1110.8225.9+4.363%
Season at home (37)114.1107.8221.8+6.373%
Season away (38)116.0113.8229.8+2.353%
Last 10 (10)111.1115.0226.1-3.950%
Last 5 (5)114.4114.6229.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)112.0106.0218.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)106.0111.8217.8-5.843%
vs Weaker (15)114.3108.3222.5+6.067%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
69-48
69
48
+21
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/03
NBA
114.0Avg total
57.9Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.055.7113.6+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.156.4116.4+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)55.654.9110.4+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)57.956.1114.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)59.056.0115.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.852.5104.2-0.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.155.6112.7+1.553%-
vs Weaker (9)62.357.2119.6+5.167%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H07/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A12/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H17/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A24/03
NBA
113.8Avg total
56.2Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.054.0109.1+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.253.2110.4+4.065%-
Last 30 away (13)52.255.2107.4-2.946%-
Last 10 (10)56.257.6113.8-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)57.260.0117.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.052.098.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.954.1106.9-1.250%-
vs Weaker (15)57.754.1111.8+3.567%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.428.4
55.3%
54.8%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.611.7
34.8%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws26.721.0
78.7%
78.1%21.0
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.932.7
58.5%
54.8%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.8
31.7%
35.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.116.3
73.8%
78.1%16.3
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWLWLLLW
Houston Rockets
LWWLLWLWLW
#10
League position
#7
+2.4
Net rating
-3.9
110.5
Offensive rating
112.3
108.1
Defensive rating
116.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.8%
3-point %
31.7%
59.1%
Assist %
60.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 112.3Defence108.1 · 116.2Shooting54.1% · 54.6%3-point %34.8% · 31.7%Ball care14.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds27.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26ABoston Celtics102-92
21/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers104-108
19/03/26HUtah Jazz147-111
18/03/26HPhoenix Suns116-104
15/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder103-116
14/03/26AGolden State Warriors127-117
12/03/26ALos Angeles Clippers128-153
11/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers106-120
07/03/26HOrlando Magic92-119
06/03/26HToronto Raptors115-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26AChicago Bulls124-132
22/03/26HMiami Heat123-122
21/03/26HAtlanta Hawks117-95
19/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers116-124
17/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers92-100
14/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans107-105
12/03/26ADenver Nuggets93-129
11/03/26HToronto Raptors113-99
09/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs120-145
07/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers106-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWLWWL63%
AwayLLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %58%63%54%
Points / game118.3115.9120.7
Allowed / game114.9111.2118.6
Point differential+3.4+4.7+2.1
Avg total233.2227.1239.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%39%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (22)50% (12)30% (10)
Overtime %6%3%10%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL63%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %63%73%53%
Points / game115.1114.1116.0
Allowed / game110.8107.8113.8
Point differential+4.3+6.3+2.3
Avg total225.9221.8229.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (24)67% (12)50% (12)
Overtime %9%5%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder77601778%117.8107.9+9.8
2 San Antonio Spurs75571876%119.6111.4+8.1
3 Detroit Pistons76542271%117.3109.9+7.4
4 Boston Celtics76512567%114.4106.9+7.5
5 New York Knicks76502666%116.3109.9+6.4
6 Houston Rockets75472863%115.1110.8+4.3
7 Denver Nuggets78483062%120.1115.9+4.2
8 Los Angeles Lakers78483062%115.6114.8+0.9
9 Cleveland Cavaliers77463160%118.7115.2+3.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves77453258%118.3114.9+3.4
11 Toronto Raptors76443258%114.4112.2+2.1
12 Phoenix Suns76433357%112.8110.5+2.2
13 Atlanta Hawks77433456%118.4116.9+1.5
14 Orlando Magic74413355%116.2114.4+1.7
15 Philadelphia 76ers77413653%115.5116.3-0.8
16 Charlotte Hornets77403752%116.6112.3+4.3
17 Los Angeles Clippers75383751%113.3112.2+1.1
18 Miami Heat78393950%119.6117.5+2.1
19 Golden State Warriors77374048%115.1114.8+0.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers77374048%115.7117.4-1.8
21 Milwaukee Bucks75324343%111.0116.1-5.1
22 Chicago Bulls77324542%116.6120.7-4.2
23 Dallas Mavericks76265034%113.8118.0-4.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans75255033%115.8119.5-3.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies77255232%115.3119.7-4.4
26 Utah Jazz77225529%117.6125.4-7.8
27 Sacramento Kings77205726%110.9121.1-10.2
28 Brooklyn Nets75185724%106.7115.9-9.2
29 Washington Wizards75185724%112.7123.4-10.7
30 Indiana Pacers77185923%112.1120.9-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minnesota Timberwolves2321262515110
Houston Rockets1924252713108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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