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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 94-124
23-35 23-21 25-38 23-30
Position#24
Record24-50
FormLLLLW
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game118.9
vs
Position#10
Record45-29
FormWLWWL
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game114.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
112-124
112
124
-12
107avg 103
A10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
120-112
120
112
+8
118avg 103
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
105-138
105
138
-33
97avg 103
H13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
130-120
130
120
+10
124avg 103
A15/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
111-129
111
129
-18
97avg 103
A17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
120-135
120
135
-15
115avg 103
H19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
131-138 OT
131
138
-7
117avg 103
H22/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
131-137 OT
131
137
-6
119avg 103
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
135-142
135
142
-7
125avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
100-93
100
93
+7
89avg 103
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-40
27-24
38-31
21-29
34-22
31-32
21-30
34-28
21-38
29-29
33-41
22-30
35-31
25-28
40-27
30-34
26-32
28-35
32-36
25-26
30-37
26-30
26-34
38-34
42-32
30-31
27-37
23-22
31-34
42-29
25-35
28-28
33-34
26-34
41-43
35-31
32-22
24-29
23-25
21-17
246.3Avg total
119.5Scored
126.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)113.9118.9232.8-5.132%
Season at home (37)115.3118.8234.1-3.538%
Season away (37)112.4119.1231.5-6.727%
Last 10 (10)119.5126.8246.3-7.330%
Last 5 (5)123.4129.0252.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)112.0122.2234.2-10.212%
vs Similar (4)117.5123.8241.2-6.250%
vs Weaker (2)122.0122.0244.0+0.050%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
106-120
106
120
-14
99avg 109
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
128-153
128
153
-25
127avg 109
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
127-117
127
117
+10
127avg 109
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-116
103
116
-13
97avg 109
A15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
116-104
116
104
+12
115avg 109
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
147-111
147
111
+36
149avg 109
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
104-108
104
108
-4
88avg 109
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
102-92
102
92
+10
98avg 109
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
95avg 109
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
87-109
87
109
-22
66avg 109
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
24-29
23-39
38-36
27-38
38-36
33-35
30-44
31-28
38-20
31-39
27-30
22-23
31-24
23-33
27-36
36-39
28-24
28-23
24-18
43-31
29-27
38-26
37-27
28-33
31-35
27-19
18-21
14-23
33-21
29-33
26-15
23-19
21-24
26-25
25-27
24-33
20-16
16-25
27-35
226.8Avg total
113.0Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)117.9114.4232.2+3.561%
Season at home (39)114.5110.4224.9+4.164%
Season away (35)121.6118.7240.3+2.857%
Last 10 (10)113.0113.8226.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)110.0105.6215.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8107.0210.8-3.250%
vs Similar (18)112.7113.8226.5-1.161%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)124.1115.9240.0+8.262%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A15/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H22/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A26/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A28/03
NBA
122.1Avg total
59.8Scored
62.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.962.4119.3-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.462.2117.5-6.823%-
Last 30 away (17)58.162.5120.6-4.535%-
Last 10 (10)59.862.3122.1-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)63.262.4125.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)55.962.0117.9-6.125%-
vs Similar (4)58.562.8121.2-4.250%-
vs Weaker (2)66.066.0132.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
69-48
69
48
+21
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H28/03
NBA
110.1Avg total
56.2Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.554.5112.0+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.355.2113.5+3.161%-
Last 30 away (12)56.353.3109.7+3.067%-
Last 10 (10)56.253.9110.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)53.252.4105.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.847.599.2+4.275%-
vs Similar (18)56.454.9111.3+1.556%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)62.957.0119.9+5.975%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.731.8
54.2%
54.8%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.1
37.5%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws25.319.6
77.5%
78.1%19.6
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.727.5
52.2%
54.8%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.111.6
33.0%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws25.319.6
77.5%
78.1%19.6
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLLLWLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLWWLWLL
#24
League position
#10
-6.8
Net rating
-1.0
110.7
Offensive rating
106.0
117.4
Defensive rating
107.0
54.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.5%
3-point %
33.0%
64.9%
Assist %
61.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 106.0Defence117.4 · 107.0Shooting54.9% · 51.1%3-point %37.5% · 33.0%Ball care13.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds20.5% · 27.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26APortland Trail Blazers100-93
26/03/26ADenver Nuggets135-142
24/03/26HGolden State Warriors131-137 OT
22/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers131-138 OT
19/03/26HAtlanta Hawks120-135
17/03/26ANew Orleans Pelicans111-129
15/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers130-120
13/03/26HCleveland Cavaliers105-138
13/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies120-112
10/03/26AAtlanta Hawks112-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HDetroit Pistons87-109
26/03/26HHouston Rockets110-108 OT
23/03/26ABoston Celtics102-92
21/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers104-108
19/03/26HUtah Jazz147-111
18/03/26HPhoenix Suns116-104
15/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder103-116
14/03/26AGolden State Warriors127-117
12/03/26ALos Angeles Clippers128-153
11/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers106-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayWWLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %32%38%27%
Points / game113.9115.3112.4
Allowed / game118.9118.8119.1
Point differential-5.1-3.5-6.7
Avg total232.8234.1231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)56% (9)38% (8)
Overtime %8%14%3%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL61%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743935
Win %61%64%57%
Points / game117.9114.5121.6
Allowed / game114.4110.4118.7
Point differential+3.5+4.1+2.8
Avg total232.2224.9240.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)58% (12)33% (9)
Overtime %5%3%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder73581579%118.5107.8+10.7
2 San Antonio Spurs73551875%119.5111.2+8.2
3 Detroit Pistons74542073%117.5109.5+8.0
4 Boston Celtics75502567%114.0106.9+7.1
5 Los Angeles Lakers73482566%116.6114.7+1.9
6 Denver Nuggets76482863%121.3116.6+4.7
7 New York Knicks73462763%116.6110.5+6.1
8 Cleveland Cavaliers74462862%119.4115.2+4.2
9 Houston Rockets74452961%114.4110.1+4.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves74452961%117.9114.4+3.5
11 Toronto Raptors73423158%114.5111.9+2.6
12 Phoenix Suns74423257%113.2110.7+2.5
13 Atlanta Hawks76433357%118.2116.2+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers75413455%116.1116.5-0.4
15 Miami Heat75403553%120.4117.8+2.6
16 Orlando Magic72383453%115.2115.0+0.2
17 Charlotte Hornets75393652%116.1111.7+4.3
18 Los Angeles Clippers75393652%114.0112.5+1.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers76383850%115.3116.1-0.8
20 Golden State Warriors75363948%114.9114.9-0.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks74294539%110.4116.9-6.4
22 Chicago Bulls75294639%116.3121.1-4.7
23 Memphis Grizzlies75255033%115.0119.3-4.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans76255133%115.1119.5-4.4
25 Dallas Mavericks74245032%113.9118.9-5.1
26 Utah Jazz75215428%117.4125.4-8.0
27 Sacramento Kings76195725%110.7121.1-10.4
28 Brooklyn Nets75185724%106.3115.4-9.1
29 Washington Wizards74175723%112.6124.0-11.4
30 Indiana Pacers75175823%112.2120.6-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2323252394
Minnesota Timberwolves35213830124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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