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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 95-115
26-34 22-23 27-32 20-26
Position#9
Record42-23
FormLWWLW
Points / game121.5
Allowed / game116.6
vs
Position#7
Record37-29
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game109.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
129-115
129
115
+14
126avg 113
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
100-123
100
123
-23
94avg 113
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
125-116
125
116
+9
130avg 113
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 113
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-119
134
119
+15
135avg 113
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
96avg 113
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
116-110
116
110
+6
111avg 113
H06/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
149-141 OT
149
141
+8
153avg 113
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-127
103
127
-24
87avg 113
A09/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
140-127
140
127
+13
144avg 113
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-30
28-28
33-38
30-19
31-38
23-25
33-33
13-27
36-28
28-30
36-25
25-33
30-30
27-24
24-30
31-37
39-31
29-32
39-24
27-32
20-32
28-29
29-22
26-27
29-42
26-23
29-28
32-17
37-28
31-28
34-35
23-34
29-28
31-33
23-25
20-41
34-32
33-41
34-26
39-28
242.0Avg total
121.1Scored
120.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)121.5116.6238.1+4.865%
Season at home (31)123.5116.3239.8+7.171%
Season away (34)119.6116.9236.6+2.759%
Last 10 (10)121.1120.9242.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)122.2123.0245.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)115.3121.3236.7-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (15)117.1113.4230.5+3.767%
vs Weaker (12)131.7117.7249.3+14.092%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
115-121
115
121
-6
98avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
123-130
123
130
-7
114avg 106
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
131-128 OT
131
128
+3
126avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
102-111
102
111
-9
90avg 106
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
116-117
116
117
-1
105avg 106
A01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
116-98
116
98
+18
103avg 106
A03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
126-112
126
112
+14
126avg 106
H05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
125-110
125
110
+15
118avg 106
A06/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
106-104
106
104
+2
104avg 106
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
141-124
141
124
+17
143avg 106
H10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-48
29-20
26-30
22-23
23-35
40-26
33-42
27-27
28-32
17-32
35-38
41-19
17-33
30-25
26-26
29-27
40-38
27-18
25-38
24-23
28-34
21-17
34-21
33-26
24-22
33-31
26-27
43-32
39-28
26-30
32-25
28-27
33-25
19-27
28-28
26-24
37-29
31-31
41-34
32-30
235.6Avg total
120.1Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)112.8109.2222.0+3.656%
Season at home (32)113.8109.0222.8+4.856%
Season away (34)111.9109.4221.3+2.556%
Last 10 (10)120.1115.5235.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)122.8109.6232.4+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)118.8122.2241.0-3.440%
vs Similar ◀ (9)115.6111.4227.0+4.133%
vs Weaker (16)117.9107.4225.3+10.481%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +4.7+4.7
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H06/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A09/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A11/03
NBA
121.9Avg total
60.7Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.358.8122.1+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)65.258.4123.6+6.871%-
Last 30 away (16)61.659.1120.7+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)60.761.2121.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)59.663.2122.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.365.0123.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)60.657.9118.5+2.760%-
vs Weaker (12)67.958.3126.2+9.692%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
45-64
45
64
-19
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A06/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/03
NBA
116.1Avg total
58.0Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.156.8114.0+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.458.6118.0+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)54.955.1109.9-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)58.058.1116.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)58.254.8113.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.261.4116.6-6.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)58.358.8117.1-0.444%-
vs Weaker (16)57.154.3111.4+2.862%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.731.6
55.7%
54.3%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.214.4
40.9%
35.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws19.414.7
75.8%
77.8%14.7
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.625.5
54.7%
54.3%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.616.9
38.8%
35.9%50.7
🏀 Free throws22.218.2
82.0%
77.8%18.2
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWLWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWWLLWLL
#9
League position
#7
+0.2
Net rating
+4.4
118.4
Offensive rating
118.6
118.2
Defensive rating
114.2
57.9%
Effective FG%
56.4%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
10.8%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.9%
3-point %
38.8%
66.5%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 118.6Defence118.2 · 114.2Shooting57.9% · 56.4%3-point %40.9% · 38.8%Ball care13.3% · 10.8%Off. rebounds26.5% · 21.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder140-127
09/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder103-127
08/03/25HPhoenix Suns149-141 OT
06/03/25HSacramento Kings116-110
02/03/25ABoston Celtics103-110
01/03/25ADetroit Pistons134-119
28/02/25AMilwaukee Bucks112-121
25/02/25AIndiana Pacers125-116
23/02/25HLos Angeles Lakers100-123
21/02/25HCharlotte Hornets129-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25HSan Antonio Spurs141-124
08/03/25AMiami Heat106-104
06/03/25ACharlotte Hornets125-110
05/03/25HPhiladelphia 76ers126-112
03/03/25APhoenix Suns116-98
01/03/25AUtah Jazz116-117
28/02/25ALos Angeles Lakers102-111
25/02/25AOklahoma City Thunder131-128 OT
24/02/25HOklahoma City Thunder123-130
22/02/25AHouston Rockets115-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653134
Win %65%71%59%
Points / game121.5123.5119.6
Allowed / game116.6116.3116.9
Point differential+4.8+7.1+2.7
Avg total238.1239.8236.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%48%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)57% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %8%3%12%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663234
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game112.8113.8111.9
Allowed / game109.2109.0109.4
Point differential+3.6+4.8+2.5
Avg total222.0222.8221.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)42% (12)60% (10)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers65551085%122.7111.4+11.3
2 Oklahoma City Thunder64521281%119.8107.4+12.4
3 Boston Celtics66471971%116.8108.3+8.5
4 New York Knicks63412265%117.4112.7+4.7
5 Denver Nuggets65422365%121.5116.6+4.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies66422464%122.6116.7+5.9
7 Los Angeles Lakers63402363%112.9111.1+1.7
8 Houston Rockets64402462%113.5109.1+4.4
9 Golden State Warriors64372758%113.9111.6+2.3
10 Indiana Pacers64362856%116.4115.4+1.0
11 Minnesota Timberwolves66372956%112.8109.2+3.6
12 Detroit Pistons66372956%114.8112.9+1.9
13 Milwaukee Bucks62342855%114.7112.8+1.9
14 Los Angeles Clippers66363055%111.1108.9+2.2
15 Sacramento Kings64333152%116.6115.2+1.5
16 Dallas Mavericks66333350%115.0114.6+0.4
17 Atlanta Hawks64313348%117.8120.0-2.2
18 Orlando Magic65303546%104.2105.9-1.7
19 Phoenix Suns66303645%114.3116.4-2.1
20 Miami Heat65293645%109.9110.6-0.7
21 Portland Trail Blazers66283842%110.6114.7-4.0
22 San Antonio Spurs64273742%113.8116.1-2.2
23 Chicago Bulls65273842%116.6120.3-3.7
24 Toronto Raptors66234335%110.8115.7-4.8
25 Philadelphia 76ers65224334%109.4114.4-5.0
26 Brooklyn Nets65224334%105.2111.5-6.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans66184827%111.0119.1-8.0
28 Charlotte Hornets65164925%105.4113.0-7.5
29 Utah Jazz66155123%112.5119.8-7.2
30 Washington Wizards64135120%108.3120.6-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2622272095
Minnesota Timberwolves34233226115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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