PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 98-116
34-28 17-21 21-34 26-33
Position#22
Record28-32
FormWLLLW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game115.9
vs
Position#7
Record32-29
FormLLWLL
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game109.2
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Mar 2027
PHX v MIN
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
PHX v MIN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
PHX114
MIN113
02 Mar 2025
PHX98
MIN116
29 Jan 2025
PHX113
MIN121
28 Apr 2024
PHX116
MIN122
26 Apr 2024
PHX109
MIN126
05 Apr 2024
PHX97
MIN87
15 Nov 2023
PHX133
MIN115
29 Mar 2023
PHX107
MIN100
01 Nov 2022
PHX116
MIN107
28 Jan 2022
PHX134
MIN124
19 Mar 2021
PHX113
MIN101
18 Mar 2021
PHX119
MIN123
18 Mar 2020
PHX v MIN
upcoming
09 Dec 2019
PHX125
MIN109
22 Jan 2019
PHX91
MIN118
15 Dec 2018
PHX107
MIN99
23 Dec 2017
PHX106
MIN115
11 Nov 2017
PHX118
MIN110
24 Jan 2017
PHX111
MIN112
25 Nov 2016
PHX85
MIN98
14 Mar 2016
PHX107
MIN104
13 Dec 2015
PHX108
MIN101
11 Mar 2015
PHX106
MIN97
16 Jan 2015
PHX110
MIN99
25 Feb 2014
PHX101
MIN110
22 Mar 2013
PHX86
MIN117
26 Feb 2013
PHX84
MIN83
12 Mar 2012
PHX124
MIN127
01 Mar 2012
PHX104
MIN95
11 Apr 2011
PHX135
MIN127
15 Dec 2010
PHX128
MIN122
16 Mar 2010
PHX152
MIN114
01 Nov 2009
PHX120
MIN112
16 Jan 2009
PHX103
MIN105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
135-127 OT
135
127
+8
126avg 108
H08/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
105-122
105
122
-17
89avg 108
H09/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
112-119
112
119
-7
108avg 108
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
111-119
111
119
-8
105avg 108
A13/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
109-120
109
120
-11
105avg 108
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
120avg 108
A22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
109-127
109
127
-18
98avg 108
A23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
148-151 OT
148
151
-3
148avg 108
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
116-124
116
124
-8
113avg 108
H28/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
125-108
125
108
+17
129avg 108
H01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
35-25
40-35
27-32
32-37
23-26
26-35
24-24
26-36
30-32
31-27
25-24
34-32
23-19
35-33
19-35
21-31
33-29
25-34
30-26
20-30
40-28
33-32
28-27
25-29
27-38
30-21
27-39
34-31
28-27
41-43
34-36
30-35
32-26
29-27
25-36
40-18
23-24
29-28
33-38
242.5Avg total
119.1Scored
123.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)114.0115.9229.9-1.947%
Season at home (29)114.3113.1227.4+1.259%
Season away (31)113.7118.5232.3-4.835%
Last 10 (10)119.1123.4242.5-4.330%
Last 5 (5)123.8125.4249.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)113.9121.3235.2-7.423%
vs Similar (8)114.4118.5232.9-4.138%
vs Weaker (9)119.0112.1231.1+6.978%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
W
127-114
127
114
+13
118avg 105
H07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
114-98
114
98
+16
107avg 105
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
107-128
107
128
-21
88avg 105
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 105
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
116-101
116
101
+15
109avg 105
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
115-121
115
121
-6
98avg 105
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
123-130
123
130
-7
114avg 105
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
131-128 OT
131
128
+3
126avg 105
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
102-111
102
111
-9
90avg 105
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
116-117
116
117
-1
105avg 105
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-33
34-38
26-27
35-16
24-22
23-38
29-24
38-14
12-30
32-36
34-38
29-24
24-36
26-15
19-19
32-33
37-24
27-32
33-31
19-14
38-48
29-20
26-30
22-23
23-35
40-26
33-42
27-27
28-32
17-32
35-38
41-19
17-33
30-25
26-26
29-27
40-38
27-18
25-38
24-23
230.3Avg total
115.2Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)112.0109.2221.2+2.852%
Season at home (30)112.5108.4220.9+4.053%
Season away (31)111.5109.9221.5+1.652%
Last 10 (10)115.2115.1230.3+0.140%
Last 5 (5)117.4121.4238.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)116.3120.3236.6-4.029%
vs Similar (11)113.9111.6225.5+2.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)114.7105.7220.3+9.075%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +7.6+7.6
Phoenix SunsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H08/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H09/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A13/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H28/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H01/03
NBA
115.9Avg total
57.6Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.857.3115.1+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.758.4119.1+2.250%-
Last 30 away (18)55.956.6112.4-0.756%-
Last 10 (10)57.658.3115.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)59.857.2117.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)58.258.4116.6-0.262%-
vs Similar (8)54.159.6113.8-5.525%-
vs Weaker (9)60.453.7114.1+6.867%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
44-66
44
66
-22
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
45-64
45
64
-19
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A28/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A01/03
NBA
117.1Avg total
56.0Scored
61.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.656.7112.3-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.558.7116.3-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)53.754.7108.4-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)56.061.1117.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)57.861.4119.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)54.159.3113.4-5.143%-
vs Similar (11)55.857.9113.7-2.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)56.354.1110.4+2.258%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 119.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.228.4
56.6%
54.3%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.815.6
38.2%
35.9%46.8
🏀 Free throws18.815.5
82.4%
77.8%15.5
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.727.7
52.6%
54.3%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.413.0
32.2%
35.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws25.220.6
81.7%
77.8%20.6
They take 93.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLLLWLLLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWLLWW
#22
League position
#7
-4.2
Net rating
-0.1
115.9
Offensive rating
112.0
120.0
Defensive rating
112.1
56.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
11.9%
Turnover %
11.5%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.2%
3-point %
32.2%
67.7%
Assist %
61.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 112.0Defence120.0 · 112.1Shooting56.9% · 50.7%3-point %38.2% · 32.2%Ball care11.9% · 11.5%Off. rebounds21.0% · 26.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans125-108
28/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans116-124
26/02/25AMemphis Grizzlies148-151 OT
23/02/25AToronto Raptors109-127
22/02/25AChicago Bulls121-117
21/02/25ASan Antonio Spurs109-120
13/02/25AHouston Rockets111-119
12/02/25HMemphis Grizzlies112-119
09/02/25HDenver Nuggets105-122
08/02/25HUtah Jazz135-127 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AUtah Jazz116-117
28/02/25ALos Angeles Lakers102-111
25/02/25AOklahoma City Thunder131-128 OT
24/02/25HOklahoma City Thunder123-130
22/02/25AHouston Rockets115-121
14/02/25HOklahoma City Thunder116-101
13/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks101-103
11/02/25ACleveland Cavaliers107-128
09/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers114-98
07/02/25HHouston Rockets127-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWLLLW59%
AwayLLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games602931
Win %47%59%35%
Points / game114.0114.3113.7
Allowed / game115.9113.1118.5
Point differential-1.9+1.2-4.8
Avg total229.9227.4232.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)80% (5)36% (11)
Overtime %8%7%10%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeWWLWL53%
AwayLLWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613031
Win %52%53%52%
Points / game112.0112.5111.5
Allowed / game109.2108.4109.9
Point differential+2.8+4.0+1.6
Avg total221.2220.9221.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)42% (12)56% (9)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers60501083%123.1111.6+11.5
2 Oklahoma City Thunder58471181%119.5106.9+12.7
3 Boston Celtics61431870%116.8108.2+8.6
4 New York Knicks59401968%117.9113.0+4.9
5 Denver Nuggets61392264%121.1116.0+5.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers58372164%112.8111.3+1.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies60382263%123.2116.7+6.4
8 Houston Rockets58362262%113.3109.1+4.2
9 Indiana Pacers59342558%116.6115.3+1.3
10 Milwaukee Bucks57322556%114.4112.7+1.7
11 Detroit Pistons61342756%114.4113.0+1.3
12 Los Angeles Clippers59322754%110.7108.6+2.2
13 Golden State Warriors59322754%113.4111.7+1.7
14 Dallas Mavericks60322853%115.1113.4+1.8
15 Sacramento Kings59312853%116.8115.3+1.5
16 Minnesota Timberwolves61322952%112.0109.2+2.8
17 Orlando Magic61293248%104.0105.6-1.6
18 Miami Heat59283147%110.3110.9-0.6
19 Phoenix Suns60283247%114.0115.9-1.9
20 Atlanta Hawks58263245%117.0119.9-2.9
21 Portland Trail Blazers61273444%110.5114.4-3.9
22 San Antonio Spurs59253442%113.1115.3-2.2
23 Chicago Bulls61243739%116.5120.4-4.0
24 Philadelphia 76ers59213836%109.2113.5-4.4
25 Brooklyn Nets60213935%104.8111.3-6.5
26 Toronto Raptors61194231%110.3116.2-5.8
27 New Orleans Pelicans61174428%111.0118.7-7.8
28 Utah Jazz60154525%112.4119.5-7.0
29 Charlotte Hornets59144524%105.2112.8-7.6
30 Washington Wizards59114819%108.4120.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns3417212698
Minnesota Timberwolves28213433116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.