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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 128-131 (OT)
32-28 32-17 38-35 19-41 7-10
Position#1
Record44-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game118.4
Allowed / game105.5
vs
Position#7
Record31-27
FormLLWLL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game108.7
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
144-110
144
110
+34
151avg 108
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
125-96
125
96
+29
123avg 108
H04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
140-109
140
109
+31
128avg 108
H06/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-109
121
109
+12
118avg 108
H08/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
125-112
125
112
+13
116avg 108
A09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
137-101
137
101
+36
131avg 108
H11/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
115-101
115
101
+14
104avg 108
H13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
101-116
101
116
-15
95avg 108
A14/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
130-107
130
107
+23
132avg 108
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
130-123
130
123
+7
128avg 108
A24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-31
46-24
31-35
31-20
39-22
39-22
38-31
9-21
37-33
24-30
43-16
36-30
35-25
23-22
32-29
31-33
34-26
35-26
35-31
21-29
33-20
39-30
30-28
35-23
23-35
29-28
31-30
32-8
24-37
32-27
31-33
14-19
29-22
39-25
31-37
31-23
35-23
26-40
42-33
27-27
235.2Avg total
126.8Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)118.4105.5223.9+12.981%
Season at home (27)120.8104.9225.7+16.089%
Season away (27)116.0106.1222.1+9.974%
Last 10 (10)126.8108.4235.2+18.490%
Last 5 (5)122.6109.6232.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)120.3111.7232.0+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)121.0106.4227.4+14.685%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
L
103-105
103
105
-2
96avg 105
H02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
114-116
114
116
-2
103avg 105
H04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-108
127
108
+19
122avg 105
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
127-114
127
114
+13
118avg 105
H07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
114-98
114
98
+16
107avg 105
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
107-128
107
128
-21
88avg 105
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 105
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
116-101
116
101
+15
109avg 105
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
115-121
115
121
-6
98avg 105
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
123-130
123
130
-7
114avg 105
H24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
31-31
20-25
26-22
34-38
25-29
27-21
28-28
39-30
23-30
32-30
33-18
32-33
34-38
26-27
35-16
24-22
23-38
29-24
38-14
12-30
32-36
34-38
29-24
24-36
26-15
19-19
32-33
37-24
27-32
33-31
19-14
38-48
29-20
26-30
22-23
23-35
40-26
33-42
27-27
227.1Avg total
114.7Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)111.8108.7220.5+3.153%
Season at home (30)112.5108.4220.9+4.053%
Season away (28)111.0109.0220.0+2.054%
Last 10 (10)114.7112.4227.1+2.340%
Last 5 (5)112.4116.6229.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)113.8119.0232.8-5.217%
vs Similar (11)114.9111.7226.6+3.245%
vs Weaker (13)113.6104.6218.2+9.085%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +7.0+7.0
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
78-44
78
44
+34
H04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H06/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H08/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H11/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A14/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A24/02
NBA
120.5Avg total
65.7Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.753.9115.6+7.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.255.2118.4+8.162%-
Last 30 away (14)59.952.5112.4+7.464%-
Last 10 (10)65.754.8120.5+10.960%-
Last 5 (5)61.857.4119.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)63.058.7121.7+4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)61.653.4115.0+8.167%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
44-66
44
66
-22
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/02
NBA
119.7Avg total
57.9Scored
61.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.055.3111.4+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.557.9115.4-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)54.452.4106.8+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)57.961.8119.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)57.660.4118.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)55.758.5114.2-2.850%-
vs Similar (11)56.757.4114.1-0.645%-
vs Weaker (13)55.652.2107.8+3.562%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 126.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.831.0
56.6%
54.3%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.316.1
40.0%
35.9%48.3
🏀 Free throws20.316.5
81.3%
77.8%16.5
They take 95.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.827.5
52.1%
54.3%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.613.3
32.8%
35.9%39.9
🏀 Free throws23.519.8
84.3%
77.8%19.8
They take 93.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWWWWWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWWLL
#1
League position
#7
+18.2
Net rating
+2.3
125.3
Offensive rating
113.8
107.1
Defensive rating
111.5
58.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
10.9%
Turnover %
11.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.0%
3-point %
32.8%
61.6%
Assist %
60.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence125.3 · 113.8Defence107.1 · 111.5Shooting58.0% · 50.8%3-point %40.0% · 32.8%Ball care10.9% · 11.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 29.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25AMinnesota Timberwolves130-123
22/02/25AUtah Jazz130-107
14/02/25AMinnesota Timberwolves101-116
13/02/25HMiami Heat115-101
11/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans137-101
09/02/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-112
08/02/25HToronto Raptors121-109
06/02/25HPhoenix Suns140-109
04/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks125-96
02/02/25HSacramento Kings144-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HOklahoma City Thunder123-130
22/02/25AHouston Rockets115-121
14/02/25HOklahoma City Thunder116-101
13/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks101-103
11/02/25ACleveland Cavaliers107-128
09/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers114-98
07/02/25HHouston Rockets127-114
06/02/25HChicago Bulls127-108
04/02/25HSacramento Kings114-116
02/02/25HWashington Wizards103-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542727
Win %81%89%74%
Points / game118.4120.8116.0
Allowed / game105.5104.9106.1
Point differential+12.9+16.0+9.9
Avg total223.9225.7222.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%78%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeWWLWL53%
AwayWWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %53%53%54%
Points / game111.8112.5111.0
Allowed / game108.7108.4109.0
Point differential+3.1+4.0+2.0
Avg total220.5220.9220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)42% (12)57% (7)
Overtime %3%3%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers57471082%122.9111.7+11.2
2 Oklahoma City Thunder54441081%118.4105.5+12.9
3 Boston Celtics57411672%117.4108.0+9.3
4 New York Knicks56371966%118.2113.2+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets58382066%121.3116.0+5.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies57372065%122.8116.0+6.8
7 Houston Rockets55342162%113.6109.3+4.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers55342162%113.1111.8+1.3
9 Indiana Pacers56322457%116.4115.6+0.8
10 Milwaukee Bucks54302456%114.3112.9+1.4
11 Detroit Pistons58322655%114.2113.3+0.9
12 Los Angeles Clippers57312654%110.7108.5+2.2
13 Dallas Mavericks57312654%115.6113.5+2.1
14 Golden State Warriors56302654%112.9111.8+1.2
15 Minnesota Timberwolves58312753%111.8108.7+3.1
16 Sacramento Kings56282850%116.6116.3+0.3
17 Orlando Magic58292950%104.2105.1-0.9
18 Phoenix Suns57273047%113.2115.3-2.1
19 Miami Heat56263046%109.7110.7-1.0
20 Atlanta Hawks56263046%117.1119.5-2.4
21 San Antonio Spurs55243144%112.7114.5-1.8
22 Portland Trail Blazers57243342%109.6114.3-4.6
23 Chicago Bulls58233540%116.4120.4-4.0
24 Brooklyn Nets57213637%104.8110.8-6.0
25 Philadelphia 76ers57203735%108.9113.5-4.6
26 Toronto Raptors57183932%110.9116.4-5.6
27 Charlotte Hornets55144125%106.0112.3-6.4
28 Utah Jazz56144225%112.4119.5-7.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans57144325%110.5118.9-8.4
30 Washington Wizards57104718%108.1121.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oklahoma City Thunder323238197128
Minnesota Timberwolves2817354110131
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