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Mladost vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 59-63
11-23 12-11 14-15 22-14
Position#3
Record19-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game73.8
Mladost
Croatia
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record22-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game66.6
CroatiaPrva LigaPrva Liga - Semi-finals· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mladost v Kastela
26 Apr 2026
MLAD59
KAST63
15 Mar 2026
MLAD52
KAST74
30 Apr 2025
MLAD71
KAST67
24 Apr 2025
MLAD72
KAST64
19 Jan 2025
MLAD94
KAST93
04 Nov 2023
MLAD76
KAST98
06 Nov 2022
MLAD75
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H15/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A21/03
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H28/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A01/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H12/04
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
138-81
138
81
+57
A18/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A23/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
23-21
23-21
26-19
13-17
24-17
19-21
19-17
16-20
13-21
6-12
32-19
20-19
8-13
13-26
11-16
19-26
26-15
15-29
21-30
26-16
22-18
29-18
15-18
19-25
23-13
14-25
15-15
20-6
16-18
16-20
17-14
33-14
36-23
36-22
33-22
16-20
16-14
17-13
9-17
155.7Avg total
79.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.473.8156.2+8.670%
Season at home (13)83.471.8155.2+11.585%
Season away (14)81.575.6157.1+5.957%
Last 10 (10)79.975.8155.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)85.670.2155.8+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.886.4164.1-8.625%
vs Similar (4)79.874.5154.2+5.250%
vs Weaker (18)85.471.6156.9+13.883%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
95-38
95
38
+57
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
87-60
87
60
+27
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
135-62
135
62
+73
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
119-82
119
82
+37
H18/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H23/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
15-5
24-13
29-6
27-14
16-21
25-14
19-11
33-4
28-29
37-12
37-17
19-20
13-8
26-13
16-11
27-12
22-20
20-13
24-12
7-21
16-19
24-19
23-26
20-15
23-15
19-8
23-23
33-14
15-18
19-18
24-16
37-21
26-14
39-21
17-26
20-16
14-16
13-17
17-9
153.4Avg total
91.3Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.166.6153.7+20.581%
Season at home (14)89.465.1154.6+24.386%
Season away (13)84.668.2152.8+16.477%
Last 10 (10)91.362.1153.4+29.290%
Last 5 (5)85.870.4156.2+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)69.581.5151.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)86.965.8152.6+21.182%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +9.9+9.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +9.8+9.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +7.2+7.2
MladostKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H15/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/03
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H12/04
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
69-37
69
37
+32
A18/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/04
Prva Liga
77.7Avg total
41.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.978.5+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.034.575.5+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.239.281.4+3.047%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.477.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.433.478.8+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.644.083.6-4.425%-
vs Similar (4)39.540.279.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker (18)42.932.975.9+10.078%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H18/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/04
Prva Liga
75.4Avg total
43.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.634.276.8+8.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.934.080.9+12.987%-
Last 30 away (15)38.334.472.7+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.831.675.4+12.290%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.876.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)28.539.568.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.633.877.4+9.879%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.0
53.4%
53.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.1
32.8%
32.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.411.6
75.3%
71.6%11.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.322.6
64.0%
53.0%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.5
37.9%
32.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws10.98.6
78.9%
71.6%8.6
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LWWLWLLLWW
Kastela
WWWWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+4.7
Net rating
+34.6
91.5
Offensive rating
107.4
86.8
Defensive rating
72.8
51.8%
Effective FG%
60.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.16
32.8%
3-point %
37.9%
60.8%
Assist %
72.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 107.4Defence86.8 · 72.8Shooting51.8% · 60.5%3-point %32.8% · 37.9%Ball care17.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Mladost   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mladost wins
6
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
23/04/26Kastela v Mladost64-58
15/03/26Mladost v Kastela52-74
29/11/25Kastela v Mladost73-80
30/04/25Mladost v Kastela71-67
27/04/25Kastela v Mladost89-62
24/04/25Mladost v Kastela72-64
16/04/25Kastela v Mladost87-66
19/01/25Mladost v Kastela94-93
10/02/24Kastela v Mladost84-66
04/11/23Mladost v Kastela76-98
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/26AKastela58-64
18/04/26AAmfora138-81
12/04/26HSonik Puntamika69-58
01/04/26AGorica71-78
28/03/26HNovi Zagreb92-70
21/03/26ASkrljevo81-100
15/03/26HKastela52-74
08/03/26HOmis67-72
28/02/26HKK Zagreb75-72
21/02/26AJazine96-89
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/26HMladost64-58
18/04/26HDakovo119-82
12/04/26ANovi Zagreb91-66
01/04/26HKK Zagreb85-61
28/03/26ASkrljevo70-85
21/03/26HCrikvenica93-57
15/03/26AMladost74-52
07/03/26HOsijek135-62
22/02/26AOmis87-60
14/02/26HAmfora95-38

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWLLWW85%
AwayWLLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%85%57%
Points / game82.483.481.5
Allowed / game73.871.875.6
Point differential+8.6+11.5+5.9
Avg total156.2155.2157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%46%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %11%15%7%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %81%86%77%
Points / game87.189.484.6
Allowed / game66.665.168.2
Point differential+20.5+24.3+16.4
Avg total153.7154.6152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2724389%95.575.9+19.6
2 Kastela2722581%87.166.6+20.5
3 Mladost2719870%82.473.8+8.6
4 Omis2718967%84.676.4+8.1
5 Gorica26151158%83.381.3+2.1
6 Jazine26141254%85.880.8+5.0
7 KK Zagreb26131350%79.279.2+0.0
8 Crikvenica26131350%75.877.7-1.9
9 Marsonia26121446%76.175.2+0.9
10 Dakovo26121446%85.885.5+0.3
11 Novi Zagreb26111542%76.277.3-1.2
12 Sonik Puntamika2671927%75.381.3-6.0
13 Amfora2642215%71.890.2-18.4
14 Osijek260260%63.9103.9-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost1112142259
Kastela2311151463
← all games of the day
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