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Mogi vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 64-61
17-13 15-12 17-13 15-23
Position#14
Record9-25
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game79.9
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#7
Record21-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game70.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mogi v Paulistano
22 Nov 2026
MOGI v PAUL
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
MOGI84
PAUL70
12 Oct 2024
MOGI72
PAUL67
09 Apr 2024
MOGI64
PAUL61
28 Oct 2021
MOGI77
PAUL72
09 Mar 2021
MOGI62
PAUL69
03 Mar 2020
MOGI83
PAUL94
15 Feb 2019
MOGI89
PAUL91
02 Jun 2018
MOGI76
PAUL82
19 May 2018
MOGI82
PAUL99
03 Jan 2018
MOGI80
PAUL84
13 Nov 2016
MOGI86
PAUL55
17 Mar 2016
MOGI80
PAUL83
19 Mar 2015
MOGI88
PAUL77
13 Feb 2014
MOGI66
PAUL79
20 Dec 2012
MOGI77
PAUL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
80-94
80
94
-14
61avg 66
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
21avg 66
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
68avg 66
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 66
H09/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
104-61
104
61
+43
103avg 66
H20/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
70-65
70
65
+5
59avg 66
H22/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
73-100
73
100
-27
66avg 66
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 66
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 66
H07/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
21-25
18-14
24-26
5-20
12-14
13-25
19-18
17-23
18-15
18-23
20-18
22-17
18-21
22-21
12-15
18-17
24-15
11-17
26-15
24-16
27-11
23-16
30-18
16-16
20-19
16-21
18-9
14-25
13-27
27-21
19-27
19-19
13-25
18-17
19-12
19-22
16-20
24-13
22-24
154.1Avg total
76.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)74.079.9153.9-5.826%
Season at home (17)77.278.6155.9-1.435%
Season away (17)70.881.1151.9-10.218%
Last 10 (10)76.577.6154.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)79.475.6155.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.782.6155.3-9.822%
vs Similar (10)75.377.4152.7-2.140%
vs Weaker (2)92.071.0163.0+21.050%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
80-51
80
51
+29
78avg 69
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
71-81
71
81
-10
69avg 69
H02/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 69
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
70-72
70
72
-2
57avg 69
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
106-72
106
72
+34
109avg 69
H20/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-81
68
81
-13
61avg 69
A26/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 69
A28/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
95-50
95
50
+45
90avg 69
H31/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 69
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
75-56
75
56
+19
74avg 69
H05/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
19-13
19-12
16-9
17-19
19-30
18-12
17-20
17-17
20-28
14-25
22-13
18-23
14-23
18-9
20-17
23-23
32-10
26-15
25-24
18-18
18-22
14-23
18-18
12-15
15-17
21-21
22-20
27-11
21-13
23-8
24-18
20-14
21-24
20-16
21-17
22-13
18-15
23-12
12-16
148.0Avg total
79.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)75.670.7146.3+4.962%
Season at home (18)78.870.3149.2+8.567%
Season away (16)71.971.2143.1+0.856%
Last 10 (10)79.069.0148.0+10.050%
Last 5 (5)78.066.2144.2+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.482.8154.2-11.40%
vs Similar (8)70.871.2142.0-0.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.468.2150.6+14.188%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
MogiPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
17-34
17
34
-17
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H20/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/04
NBB
74.9Avg total
35.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.440.776.0-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.839.678.5-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)32.741.574.2-8.818%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.674.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.076.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.242.076.2-7.822%-
vs Similar (10)35.539.374.8-3.830%-
vs Weaker (2)45.035.580.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H02/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H20/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A26/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A28/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H31/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/04
NBB
76.2Avg total
39.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.335.173.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.134.675.7+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)35.535.671.1-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.576.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.470.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.243.477.6-9.20%-
vs Similar (8)34.535.169.6-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.132.974.0+8.281%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.415.9
44.9%
51.8%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.6
37.1%
33.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.011.7
65.0%
72.6%11.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.2
52.3%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.5
37.7%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.611.5
69.3%
72.6%11.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WLLWWWWLLL
Paulistano
WWWLLWLLLW
#14
League position
#7
-0.1
Net rating
+13.9
104.6
Offensive rating
109.7
104.7
Defensive rating
95.8
49.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.1%
3-point %
37.7%
63.8%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 109.7Defence104.7 · 95.8Shooting49.7% · 54.0%3-point %37.1% · 37.7%Ball care18.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.7% · 28.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mogi   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mogi wins
7
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
27/12/23Paulistano v Mogi92-78
28/01/22Paulistano v Mogi69-62
28/10/21Mogi v Paulistano77-72
09/03/21Mogi v Paulistano62-69
04/12/20Paulistano v Mogi69-62
03/03/20Mogi v Paulistano83-94
17/10/19Paulistano v Mogi94-105
15/02/19Mogi v Paulistano89-91
13/10/18Paulistano v Mogi75-85
02/06/18Mogi v Paulistano76-82
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HSao Paulo81-79
03/04/24AFranca69-73
25/03/24APato73-100
22/03/24HCerrado70-65
20/03/24HBrasilia104-61
09/03/24HSao Jose79-64
05/03/24ABotafogo87-84 OT
02/03/24AVasco73-79
29/02/24AFlamengo49-77
16/02/24HUniao Corinthians80-94
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24HCaxias do Sul75-56
02/04/24HCerrado82-71
31/03/24HBrasilia95-50
28/03/24AVasco70-73
26/03/24AFlamengo68-81
20/03/24HUniao Corinthians106-72
11/03/24AMinas70-72
09/03/24APato73-83
02/03/24HCorinthians Paulista71-81
16/02/24HPinheiros80-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW26%
HomeLWWWW35%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %26%35%18%
Points / game74.077.270.8
Allowed / game79.978.681.1
Point differential-5.8-1.4-10.2
Avg total153.9155.9151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %62%67%56%
Points / game75.678.871.9
Allowed / game70.770.371.2
Point differential+4.9+8.5+0.8
Avg total146.3149.2143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3631586%85.073.1+12.0
2 Franca3631586%88.476.7+11.7
3 Minas3426876%85.673.3+12.4
4 Vasco34231168%75.773.0+2.7
5 Bauru35231266%82.079.2+2.8
6 Unifacisa35221363%84.379.4+4.9
7 Paulistano34211362%75.670.7+4.9
8 Cearense34191556%79.177.4+1.7
9 Corinthians Paulista35191654%81.879.8+2.0
10 Sao Jose34181653%79.978.1+1.9
11 Sao Paulo35181751%78.979.3-0.5
12 Pato34151944%78.179.8-1.8
13 Pinheiros34142041%74.577.6-3.1
14 Uniao Corinthians34102429%74.684.0-9.4
15 Mogi3492526%74.079.9-5.8
16 Botafogo3592626%78.988.7-9.8
17 Cerrado3482624%74.477.5-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3482624%72.280.9-8.7
19 Brasilia3543111%73.789.5-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1715171564
Paulistano1312132361
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