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Monaco vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 103-77
18-17 29-22 35-16 21-22
Position#10
Record9-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game83.8
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record5-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2025
Meetings · Monaco v Bayern
19 Dec 2025
MCO103
BAY77
17 Dec 2024
MCO93
BAY74
11 Apr 2024
MCO89
BAY85
25 Nov 2022
MCO80
BAY79
12 Nov 2021
MCO94
BAY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 91
A16/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
84-52
84
52
+32
79avg 91
A19/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
77avg 91
H23/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
102-66
102
66
+36
103avg 91
H26/11
Euroleague
Paris
#47
W
109-103
109
103
+6
113avg 91
H02/12
French Cup
Paris
#16
W
125-104
125
104
+21
131avg 91
H04/12
Euroleague
Dijon
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
102avg 91
A06/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
75avg 91
H12/12
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
88-74
88
74
+14
87avg 91
H14/12
LNB
Baskonia
#18
L
73-85
73
85
-12
56avg 91
A17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-18
16-30
17-20
25-16
14-11
20-10
30-19
20-12
28-27
24-17
19-20
18-27
25-22
25-21
20-10
32-13
33-25
32-33
15-16
29-29
35-29
23-17
33-24
34-34
23-13
22-20
28-35
26-18
21-14
25-24
23-22
17-32
25-20
26-17
21-24
16-13
14-17
20-26
21-19
18-23
178.5Avg total
94.8Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.483.8173.2+5.656%
Season at home (7)97.485.7183.1+11.771%
Season away (9)83.182.3165.4+0.844%
Last 10 (10)94.883.7178.5+11.170%
Last 5 (5)94.288.2182.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (14)93.890.2184.0+3.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.677.1166.8+12.571%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 78
A14/11
Euroleague
Trier
#5
W
96-80
96
80
+16
92avg 78
A16/11
German Cup
Baskonia
#18
L
73-95
73
95
-22
62avg 78
A21/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
74avg 78
A23/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
64-90
64
90
-26
54avg 78
A25/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
85-92
85
92
-7
84avg 78
A04/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
83-62
83
62
+21
76avg 78
H07/12
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 78
A12/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
84avg 78
A14/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 78
A17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
20-23
13-18
25-14
23-17
28-20
22-22
23-21
26-14
15-28
18-25
14-28
15-19
23-17
14-15
16-17
21-19
16-22
12-27
15-22
22-16
21-20
15-28
27-28
15-11
12-19
28-20
28-12
23-24
23-18
20-16
22-31
23-17
18-20
27-24
19-18
22-15
16-27
24-9
12-25
161.7Avg total
80.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.983.6161.4-5.731%
Season at home (7)78.980.6159.4-1.757%
Season away (9)77.185.9163.0-8.811%
Last 10 (10)80.381.4161.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.479.6163.0+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.590.5165.0-16.017%
vs Similar (12)79.377.4156.8+1.950%
vs Weaker (11)85.275.7160.9+9.582%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
MonacoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A16/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A19/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H23/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/11
Euroleague
Paris
#47
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H02/12
French Cup
Paris
#16
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H04/12
Euroleague
Dijon
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A06/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H12/12
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#8
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H14/12
LNB
Baskonia
#18
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A17/12
Euroleague
89.7Avg total
48.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.440.786.1+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.642.992.5+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)41.738.880.4+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)48.641.189.7+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.486.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (14)47.344.191.4+3.271%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.636.378.9+6.464%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/11
Euroleague
Trier
#5
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A16/11
German Cup
Baskonia
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A21/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A04/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H07/12
BBL
Dubai
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A12/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A17/12
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
39.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.081.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.040.882.8+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.379.5+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.578.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.476.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.045.781.7-9.70%-
vs Similar (12)40.840.281.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker (11)43.737.981.6+5.873%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.922.6
59.6%
60.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.2
34.6%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws28.924.2
83.7%
78.2%24.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.3
50.7%
60.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.9
33.6%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.714.9
79.7%
78.2%14.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LWLWWWWLWW
Bayern
LWLWLLWLWL
#10
League position
#14
+14.5
Net rating
-2.8
120.5
Offensive rating
107.0
106.0
Defensive rating
109.8
56.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.47
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
33.6%
67.5%
Assist %
66.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.5 · 107.0Defence106.0 · 109.8Shooting56.7% · 50.6%3-point %34.6% · 33.6%Ball care16.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.47 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Monaco   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Monaco wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Bayern v Monaco95-94
17/12/24Monaco v Bayern93-74
11/04/24Monaco v Bayern89-85
22/12/23Bayern v Monaco80-91
31/03/23Bayern v Monaco81-84
25/11/22Monaco v Bayern80-79
13/01/22Bayern v Monaco78-83
12/11/21Monaco v Bayern94-71
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ABaskonia73-85
14/12/25HStrasbourg88-74
12/12/25HFenerbahce86-92
06/12/25ADijon99-86
04/12/25HParis125-104
02/12/25HParis109-103
26/11/25HAnadolu Efes102-66
23/11/25HJL Bourg89-91
19/11/25ALyon-Villeurbanne84-52
16/11/25ALe Mans93-84
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ALyon-Villeurbanne74-76
14/12/25AOldenburg87-79
12/12/25ADubai88-89
07/12/25HSyntainics MBC83-62
04/12/25APartizan85-92
25/11/25AValencia64-90
23/11/25AUlm81-77 OT
21/11/25ABaskonia73-95
16/11/25ATrier96-80
14/11/25AAnadolu Efes72-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game89.497.483.1
Allowed / game83.885.782.3
Point differential+5.6+11.7+0.8
Avg total173.2183.1165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%57%11%
Points / game77.978.977.1
Allowed / game83.680.685.9
Point differential-5.7-1.7-8.8
Avg total161.4159.4163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1712571%88.983.4+5.5
2 Barcelona1611569%86.383.2+3.1
3 Valencia1711665%89.585.5+4.0
4 Panathinaikos1711665%88.585.5+3.0
5 Fenerbahce1610662%80.778.8+1.9
6 Zalgiris Kaunas1710759%86.981.5+5.4
7 Real Madrid1710759%85.383.6+1.7
8 Monaco169756%89.483.8+5.6
9 Crvena zvezda169756%85.181.9+3.2
10 Olympiacos158753%86.784.0+2.7
11 Olimpia Milano179853%84.484.2+0.2
12 Virtus Bologna168850%81.281.8-0.6
13 Dubai178947%86.187.4-1.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1771041%89.191.6-2.6
15 Baskonia1661038%85.888.4-2.7
16 Anadolu Efes1761135%80.484.6-4.2
17 Partizan1761135%80.587.8-7.3
18 Bayern1651131%77.983.6-5.7
19 Paris1751229%89.992.8-2.9
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1641225%76.685.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco18293521103
Bayern1722162277
← all games of the day
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