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Monaco vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-90 (OT)
18-16 16-19 23-21 9-10 18-24
Position#8
Record10-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#2
Record17-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23
European cup2021
Meetings · Monaco v Real Madrid
26 Dec 2025
MCO100
MAD95
31 Jan 2025
MCO77
MAD73
19 Jan 2024
MCO98
MAD74
03 Feb 2023
MCO91
MAD95
28 Jan 2022
MCO84
MAD90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Limoges
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
67avg 77
H19/12
LNB
Alba Berlin
#14
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 77
A22/12
Euroleague
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
94-56
94
56
+38
102avg 77
A26/12
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 77
H29/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#14
W
79-67
79
67
+12
79avg 77
H09/01
LNB
Bayern
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 77
A13/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#10
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 77
A15/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
100-75
100
75
+25
100avg 77
A18/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 77
A20/01
Euroleague
Orleans
#17
W
74-61
74
61
+13
90avg 77
A22/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
20-22
18-15
21-22
21-23
9-17
26-29
28-23
25-17
24-7
26-16
19-16
13-15
22-18
21-18
26-25
19-16
31-15
18-14
11-22
19-18
21-17
22-19
21-24
23-18
16-20
16-26
28-23
27-24
24-17
25-17
24-17
18-17
18-15
21-18
29-27
19-10
17-24
16-14
22-13
159.0Avg total
83.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.682.1164.7+0.448%
Season at home (9)80.275.3155.6+4.956%
Season away (12)84.387.2171.6-2.942%
Last 10 (10)83.875.2159.0+8.670%
Last 5 (5)85.275.6160.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.484.5164.9-4.138%
vs Weaker (14)86.973.6160.5+13.479%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
71avg 76
A16/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 76
A19/12
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
71-65
71
65
+6
60avg 76
H23/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#6
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 76
A04/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
90-71
90
71
+19
87avg 76
A09/01
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H14/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
94-69
94
69
+25
87avg 76
H16/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#14
W
89-74
89
74
+15
82avg 76
A20/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 76
H23/01
ACB
Unics Kazan
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
87avg 76
H25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
17-8
20-21
20-25
25-17
20-18
14-17
21-19
24-14
13-26
19-15
15-10
16-19
24-19
28-30
24-19
24-20
14-22
27-16
25-13
25-17
25-18
19-15
20-24
28-7
25-26
21-17
20-19
19-15
29-21
25-20
16-18
24-18
16-24
14-21
21-22
21-14
26-17
27-14
11-23
157.7Avg total
84.0Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.671.8152.4+8.885%
Season at home (11)82.970.8153.7+12.1100%
Season away (9)77.873.0150.8+4.867%
Last 10 (10)84.073.7157.7+10.390%
Last 5 (5)86.474.0160.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.381.0156.3-5.733%
vs Weaker (27)82.470.0152.4+12.393%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
MonacoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H19/12
LNB
Alba Berlin
#14
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/12
Euroleague
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A26/12
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#14
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H09/01
LNB
Bayern
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A13/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A18/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A20/01
Euroleague
Orleans
#17
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A22/01
LNB
75.4Avg total
40.0Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.881.7+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.883.1+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.739.880.5+0.969%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.475.4+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.076.4+4.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.042.282.2-2.256%-
vs Weaker (14)44.137.081.1+7.179%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A16/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A19/12
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H23/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A09/01
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H14/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H16/01
ACB
Alba Berlin
#14
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A20/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H23/01
ACB
Unics Kazan
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H25/01
Euroleague
79.2Avg total
43.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.777.3+5.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.334.375.6+6.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.937.179.1+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)43.335.979.2+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)47.635.483.0+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.744.384.0-4.70%-
vs Weaker (27)41.834.876.6+7.063%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.0
53.3%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.58.9
43.4%
35.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
77.2%15.7
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
52.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
35.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.611.7
75.0%
77.2%11.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWWLWWWWLL
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#2
+11.0
Net rating
+14.6
115.9
Offensive rating
114.0
104.9
Defensive rating
99.4
57.5%
Effective FG%
56.8%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
43.4%
3-point %
38.4%
61.2%
Assist %
54.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 114.0Defence104.9 · 99.4Shooting57.5% · 56.8%3-point %43.4% · 38.4%Ball care18.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 27.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Monaco   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Monaco wins
1
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
13/10/21Real Madrid v Monaco94-86
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22AOrleans74-61
20/01/22AZenit Petersburg86-77
18/01/22ALyon-Villeurbanne100-75
15/01/22ANanterre83-87
13/01/22ABayern83-78
09/01/22HLe Portel79-67
29/12/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv82-76
26/12/21AFos-sur-Mer94-56
22/12/21AAlba Berlin84-92
19/12/21HLimoges73-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/22HUnics Kazan85-68
23/01/22HBarcelona75-85
20/01/22AAlba Berlin89-74
16/01/22HBasket Zaragoza94-69
14/01/22HBaskonia89-74
09/01/22AJoventut Badalona90-71
04/01/22AManresa92-87
23/12/21HCSKA Moscow71-65
19/12/21AMurcia80-71
16/12/21AOlimpia Milano75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayWLWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %48%56%42%
Points / game82.680.284.3
Allowed / game82.175.387.2
Point differential+0.4+4.9-2.9
Avg total164.7155.6171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%11%17%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game80.682.977.8
Allowed / game71.870.873.0
Point differential+8.8+12.1+4.8
Avg total152.4153.7150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2017385%80.671.8+8.8
2 Barcelona2217577%83.076.4+6.6
3 Olimpia Milano1913668%75.171.4+3.7
4 Zenit Petersburg2013765%74.172.3+1.8
5 CSKA Moscow2113862%79.978.1+1.7
6 Olympiacos2012860%80.174.0+6.0
7 Unics Kazan2112957%77.975.1+2.8
8 Anadolu Efes21101148%81.379.2+2.1
9 Monaco21101148%82.682.1+0.4
10 Bayern21101148%75.175.5-0.4
11 Fenerbahce1991047%76.774.3+2.5
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%78.478.2+0.2
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne2291341%73.379.5-6.3
14 Crvena zvezda2081240%72.273.4-1.2
15 Baskonia2071335%72.579.3-6.8
16 Alba Berlin2061430%75.781.9-6.2
17 Panathinaikos1941521%73.180.3-7.2
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1831517%69.979.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Monaco18162391884
Real Madrid161921102490
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