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Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-75
19-18 8-17 21-20 25-20
Position#3
Record10-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#2
Record12-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game72.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2021
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid
13 Oct 2026
MIL89
MAD98
16 Dec 2025
MIL89
MAD82
07 Nov 2024
MIL85
MAD76
08 Feb 2024
MIL81
MAD76
03 Nov 2022
MIL77
MAD83
16 Dec 2021
MIL73
MAD75
16 Oct 2020
MIL78
MAD70
17 Oct 2018
MIL85
MAD91
13 Mar 2018
MIL77
MAD88
27 Oct 2016
MIL90
MAD101
05 Dec 2013
MIL71
MAD78
01 Dec 2011
MIL65
MAD72
13 Jan 2010
MIL66
MAD75
08 Jan 2009
MIL70
MAD61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H14/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#9
L
71-97
71
97
-26
60avg 75
A17/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A19/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
85-55
85
55
+30
85avg 75
H21/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
L
72-93
72
93
-21
61avg 75
H26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 75
A03/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 75
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 75
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 75
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 75
H14/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
32-21
18-18
17-11
17-19
16-25
16-27
22-26
19-19
20-16
21-25
10-14
24-12
19-13
21-17
21-13
25-30
20-30
12-12
15-21
15-19
18-24
23-24
20-14
9-21
18-6
22-13
30-13
26-14
13-13
18-17
14-21
15-12
17-20
20-17
24-13
15-19
18-10
24-13
18-12
146.7Avg total
75.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.171.7146.8+3.567%
Season at home (8)77.071.0148.0+6.088%
Season away (7)73.072.4145.4+0.643%
Last 10 (10)75.970.8146.7+5.160%
Last 5 (5)75.463.0138.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (11)73.873.4147.2+0.555%
vs Weaker (18)82.768.1150.8+14.789%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
88-85
88
85
+3
85avg 76
A14/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-74
87
74
+13
89avg 76
A16/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 76
H18/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
W
71-48
71
48
+23
68avg 76
H21/11
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
88-60
88
60
+28
88avg 76
A25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 76
H02/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
86-65
86
65
+21
86avg 76
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
63avg 76
A10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 76
H12/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#14
W
87-64
87
64
+23
91avg 76
H14/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
13-29
17-20
24-16
33-24
18-19
16-11
20-20
16-13
16-19
25-14
22-21
18-6
14-15
25-13
14-14
25-14
28-20
18-13
17-13
20-18
17-20
13-21
22-11
20-15
15-21
24-13
27-16
19-24
23-27
16-16
22-26
16-19
15-18
31-16
17-21
19-16
24-10
17-20
27-18
151.7Avg total
81.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.272.1152.3+8.180%
Season at home (8)83.471.5154.9+11.9100%
Season away (7)76.672.9149.4+3.757%
Last 10 (10)81.770.0151.7+11.790%
Last 5 (5)80.873.2154.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)82.481.0163.4+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)81.068.7149.7+12.292%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H14/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H21/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
Euroleague
74.0Avg total
37.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.175.9+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.135.578.6+7.669%-
Last 30 away (14)38.234.672.8+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.774.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.664.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (11)41.536.778.2+4.764%-
vs Weaker (18)40.434.174.5+6.361%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A14/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A16/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H18/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H21/11
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H02/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#14
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H14/12
Euroleague
77.0Avg total
40.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.876.3+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.333.874.1+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.737.778.4+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.777.0+3.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)43.841.285.0+2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.234.674.8+5.662%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.2
50.8%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.5
34.3%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.613.0
83.3%
77.2%13.0
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.2
38.8%
35.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.810.3
69.6%
77.2%10.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLLWLLW
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+7.4
Net rating
+16.5
109.1
Offensive rating
112.2
101.7
Defensive rating
95.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
14.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.3%
3-point %
38.8%
55.1%
Assist %
59.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 112.2Defence101.7 · 95.7Shooting51.1% · 54.5%3-point %34.3% · 38.8%Ball care14.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 33.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/21HPanathinaikos75-54
12/12/21HBrescia76-62
10/12/21AMonaco71-65
05/12/21ABrindisi79-53
03/12/21AAlba Berlin76-81
26/11/21HOlympiacos72-93
21/11/21HTreviso85-55
19/11/21AZenit Petersburg70-74
17/11/21AUnics Kazan71-97
14/11/21HReggiana84-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/21HAlba Berlin87-64
12/12/21HUnicaja79-74
10/12/21ABarcelona80-93
04/12/21ABasket Zaragoza86-65
02/12/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv72-70
25/11/21ABaskonia88-60
21/11/21HReal Betis71-48
18/11/21HCrvena zvezda79-67
16/11/21ALyon-Villeurbanne87-74
14/11/21AFuenlabrada88-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%88%43%
Points / game75.177.073.0
Allowed / game71.771.072.4
Point differential+3.5+6.0+0.6
Avg total146.8148.0145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%100%57%
Points / game80.283.476.6
Allowed / game72.171.572.9
Point differential+8.1+11.9+3.7
Avg total152.3154.9149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1614288%83.674.0+9.6
2 Real Madrid1512380%80.272.1+8.1
3 Olympiacos1510567%80.573.9+6.7
4 Olimpia Milano1510567%75.171.7+3.5
5 Unics Kazan159660%78.174.1+4.1
6 Zenit Petersburg159660%72.771.5+1.2
7 CSKA Moscow159660%79.278.7+0.5
8 Anadolu Efes168850%83.179.1+4.0
9 Bayern157847%74.075.4-1.4
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne157847%73.977.4-3.5
11 Fenerbahce167944%75.673.8+1.8
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv167944%78.178.8-0.7
13 Monaco156940%81.782.8-1.1
14 Crvena zvezda156940%70.772.3-1.7
15 Alba Berlin1551033%73.580.1-6.5
16 Baskonia1651131%70.278.9-8.7
17 Panathinaikos1641225%73.078.8-5.8
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1531220%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano198212573
Real Madrid1817202075
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