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Alba Berlin vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-89
15-19 21-29 20-25 18-16
Position#14
Record6-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game81.2
Alba Berlin
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#2
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game71.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2021
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Real Madrid
26 Dec 2024
ABE69
MAD80
19 Mar 2024
ABE79
MAD86
12 Jan 2023
ABE77
MAD84
20 Jan 2022
ABE74
MAD89
29 Jan 2021
ABE63
MAD72
15 Jan 2015
ABE61
MAD79
27 Dec 2012
ABE63
MAD77
05 Feb 2009
ABE84
MAD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
L
67-82
67
82
-15
53avg 78
A10/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 78
H12/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
50avg 78
A14/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
83avg 78
H17/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#14
W
83-81
83
81
+2
82avg 78
A19/12
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 78
H22/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 78
A27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
96-61
96
61
+35
no box
H31/12
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
89avg 78
A02/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
74avg 78
A18/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
18-13
9-14
15-25
22-16
16-25
18-19
17-20
16-19
10-24
20-17
18-27
21-23
27-25
25-21
17-24
19-22
21-21
18-20
25-18
23-21
17-9
29-26
23-28
26-20
28-26
26-19
29-14
31-12
24-20
24-11
17-18
26-24
15-22
19-15
28-19
24-22
16-16
19-22
17-24
164.9Avg total
83.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.681.2156.8-5.633%
Season at home (9)79.281.3160.6-2.144%
Season away (9)72.081.1153.1-9.122%
Last 10 (10)83.881.1164.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)92.277.6169.8+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.284.6160.8-8.322%
vs Similar (8)76.475.6152.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (13)84.172.3156.4+11.877%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
63avg 76
A10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 76
H12/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#14
W
87-64
87
64
+23
91avg 76
H14/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
71avg 76
A16/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 76
A19/12
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
71-65
71
65
+6
60avg 76
H23/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#6
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 76
A04/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
90-71
90
71
+19
87avg 76
A09/01
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H14/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
94-69
94
69
+25
87avg 76
H16/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
23-27
16-16
22-26
16-19
15-18
31-16
17-21
19-16
24-10
17-20
27-18
18-19
17-8
20-21
20-25
25-17
20-18
14-17
21-19
24-14
13-26
19-15
15-10
16-19
24-19
28-30
24-19
24-20
14-22
27-16
25-13
25-17
25-18
19-15
20-24
28-7
25-26
21-17
20-19
157.8Avg total
83.7Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.971.9151.8+8.083%
Season at home (10)82.771.1153.8+11.6100%
Season away (8)76.472.9149.2+3.562%
Last 10 (10)83.774.1157.8+9.690%
Last 5 (5)87.273.2160.4+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.279.5157.8-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)82.470.3152.7+12.192%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
Alba BerlinReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H12/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A14/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H17/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/12
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H31/12
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/01
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
42.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.378.6+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.938.076.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.740.480.1-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.083.5+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.484.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.141.981.0-2.844%-
vs Similar (8)36.237.273.5-1.038%-
vs Weaker (13)41.338.780.0+2.654%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A10/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#14
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H14/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A16/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A19/12
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H23/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A09/01
ACB
Baskonia
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H14/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H16/01
ACB
77.8Avg total
41.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.977.3+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.634.476.0+7.357%-
Last 30 away (16)41.237.278.4+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.477.8+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.681.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.541.282.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.435.076.4+6.362%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.8
54.5%
52.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.3
36.4%
35.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.012.1
80.7%
77.2%12.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.5
53.0%
52.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.7
40.8%
35.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.212.0
69.8%
77.2%12.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWWWLLLL
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWL
#14
League position
#2
+2.8
Net rating
+13.5
111.1
Offensive rating
114.7
108.3
Defensive rating
101.2
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.4%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.4%
3-point %
40.8%
70.1%
Assist %
54.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 114.7Defence108.3 · 101.2Shooting54.6% · 56.4%3-point %36.4% · 40.8%Ball care18.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
14/12/21Real Madrid v Alba Berlin87-64
29/01/21Alba Berlin v Real Madrid63-72
22/12/20Real Madrid v Alba Berlin91-62
12/03/15Real Madrid v Alba Berlin93-62
15/01/15Alba Berlin v Real Madrid61-79
22/02/13Real Madrid v Alba Berlin77-72
27/12/12Alba Berlin v Real Madrid63-77
12/03/09Real Madrid v Alba Berlin83-82
05/02/09Alba Berlin v Real Madrid84-87
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/22AOlimpia Milano76-84
02/01/22AHamburg88-80
31/12/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg96-61
27/12/21ABayreuth109-79
22/12/21HMonaco92-84
19/12/21AHeidelberg83-81
17/12/21HCSKA Moscow90-93
14/12/21AReal Madrid64-87
12/12/21HBayern73-80
10/12/21APanathinaikos67-82
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/22HBasket Zaragoza94-69
14/01/22HBaskonia89-74
09/01/22AJoventut Badalona90-71
04/01/22AManresa92-87
23/12/21HCSKA Moscow71-65
19/12/21AMurcia80-71
16/12/21AOlimpia Milano75-73
14/12/21HAlba Berlin87-64
12/12/21HUnicaja79-74
10/12/21ABarcelona80-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWWLW44%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%44%22%
Points / game75.679.272.0
Allowed / game81.281.381.1
Point differential-5.6-2.1-9.1
Avg total156.8160.6153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %83%100%62%
Points / game79.982.776.4
Allowed / game71.971.172.9
Point differential+8.0+11.6+3.5
Avg total151.8153.8149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1815383%79.971.9+8.0
2 Barcelona2116576%83.076.6+6.3
3 Olympiacos1812667%81.273.4+7.8
4 Olimpia Milano1812667%75.572.2+3.3
5 Unics Kazan1912763%78.574.0+4.5
6 CSKA Moscow1912763%80.778.9+1.8
7 Zenit Petersburg1912763%74.072.6+1.4
8 Monaco21101148%82.682.1+0.4
9 Anadolu Efes1991047%82.079.3+2.7
10 Fenerbahce1991047%76.774.3+2.5
11 Bayern1981142%74.575.8-1.3
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne1981142%73.980.1-6.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1871139%77.678.7-1.1
14 Crvena zvezda1871139%72.273.7-1.5
15 Baskonia1971237%72.279.1-6.8
16 Alba Berlin1861233%75.681.2-5.6
17 Panathinaikos1841422%72.680.2-7.6
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1831517%69.979.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1521201874
Real Madrid1929251689
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