PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Monaco vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 98-74
33-20 23-20 24-14 18-20
Position#3
Record11-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.3
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#1
Record19-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2023
Meetings · Monaco v Real Madrid
26 Dec 2025
MCO100
MAD95
31 Jan 2025
MCO77
MAD73
19 Jan 2024
MCO98
MAD74
03 Feb 2023
MCO91
MAD95
28 Jan 2022
MCO84
MAD90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Roanne
#17
W
116-73
116
73
+43
139avg 83
H17/12
LNB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
90-91
90
91
-1
90avg 83
H20/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
91-80
91
80
+11
80avg 83
A22/12
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
85-77
85
77
+8
91avg 83
A26/12
LNB
Barcelona
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 83
H29/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
83-93
83
93
-10
72avg 83
A02/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
64avg 83
A04/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
93-83
93
83
+10
79avg 83
H09/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
49avg 83
A11/01
Euroleague
Paris
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
82avg 83
A13/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
30-18
32-24
31-16
19-22
28-17
20-17
23-35
17-14
29-17
21-29
24-20
20-24
13-18
24-14
28-21
27-15
20-21
20-16
24-19
12-22
23-27
19-15
29-29
21-17
15-17
22-22
15-19
21-22
22-17
28-20
22-24
12-27
18-16
14-21
19-24
24-23
30-18
23-14
15-30
169.3Avg total
87.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.780.3161.0+0.452%
Season at home (9)85.979.8165.7+6.167%
Season away (12)76.880.7157.4-3.942%
Last 10 (10)87.781.6169.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)80.884.8165.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.091.0164.0-18.00%
vs Similar (17)83.380.2163.5+3.159%
vs Weaker (12)89.877.2166.9+12.692%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
88avg 75
H21/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
106avg 75
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
77-76
77
76
+1
71avg 75
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
81avg 75
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
117avg 75
H05/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
99-85
99
85
+14
100avg 75
A07/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 75
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
96-86 OT
96
86
+10
91avg 75
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
61-73
61
73
-12
58avg 75
A14/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
22-17
28-15
15-24
26-18
27-17
26-20
22-18
18-19
15-20
18-18
26-19
20-15
21-19
26-19
16-21
25-21
22-24
15-15
16-23
25-18
13-18
26-25
17-20
35-20
16-23
22-23
26-19
24-18
21-18
19-17
28-18
16-24
19-16
23-15
24-27
16-19
10-17
25-16
10-21
173.0Avg total
90.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.777.8167.4+11.990%
Season at home (10)94.179.6173.7+14.5100%
Season away (11)85.676.1161.7+9.582%
Last 10 (10)90.882.2173.0+8.680%
Last 5 (5)95.688.2183.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)86.782.7169.3+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)88.876.5165.3+12.389%
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
MonacoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#17
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H17/12
LNB
Panathinaikos
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H20/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/12
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A26/12
LNB
Barcelona
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H29/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A02/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H09/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/01
Euroleague
Paris
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/01
LNB
81.1Avg total
42.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.481.8+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.238.284.5+8.085%-
Last 30 away (17)39.440.479.7-1.041%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.781.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.280.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.053.092.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (17)41.439.580.9+1.953%-
vs Weaker (12)43.938.282.1+5.875%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/01
ACB
79.7Avg total
41.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.736.580.2+7.283%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.679.3+10.186%-
Last 30 away (16)42.838.280.9+4.681%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.079.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.277.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.436.179.6+7.381%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.2
51.1%
53.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.0
39.5%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
77.4%14.1
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.3
55.0%
53.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.7
36.9%
36.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.9
79.1%
77.4%15.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WLWLLWWWLW
Real Madrid
LWWWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+7.9
Net rating
+10.4
119.1
Offensive rating
113.2
111.3
Defensive rating
102.8
54.2%
Effective FG%
55.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
13.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.5%
3-point %
36.9%
57.1%
Assist %
67.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 113.2Defence111.3 · 102.8Shooting54.2% · 55.2%3-point %39.5% · 36.9%Ball care13.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 25.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Monaco   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monaco wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
16/11/23Real Madrid v Monaco91-73
03/02/23Monaco v Real Madrid91-95
08/12/22Real Madrid v Monaco94-95 OT
28/01/22Monaco v Real Madrid84-90 OT
13/10/21Real Madrid v Monaco94-86
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AParis92-85
11/01/24APanathinaikos63-88
09/01/24HBaskonia93-83
04/01/24AOlympiacos73-75
02/01/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv83-93
29/12/23HBarcelona91-71
26/12/23ABoulogne-Levallois85-77
22/12/23ABayern91-80
20/12/23HPanathinaikos90-91
17/12/23HRoanne116-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AMurcia61-73
11/01/24HValencia96-86 OT
09/01/24ABayern92-71
07/01/24ABaskonia99-85
05/01/24HAnadolu Efes130-126 OT
03/01/24ABarcelona78-83
31/12/23HValencia83-74
28/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
23/12/23AJoventut Badalona101-73
21/12/23HPartizan91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL52%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %52%67%42%
Points / game80.785.976.8
Allowed / game80.379.880.7
Point differential+0.4+6.1-3.9
Avg total161.0165.7157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%56%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %90%100%82%
Points / game89.794.185.6
Allowed / game77.879.676.1
Point differential+11.9+14.5+9.5
Avg total167.4173.7161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %14%20%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2119290%89.777.8+11.9
2 Barcelona2215768%83.079.8+3.1
3 Virtus Bologna2215768%81.680.6+1.0
4 Panathinaikos2113862%82.078.4+3.6
5 Fenerbahce2213959%83.982.0+1.8
6 Olympiacos22121055%77.574.6+2.9
7 Baskonia22121055%82.382.7-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv22121055%85.687.3-1.7
9 Monaco21111052%80.780.3+0.4
10 Partizan21111052%84.584.1+0.4
11 Valencia21101148%76.677.0-0.4
12 Olimpia Milano2191243%78.076.4+1.6
13 Crvena zvezda2291341%82.080.5+1.5
14 Bayern2291341%79.281.9-2.7
15 Anadolu Efes2291341%84.988.0-3.0
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2281436%79.481.3-2.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2241818%78.687.0-8.4
18 Alba Berlin2241818%75.484.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco3323241898
Real Madrid2020142074
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.