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Monaco vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-73
20-13 16-26 23-17 18-17
Position#4
Record14-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game83.0
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record13-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game83.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2024
Meetings · Monaco v Real Madrid
26 Dec 2025
MCO100
MAD95
31 Jan 2025
MCO77
MAD73
19 Jan 2024
MCO98
MAD74
03 Feb 2023
MCO91
MAD95
28 Jan 2022
MCO84
MAD90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
105-90
105
90
+15
107avg 89
A02/01
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
109-82
109
82
+27
123avg 89
H05/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#6
W
99-84
99
84
+15
102avg 89
A07/01
French Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
73avg 89
H09/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
99avg 89
A11/01
LNB
Bayern
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 89
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
82-88 OT
82
88
-6
74avg 89
A17/01
Euroleague
Nancy
#9
W
117-96
117
96
+21
132avg 89
H19/01
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 89
A23/01
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
91avg 89
A26/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
25-14
24-32
26-23
22-27
32-22
29-21
26-12
21-26
33-21
26-19
19-18
17-25
24-20
19-21
24-32
18-18
21-22
15-15
27-18
13-30
27-23
28-25
26-17
21-13
13-23
26-23
16-17
30-25
28-21
30-28
29-22
18-26
23-23
15-13
30-18
24-17
13-25
28-15
16-17
179.8Avg total
93.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.583.0170.4+4.561%
Season at home (11)91.285.2176.4+6.064%
Season away (12)84.180.9165.0+3.258%
Last 10 (10)93.886.0179.8+7.870%
Last 5 (5)92.086.6178.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.986.1174.0+1.953%
vs Weaker (15)91.379.2170.5+12.187%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
81avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 83
A06/01
ACB
Granada
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 83
A08/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
77avg 83
A10/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 83
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
116-113
116
113
+3
110avg 83
H14/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
86-96
86
96
-10
79avg 83
H16/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
99avg 83
A19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 83
H23/01
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 83
H26/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
24-14
15-20
26-26
28-18
19-21
16-17
26-26
18-25
20-23
18-16
28-15
15-26
20-8
20-12
28-18
15-20
30-22
34-16
17-28
33-30
24-33
34-27
25-23
19-22
19-25
16-26
32-23
22-24
34-17
21-18
23-25
22-21
20-24
22-22
26-22
29-12
17-18
23-21
21-23
176.5Avg total
92.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.283.1169.3+3.157%
Season at home (13)89.685.2174.8+4.469%
Season away (10)81.880.4162.2+1.440%
Last 10 (10)92.284.3176.5+7.990%
Last 5 (5)96.491.2187.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.282.5166.8+1.850%
vs Weaker (18)89.279.6168.7+9.683%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +2.3+2.3
MonacoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A02/01
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H05/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A07/01
French Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H09/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A11/01
LNB
Bayern
#7
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/01
Euroleague
Nancy
#9
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H19/01
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A23/01
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A26/01
LNB
89.5Avg total
45.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.786.4+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.240.887.0+5.367%-
Last 30 away (18)43.842.386.1+1.544%-
Last 10 (10)45.344.289.5+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.287.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.143.587.6+0.747%-
vs Weaker (15)45.339.985.3+5.460%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A06/01
ACB
Granada
#17
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A08/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H14/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H16/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/01
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/01
ACB
87.0Avg total
45.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.583.4+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.440.583.9+2.959%-
Last 30 away (13)42.240.582.7+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.987.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)47.845.293.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.841.880.6-3.133%-
vs Weaker (18)45.639.785.3+5.978%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.2
59.1%
54.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.811.5
42.9%
36.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
78.0%15.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.623.0
59.6%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
36.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.417.5
78.1%
78.0%17.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWWLLWLWWW
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#8
+10.0
Net rating
+10.5
125.0
Offensive rating
121.4
115.0
Defensive rating
110.9
61.3%
Effective FG%
56.9%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
42.9%
3-point %
35.4%
63.3%
Assist %
52.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence125.0 · 121.4Defence115.0 · 110.9Shooting61.3% · 56.9%3-point %42.9% · 35.4%Ball care17.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds34.7% · 32.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Monaco   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Monaco wins
5
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
19/12/24Real Madrid v Monaco94-72
19/01/24Monaco v Real Madrid98-74
16/11/23Real Madrid v Monaco91-73
03/02/23Monaco v Real Madrid91-95
08/12/22Real Madrid v Monaco94-95 OT
28/01/22Monaco v Real Madrid84-90 OT
13/10/21Real Madrid v Monaco94-86
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ALe Mans81-74
23/01/25AVirtus Bologna86-80
19/01/25HNancy117-96
17/01/25ACrvena zvezda82-88 OT
15/01/25ABayern94-95
11/01/25ANanterre81-73
09/01/25HBarcelona84-98
07/01/25AAda Blois99-84
05/01/25HChalon/Saone109-82
02/01/25AAlba Berlin105-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HLeyma Coruna90-74
23/01/25HBaskonia90-89
19/01/25AMoraBanc Andorra100-84
16/01/25HOlympiacos86-96
14/01/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv116-113
12/01/25HTenerife96-86
10/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas83-64
08/01/25AGranada84-79
06/01/25ABaskonia89-82
03/01/25HBayern88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW61%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayLWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%64%58%
Points / game87.591.284.1
Allowed / game83.085.280.9
Point differential+4.5+6.0+3.2
Avg total170.4176.4165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %57%69%40%
Points / game86.289.681.8
Allowed / game83.185.280.4
Point differential+3.1+4.4+1.4
Avg total169.3174.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2316770%87.582.2+5.3
2 Fenerbahce2316770%81.680.0+1.7
3 Monaco2314961%87.583.0+4.5
4 Paris2314961%86.084.7+1.3
5 Panathinaikos24141058%86.282.5+3.7
6 Bayern24141058%86.587.8-1.3
7 Real Madrid23131057%86.283.1+3.1
8 Crvena zvezda23131057%83.081.3+1.6
9 Barcelona24131154%86.584.4+2.1
10 Olimpia Milano24131154%86.085.3+0.7
11 Partizan23121152%83.880.5+3.3
12 Anadolu Efes23111248%84.682.3+2.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas24111346%77.379.0-1.7
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne24111346%81.584.9-3.4
15 Baskonia24101442%80.882.2-1.4
16 Virtus Bologna2471729%80.784.6-4.0
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2461825%84.990.0-5.0
18 Alba Berlin2442017%80.292.1-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2016231877
Real Madrid1326171773
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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