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Monaco vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-95
20-24 26-26 25-20 20-25
Position#4
Record14-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#2
Record15-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23
European cup2022
Meetings · Monaco v Real Madrid
26 Dec 2025
MCO100
MAD95
31 Jan 2025
MCO77
MAD73
19 Jan 2024
MCO98
MAD74
03 Feb 2023
MCO91
MAD95
28 Jan 2022
MCO84
MAD90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
80-100
80
100
-20
69avg 80
A05/01
Euroleague
Pau-Orthez
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
73avg 80
H08/01
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
W
64-60
64
60
+4
59avg 80
H10/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
68-92
68
92
-24
56avg 80
A12/01
Euroleague
Cholet
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 80
A15/01
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
no box
A19/01
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 80
H22/01
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
101-88
101
88
+13
99avg 80
H26/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
72-63
72
63
+9
67avg 80
A29/01
LNB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
102-84
102
84
+18
94avg 80
A01/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
30-22
21-21
12-31
25-20
20-22
16-16
22-19
8-20
23-14
15-8
18-18
15-23
21-31
14-18
18-20
26-24
15-27
27-21
21-16
20-20
27-19
13-21
24-24
14-17
25-23
20-23
24-16
29-22
28-28
23-24
21-14
16-16
18-18
15-11
23-18
22-24
29-12
22-18
29-30
166.5Avg total
83.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.282.6165.8+0.664%
Season at home (10)83.680.6164.2+3.080%
Season away (12)82.984.2167.2-1.350%
Last 10 (10)83.682.9166.5+0.770%
Last 5 (5)90.482.4172.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.577.0156.5+2.5100%
vs Similar (12)82.283.0165.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (16)87.480.6168.0+6.975%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-65
98
65
+33
107avg 79
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
105-85
105
85
+20
109avg 79
H08/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
79-59
79
59
+20
78avg 79
A10/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 79
A12/01
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
82-62
82
62
+20
76avg 79
A15/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
53avg 79
A20/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
87avg 79
H22/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
no box
H26/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
96avg 79
A29/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
83-68
83
68
+15
78avg 79
H01/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-7
29-27
27-15
20-16
25-23
25-13
26-24
29-25
25-16
13-18
19-17
22-8
25-12
21-23
20-24
18-18
19-14
13-10
25-22
25-16
15-19
13-17
16-18
16-19
24-11
22-26
28-9
17-27
16-20
16-19
18-20
23-14
32-22
25-14
19-13
18-20
26-14
22-16
20-27
15-11
158.4Avg total
86.7Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.576.9160.4+6.768%
Season at home (11)90.680.1170.7+10.573%
Season away (11)76.573.6150.1+2.864%
Last 10 (10)86.771.7158.4+15.090%
Last 5 (5)83.873.8157.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)86.380.3166.7+6.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.273.0159.2+13.186%
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
MonacoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A05/01
Euroleague
Pau-Orthez
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/01
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H10/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A12/01
Euroleague
Cholet
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A15/01
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A19/01
Euroleague
Nancy
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/01
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H26/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A29/01
LNB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A01/02
Euroleague
85.6Avg total
42.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.584.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.583.9+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)43.342.585.8+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.885.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.885.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.041.079.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (12)43.241.684.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker (16)44.241.485.7+2.856%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/01
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A15/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H22/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H26/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A29/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/02
Euroleague
76.9Avg total
42.8Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.936.880.7+7.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.136.183.3+11.093%-
Last 30 away (15)40.737.578.1+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)42.834.176.9+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)43.341.084.3+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.135.079.1+9.181%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.9
54.9%
53.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.0
32.0%
36.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
78.5%14.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.5
56.6%
53.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.6
33.7%
36.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
78.5%15.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWWWLWLWWL
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
+1.5
Net rating
+18.3
113.6
Offensive rating
115.1
112.0
Defensive rating
96.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
33.7%
55.2%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 115.1Defence112.0 · 96.9Shooting52.5% · 54.2%3-point %32.0% · 33.7%Ball care16.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds35.8% · 34.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Monaco   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monaco wins
2
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
08/12/22Real Madrid v Monaco94-95 OT
28/01/22Monaco v Real Madrid84-90 OT
13/10/21Real Madrid v Monaco94-86
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23AAlba Berlin102-84
29/01/23ALyon-Villeurbanne72-63
26/01/23HOlimpia Milano101-88
22/01/23HNancy83-79
19/01/23AFenerbahce94-98 OT
15/01/23ACholet89-88
12/01/23ACrvena zvezda68-92
10/01/23HOlympiacos64-60
08/01/23HPau-Orthez83-77
05/01/23APartizan80-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23HPanathinaikos83-68
29/01/23AManresa94-69
26/01/23HBarcelona91-86 OT
22/01/23HBreogan91-73
20/01/23AOlympiacos60-73
15/01/23AGranada82-62
12/01/23AAlba Berlin84-77
10/01/23ACrvena zvezda79-59
08/01/23HGran Canaria105-85
06/01/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game83.283.682.9
Allowed / game82.680.684.2
Point differential+0.6+3.0-1.3
Avg total165.8164.2167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)86% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %14%10%17%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%73%64%
Points / game83.590.676.5
Allowed / game76.980.173.6
Point differential+6.7+10.5+2.8
Avg total160.4170.7150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2215768%85.476.4+9.0
2 Real Madrid2215768%83.576.9+6.7
3 Barcelona2315865%80.377.7+2.7
4 Monaco2214864%83.282.6+0.6
5 Fenerbahce2314961%83.980.8+3.1
6 Baskonia22121055%85.483.3+2.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas22121055%75.876.9-1.1
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv23121152%82.382.7-0.4
9 Valencia23121152%82.583.5-1.0
10 Anadolu Efes22111150%82.879.4+3.5
11 Partizan22111150%84.283.5+0.7
12 Virtus Bologna22101245%78.080.5-2.5
13 Crvena zvezda23101343%75.077.7-2.7
14 Bayern2391439%76.678.5-1.9
15 Panathinaikos2281436%78.582.4-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2281436%75.280.0-4.9
17 Olimpia Milano2381535%71.677.2-5.6
18 Alba Berlin2361726%81.585.4-3.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2026252091
Real Madrid2426202595
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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