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Bayern vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 64-58
18-10 15-11 17-16 14-21
Position#15
Record12-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game82.7
Bayern 🏆
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Position#13
Record11-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas
26 Mar 2027
BAY v ZAL
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
BAY70
ZAL98
07 Nov 2024
BAY77
ZAL74
15 Mar 2024
BAY64
ZAL58
14 Apr 2023
BAY80
ZAL83
11 Jan 2022
BAY74
ZAL65
01 Apr 2021
BAY71
ZAL70
14 Dec 2018
BAY88
ZAL84
28 Feb 2014
BAY79
ZAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 78
A08/02
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
116-86
116
86
+30
112avg 78
A11/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
89-80
89
80
+9
87avg 78
H13/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
75avg 78
A17/02
German Cup
Ulm
#3
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 78
H18/02
German Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
95avg 78
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
74-66
74
66
+8
72avg 78
H01/03
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 78
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
86-109
86
109
-23
81avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
H10/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
15-22
18-18
20-15
34-21
27-22
28-14
27-29
22-21
17-32
23-19
27-8
21-22
27-10
15-9
18-21
9-18
26-10
24-19
22-18
29-21
17-17
22-23
18-13
20-19
12-8
21-19
21-20
25-15
31-21
22-22
12-23
28-26
21-27
16-35
21-21
24-21
32-19
14-18
10-22
166.1Avg total
87.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.682.7162.3-3.143%
Season at home (13)82.081.1163.1+0.962%
Season away (15)77.584.1161.6-6.527%
Last 10 (10)87.079.1166.1+7.980%
Last 5 (5)84.884.0168.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.489.0166.4-11.60%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.482.5164.8-0.164%
vs Weaker (14)90.874.4165.2+16.493%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
96-70
96
70
+26
97avg 79
H31/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 79
H02/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
101-63
101
63
+38
109avg 79
H05/02
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 79
A09/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
102avg 79
A12/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 79
H17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
87avg 79
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#4
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 79
H01/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 79
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
79avg 79
H10/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-14
24-23
18-22
20-11
25-25
19-13
20-18
16-12
22-14
34-12
17-26
28-11
23-22
22-23
23-20
25-26
24-13
24-22
27-20
20-20
20-25
21-22
26-16
20-14
23-19
29-19
18-18
16-14
20-23
19-18
17-28
20-26
21-21
19-21
22-14
14-27
28-26
23-22
21-28
25-18
167.3Avg total
88.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.081.3161.3-1.439%
Season at home (13)81.180.2161.3+0.846%
Season away (15)79.082.3161.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)88.778.6167.3+10.180%
Last 5 (5)84.483.8168.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.684.1166.8-1.536%
vs Weaker (15)87.274.0161.2+13.280%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
BayernZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A11/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H13/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/02
German Cup
Ulm
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H18/02
German Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/03
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H10/03
BBL
85.8Avg total
46.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.482.6+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.739.482.1+3.367%-
Last 30 away (12)43.839.583.3+4.358%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.585.8+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.886.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.241.277.4-5.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.542.783.2-2.336%-
vs Weaker (14)47.736.283.9+11.593%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H31/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H02/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H05/02
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A12/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/03
LKL
87.1Avg total
47.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.585.4+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.741.487.1+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)43.839.483.2+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)47.439.787.1+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.287.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.143.487.5+0.643%-
vs Weaker (15)45.738.083.7+7.773%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.118.9
62.8%
53.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.6
42.0%
36.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.714.3
80.8%
77.4%14.3
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.0
61.3%
53.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.7
36.7%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
77.4%15.0
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLWWWWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWWWWWWW
#15
League position
#13
+15.8
Net rating
+14.5
128.2
Offensive rating
123.8
112.4
Defensive rating
109.3
62.9%
Effective FG%
58.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
42.0%
3-point %
36.7%
61.0%
Assist %
67.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence128.2 · 123.8Defence112.4 · 109.3Shooting62.9% · 58.7%3-point %42.0% · 36.7%Ball care16.3% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.1% · 32.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Bayern   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern74-73
14/04/23Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas80-83
23/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern75-67
11/01/22Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas74-65
21/10/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern73-75
01/04/21Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas71-70
23/12/20Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern74-73
14/03/19Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern85-79
14/12/18Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas88-84
28/02/14Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas79-73
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HVechta88-90 OT
07/03/24AAnadolu Efes86-109
03/03/24HBonn90-81
01/03/24HCrvena zvezda74-66
28/02/24HGottingen86-74
18/02/24HUlm81-65
17/02/24ABamberg81-62
13/02/24HChemnitz89-80
11/02/24ASyntainics MBC116-86
08/02/24APartizan79-78
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HRytas97-94
07/03/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-83
01/03/24HOlympiacos76-95
18/02/24HLietkabelis86-70
17/02/24HSiauliai87-77
12/02/24ANeptunas95-75
09/02/24ACrvena zvezda93-91
05/02/24HJuventus101-63
02/02/24HPanathinaikos80-68
31/01/24HAnadolu Efes96-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayLLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %43%62%27%
Points / game79.682.077.5
Allowed / game82.781.184.1
Point differential-3.1+0.9-6.5
Avg total162.3163.1161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %14%15%13%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL39%
HomeWWWWL46%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %39%46%33%
Points / game80.081.179.0
Allowed / game81.380.282.3
Point differential-1.4+0.8-3.3
Avg total161.3161.3161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%23%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2822679%88.680.8+7.8
2 Barcelona2920969%83.078.3+4.7
3 Monaco29191066%82.078.8+3.3
4 Olympiacos29181162%78.874.7+4.1
5 Panathinaikos29181162%81.077.1+3.9
6 Fenerbahce29181162%85.081.6+3.4
7 Virtus Bologna28171161%80.380.7-0.4
8 Baskonia29161355%84.183.6+0.5
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%86.987.1-0.2
10 Partizan29131645%83.384.2-0.9
11 Valencia29131645%76.578.2-1.7
12 Bayern28121643%79.682.7-3.1
13 Olimpia Milano29121741%77.177.4-0.3
14 Anadolu Efes29121741%85.587.8-2.3
15 Zalgiris Kaunas28111739%80.081.3-1.4
16 Crvena zvezda29101934%81.381.3+0.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2972224%78.285.6-7.3
18 Alba Berlin2952417%75.985.9-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1815171464
Zalgiris Kaunas1011162158
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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