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Monaco vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-78
25-15 13-19 19-20 22-24
Position#3
Record19-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.4
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record14-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2023
Meetings · Monaco v Valencia
17 Oct 2025
MCO90
VAL84
22 Mar 2024
MCO79
VAL78
24 Mar 2023
MCO90
VAL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#7
W
94-81
94
81
+13
112avg 83
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Paris
#1
L
93-98
93
98
-5
99avg 83
H17/02
Leaders Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
96avg 83
A28/02
LNB
Barcelona
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
73avg 83
A01/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
98-80
98
80
+18
92avg 83
H07/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
72-68
72
68
+4
88avg 83
A10/03
LNB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
90-82
90
82
+8
79avg 83
A14/03
Euroleague
Nanterre
#9
W
94-92
94
92
+2
85avg 83
H16/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#10
L
89-93
89
93
-4
76avg 83
A17/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
80-98
80
98
-18
69avg 83
H20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
35-25
21-19
10-18
24-21
30-32
27-22
12-23
27-22
27-14
18-20
14-24
12-21
21-14
27-16
17-16
25-17
21-21
23-22
29-20
23-17
8-22
24-10
17-19
13-27
32-12
24-23
21-20
21-20
27-27
28-23
18-22
18-29
19-19
23-30
29-15
20-27
24-31
23-18
13-22
171.2Avg total
87.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.079.4161.4+2.663%
Season at home (14)86.479.2165.6+7.271%
Season away (16)78.179.6157.6-1.556%
Last 10 (10)87.383.9171.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)85.086.6171.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)96.083.0179.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (16)83.382.1165.4+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.875.1158.9+8.7100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
L
78-93
78
93
-15
75avg 71
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 71
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
69avg 71
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
111-93
111
93
+18
103avg 71
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 71
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
97avg 71
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
88-118
88
118
-30
86avg 71
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
71avg 71
A17/03
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
70-68
70
68
+2
62avg 71
H20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
15-14
25-28
20-23
17-18
15-17
16-19
29-23
17-23
22-25
16-32
21-15
20-18
12-26
25-21
17-22
25-25
28-31
27-20
31-17
18-18
24-19
15-22
21-29
27-20
22-20
20-18
28-17
19-22
18-35
24-28
27-33
20-23
29-25
16-21
23-23
28-15
17-22
12-19
13-12
173.9Avg total
84.9Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.377.9154.2-1.647%
Season at home (16)77.477.1154.6+0.356%
Season away (14)75.078.8153.8-3.836%
Last 10 (10)84.989.0173.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)84.288.2172.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.490.4166.8-14.00%
vs Similar (13)78.178.1156.2+0.054%
vs Weaker (8)87.981.9169.8+6.062%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
MonacoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#7
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Paris
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H17/02
Leaders Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A28/02
LNB
Barcelona
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A01/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/03
LNB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A14/03
Euroleague
Nanterre
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H16/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A17/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H20/03
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
45.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.683.6+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.141.687.8+4.581%-
Last 30 away (14)39.439.478.8+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.789.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.287.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.043.595.5+8.5100%-
vs Similar (16)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.936.978.8+5.070%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A17/03
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H20/03
Euroleague
85.5Avg total
41.1Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.279.9-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.242.081.2-2.827%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.378.7-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.485.5-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.888.2+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.943.281.1-5.425%-
vs Similar (13)37.639.677.2-2.038%-
vs Weaker (8)42.442.484.8+0.038%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.6
53.4%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.918.3
70.7%
77.4%18.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.2
54.9%
53.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.0
35.1%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
77.4%14.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LLWWWWWWLW
Valencia
WLLWLWLLWL
#3
League position
#14
+4.5
Net rating
-9.0
117.9
Offensive rating
110.8
113.4
Defensive rating
119.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.9%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.3%
3-point %
35.1%
61.5%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 110.8Defence113.4 · 119.8Shooting52.0% · 54.1%3-point %33.3% · 35.1%Ball care14.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds36.5% · 25.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Monaco   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monaco wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
06/10/23Valencia v Monaco70-65
24/03/23Monaco v Valencia90-79
11/11/22Valencia v Monaco89-84
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HOlimpia Milano80-98
17/03/24AStrasbourg89-93
16/03/24HNanterre94-92
14/03/24AAlba Berlin90-82
10/03/24AGravelines-Dunkerque72-68
07/03/24HCrvena zvezda98-80
01/03/24ABarcelona77-67
28/02/24ANanterre86-80
17/02/24HParis93-98
16/02/24HLe Mans94-81
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HBayern70-68
17/03/24ABasquet Girona88-92
14/03/24AFenerbahce88-118
10/03/24AObradoiro CAB97-75
07/03/24HBarcelona78-88
03/03/24HPalencia111-93
29/02/24AVirtus Bologna74-87
17/02/24AReal Madrid76-95
15/02/24AGran Canaria89-81 OT
11/02/24ABilbao78-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL63%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %63%71%56%
Points / game82.086.478.1
Allowed / game79.479.279.6
Point differential+2.6+7.2-1.5
Avg total161.4165.6157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (1)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW47%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %47%56%36%
Points / game76.377.475.0
Allowed / game77.977.178.8
Point differential-1.6+0.3-3.8
Avg total154.2154.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%6%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)56% (9)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3125681%88.580.4+8.1
2 Barcelona30201067%82.778.6+4.0
3 Panathinaikos30191163%81.377.1+4.2
4 Fenerbahce30191163%85.181.3+3.8
5 Monaco30191163%82.079.4+2.6
6 Olympiacos31191261%78.674.7+4.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv30171357%87.387.2+0.1
8 Virtus Bologna30171357%80.181.5-1.3
9 Baskonia31161552%83.884.1-0.3
10 Valencia30141647%76.377.9-1.6
11 Partizan31141745%83.284.3-1.1
12 Anadolu Efes31141745%85.587.1-1.7
13 Olimpia Milano30131743%77.877.5+0.3
14 Bayern30131743%78.781.4-2.7
15 Zalgiris Kaunas31131842%80.280.6-0.4
16 Crvena zvezda30102033%81.281.6-0.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3172423%78.285.8-7.6
18 Alba Berlin3152616%76.385.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2513192279
Valencia1519202478
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