PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-76
25-17 23-17 23-23 23-19
Position#13
Record12-18
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#9
Record16-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia
10 Dec 2026
ZAL v BAS
upcoming
25 Nov 2025
ZAL82
BAS67
28 Nov 2024
ZAL70
BAS83
21 Mar 2024
ZAL94
BAS76
10 Feb 2023
ZAL79
BAS75
02 Dec 2021
ZAL72
BAS68
15 Dec 2020
ZAL92
BAS73
12 Oct 2018
ZAL79
BAS87
16 Nov 2017
ZAL77
BAS97
21 Oct 2016
ZAL78
BAS73
30 Dec 2015
ZAL68
BAS89
23 Nov 2012
ZAL82
BAS45
15 Dec 2010
ZAL89
BAS95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 79
A09/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
102avg 79
A12/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 79
H17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
87avg 79
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#4
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 79
H01/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 79
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
79avg 79
H10/03
LKL
Bayern
#15
L
58-64
58
64
-6
45avg 79
A15/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
97-77
97
77
+20
96avg 79
H17/03
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
22-23
23-20
25-26
24-13
24-22
27-20
20-20
20-25
21-22
26-16
20-14
23-19
29-19
18-18
16-14
20-23
19-18
17-28
20-26
21-21
19-21
22-14
14-27
28-26
23-22
21-28
25-18
10-18
11-15
16-17
21-14
25-14
28-20
23-23
21-20
22-22
21-27
25-14
28-18
166.8Avg total
86.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.880.7160.5-1.040%
Season at home (14)82.180.3162.4+1.950%
Season away (16)77.781.1158.8-3.431%
Last 10 (10)86.180.7166.8+5.470%
Last 5 (5)84.879.8164.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.182.7164.8-0.540%
vs Weaker (14)88.673.2161.9+15.486%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
78-95
78
95
-17
71avg 68
A04/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
94-80
94
80
+14
97avg 68
H08/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 68
H11/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
96-111
96
111
-15
96avg 68
A01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
80-98
80
98
-18
74avg 68
A03/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 68
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
103-96
103
96
+7
94avg 68
H10/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 68
H14/03
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 68
H16/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 68
A19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
24-20
19-27
18-22
23-20
29-19
19-22
23-19
18-22
18-21
19-21
23-17
34-32
20-23
24-23
18-33
22-26
17-22
18-20
23-30
23-10
19-24
21-13
25-24
23-19
27-23
32-28
21-26
19-18
29-16
21-21
19-18
27-21
25-23
25-16
27-28
16-23
26-21
18-25
23-18
177.2Avg total
89.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.183.7167.8+0.353%
Season at home (16)81.779.1160.8+2.662%
Season away (14)86.889.1175.9-2.343%
Last 10 (10)89.288.0177.2+1.250%
Last 5 (5)93.283.0176.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.788.4172.1-4.743%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.688.2174.8-1.547%
vs Weaker (6)91.881.2173.0+10.783%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
Zalgiris KaunasBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A12/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/03
LKL
Bayern
#15
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A15/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/03
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H19/03
Euroleague
84.5Avg total
43.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.140.185.2+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.540.286.7+6.265%-
Last 30 away (13)43.340.083.3+3.354%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.284.5+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.282.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.942.985.9+0.040%-
vs Weaker (14)47.537.384.8+10.279%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A04/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H10/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/03
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H16/03
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A19/03
Euroleague
88.5Avg total
45.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.285.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.484.8+2.069%-
Last 30 away (14)41.945.287.1-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)45.642.988.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.686.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.143.083.1-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.144.287.2-1.147%-
vs Weaker (6)44.540.585.0+4.067%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.4
58.6%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.6
36.4%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
77.4%15.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.420.2
62.3%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.2
38.8%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.614.4
77.4%
77.4%14.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLLWWWW
Baskonia
LWWWWLLLWL
#13
League position
#9
+7.5
Net rating
+2.2
118.5
Offensive rating
124.0
111.0
Defensive rating
121.8
56.9%
Effective FG%
60.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.4%
3-point %
38.8%
66.0%
Assist %
61.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 124.0Defence111.0 · 121.8Shooting56.9% · 60.4%3-point %36.4% · 38.8%Ball care16.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.3% · 28.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24HVirtus Bologna96-81
17/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes97-77
15/03/24ABayern58-64
10/03/24HRytas97-94
07/03/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-83
01/03/24HOlympiacos76-95
18/02/24HLietkabelis86-70
17/02/24HSiauliai87-77
12/02/24ANeptunas95-75
09/02/24ACrvena zvezda93-91
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24APartizan83-87
16/03/24HGranada104-88
14/03/24HOlimpia Milano88-73
10/03/24HBarcelona103-96
08/03/24HAlba Berlin88-71
03/03/24AGran Canaria80-98
01/03/24AFenerbahce96-111
11/02/24HJoventut Badalona78-81
08/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne94-80
04/02/24ATenerife78-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %40%50%31%
Points / game79.882.177.7
Allowed / game80.780.381.1
Point differential-1.0+1.9-3.4
Avg total160.5162.4158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game84.181.786.8
Allowed / game83.779.189.1
Point differential+0.3+2.6-2.3
Avg total167.8160.8175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3024680%88.580.5+8.0
2 Barcelona30201067%82.778.6+4.0
3 Panathinaikos30191163%81.377.1+4.2
4 Fenerbahce30191163%85.181.3+3.8
5 Monaco30191163%82.079.4+2.6
6 Olympiacos30181260%78.675.0+3.6
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv30171357%87.387.2+0.1
8 Virtus Bologna30171357%80.181.5-1.3
9 Baskonia30161453%84.183.7+0.3
10 Partizan30141647%83.584.2-0.7
11 Valencia30141647%76.377.9-1.6
12 Anadolu Efes31141745%85.587.1-1.7
13 Olimpia Milano30131743%77.877.5+0.3
14 Bayern30131743%78.781.4-2.7
15 Zalgiris Kaunas30121840%79.880.7-1.0
16 Crvena zvezda30102033%81.281.6-0.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3072323%78.686.0-7.4
18 Alba Berlin3152616%76.385.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2523232394
Baskonia1717231976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.