PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Monferrato vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-77
13-20 21-20 21-21 20-16
Position#24
Record6-21
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.9
Monferrato
Italy
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record22-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game72.9
ItalySerie A2Round 28· PalaFerraris
Other2023-24
Meetings · Monferrato v Forli
23 Mar 2024
MONF75
FORL77
30 Apr 2022
MONF78
FORL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
no box
A06/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 69
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
103-94
103
94
+9
95avg 69
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 69
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 69
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 69
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
89-67
89
67
+22
83avg 69
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 69
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
79-80
79
80
-1
69avg 69
H03/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
80-100
80
100
-20
74avg 69
A09/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-26
22-23
22-17
25-24
13-21
17-13
16-24
24-19
29-19
22-26
28-30
17-21
16-26
20-21
18-24
14-19
18-27
19-20
24-26
17-16
20-24
19-17
17-22
12-21
16-18
33-10
28-18
18-18
20-22
17-21
21-28
14-15
18-21
24-25
23-19
18-25
26-16
18-30
18-29
170.5Avg total
82.0Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.684.9164.4-5.322%
Season at home (13)78.179.5157.6-1.538%
Season away (14)81.089.8170.8-8.87%
Last 10 (10)82.088.5170.5-6.520%
Last 5 (5)79.483.0162.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.885.9165.7-6.118%
vs Similar (19)79.782.5162.2-2.832%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 70
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 70
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 70
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 70
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 70
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 70
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 70
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 70
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
52avg 70
H10/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
19-25
17-28
21-20
21-12
14-22
20-21
21-13
19-9
23-26
19-27
21-12
9-20
22-14
19-14
23-13
25-18
21-16
18-16
28-14
24-16
17-22
22-18
20-17
17-20
25-22
19-13
19-14
20-19
17-14
21-15
15-11
22-20
23-15
22-27
14-17
20-17
24-18
14-23
11-20
149.7Avg total
78.6Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.372.9152.2+6.481%
Season at home (14)80.669.9150.6+10.793%
Season away (13)77.976.1154.0+1.869%
Last 10 (10)78.671.1149.7+7.580%
Last 5 (5)77.271.6148.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)74.973.9148.8+1.059%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.072.8155.8+10.292%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.2+4.2
MonferratoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/03
Serie A2
80.1Avg total
38.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.679.6-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.440.476.8-4.027%-
Last 30 away (15)39.642.882.4-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.180.1-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.275.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.344.581.8-7.318%-
vs Similar (19)38.439.978.3-1.537%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
76.0Avg total
40.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.576.0+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.634.073.6+5.688%-
Last 30 away (14)39.339.478.7-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.876.0+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)36.937.674.5-0.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.835.177.8+7.785%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.9
50.3%
50.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.7
32.1%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.8
77.6%
74.2%12.8
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.6
47.4%
50.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.5
36.4%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.1
75.8%
74.2%14.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monferrato
LLLWLLLWLL
Forli
LWWWWWWWWL
#24
League position
#2
-7.6
Net rating
+10.5
103.8
Offensive rating
108.8
111.4
Defensive rating
98.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
36.4%
52.5%
Assist %
48.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 108.8Defence111.4 · 98.3Shooting49.4% · 50.4%3-point %32.1% · 36.4%Ball care15.7% · 16.3%Off. rebounds25.3% · 30.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Monferrato   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Monferrato wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
30/04/22Monferrato v Forli78-79
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ANardo80-100
03/03/24HVerona79-80
24/02/24AAssigeco Piacenza76-89
18/02/24HFortitudo Bologna89-67
10/02/24ACento73-79
04/02/24AUrania Milano75-92
26/01/24HCantu71-92
21/01/24ALatina103-94
14/01/24HBasket Torino71-82
06/01/24AJuVi Cremona103-110 OT
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HBasket Torino69-78
03/03/24ALuiss Roma81-79
24/02/24HUrania Milano73-59
18/02/24AAgrigento80-69
11/02/24HSebastiani Rieti83-73
04/02/24HTrieste92-64
28/01/24AUdine73-61
21/01/24HChiusi82-74
13/01/24HVerona76-68
06/01/24ACividale77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %22%38%7%
Points / game79.678.181.0
Allowed / game84.979.589.8
Point differential-5.3-1.5-8.8
Avg total164.4157.6170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL81%
HomeWWWWL93%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %81%93%69%
Points / game79.380.677.9
Allowed / game72.969.976.1
Point differential+6.4+10.7+1.8
Avg total152.2150.6154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%43%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %19%29%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2624292%89.776.9+12.8
2 Forli2722581%79.372.9+6.4
3 Udine2720774%79.569.7+9.9
4 Fortitudo Bologna2720774%76.671.6+5.0
5 Basket Torino2820871%84.980.8+4.1
6 Cantu2719870%87.480.2+7.2
7 Sebastiani Rieti27171063%81.177.8+3.3
8 Verona27171063%76.473.8+2.6
9 Trieste28161257%80.278.8+1.4
10 Urania Milano27141352%82.483.5-1.0
11 Rimini27131448%78.376.7+1.5
12 JuVi Cremona27131448%84.685.4-0.8
13 Cividale28131546%75.275.7-0.4
14 Cento26121446%74.177.9-3.8
15 Assigeco Piacenza27121544%77.175.9+1.2
16 Treviglio26111542%79.680.4-0.8
17 Nardo27111641%75.380.8-5.5
18 Vigevano27101737%77.781.3-3.6
19 Luiss Roma2891932%78.185.1-7.0
20 Orzinuovi2781930%74.477.5-3.1
21 Chiusi2772026%65.873.5-7.7
22 Monferrato2762122%79.684.9-5.3
23 Agrigento2762122%73.780.6-6.9
24 Latina2852318%76.485.5-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monferrato1321212075
Forli2020211677
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.