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Mega Basket vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 82-89
22-21 16-27 26-18 18-23
Position#10
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5
Domestic2021
Meetings · Mega Basket v FMP Beograd
28 Mar 2026
MEG79
FBE84
18 May 2025
MEG81
FBE86
29 Sep 2024
MEG83
FBE80
14 Jan 2024
MEG86
FBE72
04 Jun 2023
MEG72
FBE75
08 Jan 2023
MEG77
FBE72
24 Oct 2021
MEG82
FBE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
H01/06
Super League
Partizan
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A03/06
Super League
Partizan
#3
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H05/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
69-98
69
98
-29
no box
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H11/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
A13/06
Super League
Studentski Centar
#7
W
101-68
101
68
+33
111avg 111
H26/09
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
no box
A04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
no box
H10/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A17/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-18
16-24
25-18
19-26
25-12
13-28
23-23
16-18
18-17
25-18
19-18
20-15
17-31
20-26
19-21
13-20
35-17
10-29
20-12
21-21
24-21
12-23
14-13
15-20
23-21
28-6
28-20
22-21
22-19
25-14
14-26
17-19
20-17
16-16
18-16
13-18
18-13
14-29
24-18
12-20
159.7Avg total
79.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.577.2158.8+4.250%
Season at home (2)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)76.084.5160.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)79.979.8159.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.277.2155.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.081.8151.8-11.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.378.7163.0+5.750%
vs Weaker (4)81.875.0156.8+6.8100%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
89avg 75
H05/04
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 75
A08/04
ABA League
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 75
A11/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 75
H26/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H27/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A29/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 75
A26/09
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 75
H01/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
no box
A11/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 75
H17/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-21
10-27
24-20
13-21
14-28
26-26
21-22
32-27
16-11
18-20
18-18
26-30
19-18
21-20
25-17
20-27
18-20
12-15
17-15
17-20
26-20
20-26
22-26
20-26
17-20
22-18
13-18
29-23
17-15
21-22
22-21
18-18
16-23
20-22
23-14
20-27
21-14
19-21
23-19
168.3Avg total
83.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.083.2167.2+0.875%
Season at home (2)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)82.085.5167.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)83.185.2168.3-2.160%
Last 5 (5)84.285.0169.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.690.2171.8-8.627%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.584.2169.8+1.362%
vs Weaker (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
Mega BasketFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H01/06
Super League
Partizan
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/06
Super League
Partizan
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H05/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A13/06
Super League
Studentski Centar
#7
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H26/09
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A17/10
ABA League
81.4Avg total
41.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)43.039.082.0+4.062%-
Last 30 at home (9)45.836.382.1+9.489%-
Last 30 away (7)39.442.481.9-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.981.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.876.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.545.885.2-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.536.580.0+7.067%-
vs Weaker (4)45.033.578.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#5
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H05/04
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A08/04
ABA League
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H26/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H27/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A29/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A26/09
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H01/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/10
ABA League
85.2Avg total
41.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.645.987.5-4.228%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.745.688.3-2.933%-
Last 30 away (14)40.446.186.6-5.721%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.385.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.281.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.748.590.2-6.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.343.485.7-1.138%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.5
51.9%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.511.5
46.9%
34.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws13.58.0
59.3%
73.4%8.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.3
52.7%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
34.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
73.4%17.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWLWLWLWLW
FMP Beograd
WWWLLLWWLW
#10
League position
#6
+13.0
Net rating
-5.4
103.3
Offensive rating
108.0
90.3
Defensive rating
113.4
59.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
21.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.36
46.9%
3-point %
34.6%
78.1%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 108.0Defence90.3 · 113.4Shooting59.0% · 52.4%3-point %46.9% · 34.6%Ball care21.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds21.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mega Basket   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mega Basket wins
0
FMP Beograd wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/21ABorac Mozzart68-80
10/10/21HKK Krka Novo mesto73-72 OT
04/10/21ACibona84-89 OT
26/09/21HStudentski Centar101-68
13/06/21ACrvena zvezda65-77
11/06/21HCrvena zvezda86-79
09/06/21ACrvena zvezda69-98
05/06/21HPartizan82-68
03/06/21APartizan77-81
01/06/21HPartizan94-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/21HMornar Bar83-81
11/10/21ACedevita Olimpija92-89 OT
01/10/21HIgokea89-81
26/09/21ABuducnost72-82
29/05/21ABorac Mozzart85-92
27/05/21HBorac Mozzart67-77
26/04/21HKK Krka Novo mesto91-85
11/04/21AMega Soccerbet84-76
08/04/21APartizan74-97
05/04/21HMornar Bar94-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.587.076.0
Allowed / game77.270.084.5
Point differential+4.2+17.0-8.5
Avg total158.8157.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%50%50%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.086.082.0
Allowed / game83.281.085.5
Point differential+0.8+5.0-3.5
Avg total167.2167.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan550100%79.459.0+20.4
2 Crvena zvezda43175%78.865.8+13.0
3 Buducnost43175%75.269.2+6.0
4 FMP Beograd43175%84.083.2+0.8
5 Cibona43175%76.276.8-0.5
6 Igokea53260%80.078.8+1.2
7 Cedevita Olimpija42250%81.575.8+5.8
8 Mega Basket42250%81.577.2+4.2
9 Studentski Centar42250%80.088.0-8.0
10 Borac Mozzart52340%78.279.8-1.6
11 KK Krka Novo mesto52340%68.479.8-11.4
12 Zadar51420%70.875.2-4.4
13 Mornar Bar4040%80.887.2-6.5
14 Split5050%69.485.4-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2216261882
FMP Beograd2127182389
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