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Mornar Bar vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-113
16-26 19-33 20-29 28-25
Position#17
Record1-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#9
Record8-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 19· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Mega Basket
01 Feb 2025
MBA83
MEG113
12 Nov 2023
MBA65
MEG99
20 Nov 2022
MBA85
MEG101
04 Dec 2021
MBA79
MEG75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
78-105
78
105
-27
66avg 66
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
90-103
90
103
-13
76avg 66
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
55avg 66
H08/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
66-104
66
104
-38
54avg 66
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
55-81
55
81
-26
44avg 66
H23/12
ABA League
Split
#14
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 66
A27/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
89avg 66
A30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
67avg 66
A12/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
69-110
69
110
-41
66avg 66
H20/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-114
72
114
-42
59avg 66
A26/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
14-21
26-29
22-27
15-25
20-31
34-25
21-22
13-15
23-28
18-21
22-17
21-30
11-26
25-20
9-28
13-13
18-27
10-23
14-18
18-17
23-17
14-24
18-29
18-22
20-25
24-20
26-21
9-33
21-27
18-23
31-27
19-26
18-28
18-30
14-26
18-38
15-25
22-22
17-29
175.1Avg total
75.5Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.396.0171.3-20.76%
Season at home (8)74.193.8167.9-19.612%
Season away (10)76.397.8174.1-21.50%
Last 10 (10)75.599.6175.1-24.10%
Last 5 (5)78.0104.4182.4-26.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)77.896.0173.8-18.314%
vs Similar (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 76
A16/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
60avg 76
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
100avg 76
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-110
86
110
-24
77avg 76
A14/12
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-58
88
58
+30
82avg 76
H20/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 76
A28/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
90-100 OT
90
100
-10
94avg 76
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 76
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 76
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
66-95
66
95
-29
60avg 76
H27/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
25-22
20-18
16-29
21-19
19-25
11-12
17-9
26-25
26-13
24-19
22-17
17-28
23-31
28-30
18-21
18-15
22-11
25-18
23-14
17-20
24-24
23-19
18-14
27-20
21-21
15-19
19-22
16-28
24-21
20-26
27-19
26-20
27-26
17-18
17-25
12-29
22-22
15-27
17-17
168.9Avg total
83.4Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.781.4162.1-0.744%
Season at home (9)81.879.3161.1+2.444%
Season away (9)79.783.4163.1-3.844%
Last 10 (10)83.485.5168.9-2.140%
Last 5 (5)82.491.0173.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.489.3166.8-11.925%
vs Similar (6)84.082.3166.3+1.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.677.1163.7+9.575%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Mornar BarMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H23/12
ABA League
Split
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A27/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A12/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H20/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A26/01
ABA League
84.5Avg total
34.3Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.347.685.9-9.320%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.944.983.8-6.031%-
Last 30 away (17)37.849.687.5-11.812%-
Last 10 (10)34.350.284.5-15.910%-
Last 5 (5)35.851.687.4-15.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.547.986.4-9.421%-
vs Similar (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H09/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A14/12
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H20/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A28/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/01
ABA League
87.8Avg total
43.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.785.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.184.4+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.545.285.7-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.487.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.289.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.845.284.0-6.325%-
vs Similar (6)42.246.588.7-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.540.884.2+2.867%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.5
48.5%
54.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.7
34.3%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.613.4
68.4%
75.6%13.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.8
52.7%
54.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.4
36.2%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.216.6
71.6%
75.6%16.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLLLL
Mega Basket
LLLLWWLWWL
#17
League position
#9
-31.5
Net rating
-3.0
96.5
Offensive rating
106.4
127.9
Defensive rating
109.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
62.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.3%
3-point %
36.2%
64.5%
Assist %
66.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 106.4Defence127.9 · 109.3Shooting49.7% · 53.3%3-point %34.3% · 36.2%Ball care18.7% · 17.9%Off. rebounds21.8% · 26.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mornar Bar wins
5
Mega Basket wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ACedevita Olimpija72-114
20/01/25HCrvena zvezda69-110
12/01/25ABuducnost79-110
30/12/24AIgokea97-101 OT
27/12/24ASplit73-87
23/12/24HZadar55-81
15/12/24ADubai66-104
08/12/24HFMP Beograd76-81
29/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto90-103
17/11/24HPartizan78-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/25HDubai66-95
19/01/25AFMP Beograd87-89
12/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto87-94
06/01/25HPartizan90-100 OT
28/12/24AStudentski Centar82-77
20/12/24HCibona88-58
14/12/24ASpartak Subotica86-110
09/12/24HBorac Mozzart98-74
02/12/24AZadar68-65
16/11/24ACedevita Olimpija82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game75.374.176.3
Allowed / game96.093.897.8
Point differential-20.7-19.6-21.5
Avg total171.3167.9174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%12%10%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWWLLL44%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%44%44%
Points / game80.781.879.7
Allowed / game81.479.383.4
Point differential-0.7+2.4-3.8
Avg total162.1161.1163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1816289%93.473.1+20.3
2 Buducnost1816289%91.174.2+16.9
3 Crvena zvezda1815383%89.778.3+11.4
4 Dubai1813572%86.879.1+7.7
5 Cedevita Olimpija1912763%84.279.5+4.7
6 Igokea1811761%83.485.4-2.1
7 Zadar1810856%75.973.2+2.7
8 Spartak Subotica1810856%84.782.4+2.3
9 Mega Basket1881044%80.781.4-0.7
10 FMP Beograd1881044%79.285.7-6.6
11 Borac Mozzart1871139%76.882.7-5.9
12 Studentski Centar1861233%82.884.9-2.1
13 Split1961332%75.983.3-7.3
14 KK Krka Novo mesto1941521%82.688.7-6.1
15 Cibona1931616%75.388.6-13.3
16 Mornar Bar181176%75.396.0-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1619202883
Mega Basket26332925113
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