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Mornar Bar vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-75
18-16 20-22 25-22 17-15 0-0
Position#10
Record3-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game91.2
vs
Position#13
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Petrol Olimpija
23 Dec 2018
MBA80
POL75
13 Jan 2018
MBA101
POL81
08 Jan 2017
MBA93
POL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
76-111
76
111
-35
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
102-103
102
103
-1
H15/12
ABA League
Rytas
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A19/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
21-27
14-22
26-18
25-32
18-30
23-20
29-17
20-21
25-19
20-20
21-23
16-23
16-27
27-25
12-29
15-31
26-31
13-26
22-23
23-27
19-27
27-19
28-30
23-14
18-15
23-24
20-29
26-25
16-21
15-18
26-23
27-25
26-19
33-34
16-25
15-17
22-14
17-20
13-20
176.7Avg total
83.4Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.991.2176.1-6.327%
Season at home (5)94.296.6190.8-2.420%
Season away (6)77.286.7163.8-9.533%
Last 10 (10)83.493.3176.7-9.920%
Last 5 (5)86.689.2175.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.293.2174.4-12.021%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.583.3165.8-0.745%
vs Weaker (4)93.275.0168.2+18.2100%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A21/11
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H24/11
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A26/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
104-74
104
74
+30
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A07/12
ABA League
Strasbourg
#13
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A11/12
Champions League
Helios Domzale
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H14/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H16/12
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H18/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
76-92
76
92
-16
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
15-30
29-18
16-19
16-21
17-12
22-22
33-31
21-26
22-14
17-21
24-16
26-17
28-16
30-20
20-21
27-27
21-22
21-21
13-25
16-23
21-20
18-13
18-25
17-21
26-14
8-21
17-20
23-21
11-14
18-16
18-18
22-15
16-11
20-34
18-20
18-22
18-24
23-21
17-25
162.9Avg total
80.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.583.9164.5-3.436%
Season at home (6)79.077.5156.5+1.567%
Season away (5)82.491.6174.0-9.20%
Last 10 (10)80.582.4162.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)72.679.6152.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.882.8157.6-8.014%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.286.3169.5-3.145%
vs Weaker (5)87.877.8165.6+10.080%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
Mornar BarPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/12
ABA League
Rytas
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/12
Eurocup
87.7Avg total
40.9Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.744.686.3-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.445.288.6-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)40.143.984.0-3.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.946.887.7-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.883.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.447.990.4-5.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.542.181.6-2.536%-
vs Weaker (4)44.839.083.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#16
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A21/11
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#6
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H24/11
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A07/12
ABA League
Strasbourg
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/12
Champions League
Helios Domzale
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H16/12
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
80.2Avg total
40.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.8-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.438.576.9-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)42.844.687.4-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.780.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.074.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.442.680.1-5.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.941.683.5+0.355%-
vs Weaker (5)45.837.283.0+8.680%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.2
51.3%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.9
34.1%
33.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.814.3
68.8%
72.5%14.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.2
48.8%
51.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.7
38.0%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.618.8
76.4%
72.5%18.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLWLLLWLL
Petrol Olimpija
LLWLLLWWWL
#10
League position
#13
-12.9
Net rating
-2.9
107.8
Offensive rating
108.0
120.7
Defensive rating
110.9
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.1%
3-point %
38.0%
58.1%
Assist %
61.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 108.0Defence120.7 · 110.9Shooting51.3% · 51.9%3-point %34.1% · 38.0%Ball care15.0% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 34.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mornar Bar wins
2
Petrol Olimpija wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18ARytas67-71
15/12/18HCedevita102-103
12/12/18HFrankfurt83-87
08/12/18AFMP Beograd84-82
26/11/18HIgokea97-103
21/11/18AUnicaja76-111
17/11/18ACrvena zvezda71-104
14/11/18HTorino86-83
11/11/18HBuducnost95-99
07/11/18AUnics Kazan73-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto76-92
18/12/18HPromitheas76-80
16/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto70-69
14/12/18HHelios Domzale68-76
11/12/18AStrasbourg73-81
07/12/18ACedevita82-95
04/12/18APerspektiva Ilirija104-74
26/11/18AZlatorog Lasko84-77
24/11/18HFMP Beograd88-86
21/11/18ABesiktas84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game84.994.277.2
Allowed / game91.296.686.7
Point differential-6.3-2.4-9.5
Avg total176.1190.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game80.579.082.4
Allowed / game83.977.591.6
Point differential-3.4+1.5-9.2
Avg total164.5156.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %18%17%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda12120100%85.968.8+17.2
2 Buducnost118373%81.474.8+6.5
3 Cedevita128467%87.982.3+5.6
4 Mega Bemax128467%82.080.2+1.8
5 Partizan126650%82.080.4+1.6
6 FMP Beograd125742%81.182.6-1.5
7 Cibona125742%77.782.6-4.9
8 Petrol Olimpija114736%80.583.9-3.4
9 Zadar124833%83.286.8-3.6
10 Igokea124833%86.190.8-4.8
11 Mornar Bar113827%84.991.2-6.3
12 KK Krka Novo mesto113827%74.683.9-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mornar Bar18202517080
Petrol Olimpija16222215075
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