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Mornar Bar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-71
18-21 20-20 24-11 15-19
Position#5
Record14-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game73.3
Mornar Bar 🏆
vs
Zadar
Position#10
Record6-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14
Domestic2020
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Zadar
23 Dec 2024
MBA55
ZAD81
13 Jan 2024
MBA86
ZAD78
09 Oct 2022
MBA100
ZAD91
27 Mar 2022
MBA86
ZAD84
04 Mar 2021
MBA77
ZAD71
13 Jan 2019
MBA89
ZAD81
27 Oct 2017
MBA80
ZAD70
13 Nov 2016
MBA104
ZAD110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
W
102-100
102
100
+2
101avg 73
A13/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 73
A16/01
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
L
71-74
71
74
-3
58avg 73
H20/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H24/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
H27/01
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 73
H30/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
61-86
61
86
-25
47avg 73
A03/02
Eurocup
Mega Soccerbet
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
76avg 73
A07/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
80-61
80
61
+19
82avg 73
H26/02
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 73
H02/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
20-20
25-24
30-33
25-21
28-17
18-12
21-28
18-12
19-22
20-25
14-15
22-25
15-15
24-24
17-22
22-21
14-22
18-27
16-17
25-24
29-21
13-11
19-16
17-27
14-24
10-16
20-19
24-25
27-14
16-22
22-29
28-18
17-17
17-6
18-20
27-18
21-20
16-25
17-22
162.9Avg total
81.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.273.3154.5+7.978%
Season at home (9)78.265.1143.3+13.189%
Season away (9)84.281.4165.7+2.867%
Last 10 (10)81.081.9162.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)79.478.8158.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.286.1162.3-9.833%
vs Similar (9)82.779.0161.7+3.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.965.6147.4+16.3100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#11
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
H29/01
Premijer liga
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H29/01
ABA League
Osijek
#6
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A02/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
no box
A06/02
Premijer liga
Split
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 62
A07/02
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H10/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Partizan
#7
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
no box
H27/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H28/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
A02/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
25-16
26-24
17-21
–
–
–
–
23-14
24-25
16-15
18-21
14-20
10-17
17-18
21-27
22-15
26-17
21-15
20-29
19-19
25-15
19-16
21-32
24-19
13-15
20-16
22-20
19-17
22-20
20-18
22-28
15-23
9-23
22-13
29-20
19-15
27-27
28-18
22-18
149.5Avg total
77.5Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.869.3138.1-0.540%
Season at home (7)68.470.1138.6-1.729%
Season away (8)69.168.6137.8+0.550%
Last 10 (10)77.572.0149.5+5.580%
Last 5 (5)86.080.6166.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.082.4156.4-8.429%
vs Similar (7)82.372.4154.7+9.986%
vs Weaker (15)78.066.3144.3+11.780%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
Mornar BarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A16/01
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/01
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H30/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A03/02
Eurocup
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H26/02
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H02/03
Eurocup
84.5Avg total
43.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.841.285.0+2.666%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.739.383.1+4.473%-
Last 30 away (14)43.943.287.1+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.684.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.687.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.043.683.6-3.642%-
vs Similar (9)44.939.083.9+5.978%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.440.188.5+8.288%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H29/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A02/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A06/02
Premijer liga
Split
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/02
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H10/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Partizan
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H28/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A02/03
Premijer liga
77.9Avg total
40.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.935.674.5+3.262%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.535.575.0+4.164%-
Last 30 away (18)38.435.774.2+2.761%-
Last 10 (9)40.137.877.9+2.378%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.677.0-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.738.073.7-2.329%-
vs Similar (7)41.435.076.4+6.471%-
vs Weaker (14)39.434.373.7+5.179%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.8
50.3%
52.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.6
38.5%
36.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
75.0%15.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.3
52.7%
52.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.4
32.0%
36.1%19.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.5
69.9%
75.0%16.5
They take 54.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLLWLLLWW
Zadar
WLWWWWLWWW
#5
League position
#10
-0.4
Net rating
-6.1
108.2
Offensive rating
99.7
108.6
Defensive rating
105.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.8%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.43
38.5%
3-point %
32.0%
58.0%
Assist %
57.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 99.7Defence108.6 · 105.8Shooting53.7% · 51.0%3-point %38.5% · 32.0%Ball care15.8% · 19.8%Off. rebounds23.5% · 26.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mornar Bar wins
2
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
09/10/20Zadar v Mornar Bar66-82
13/01/19Mornar Bar v Zadar89-81
21/10/18Zadar v Mornar Bar83-93
22/01/18Zadar v Mornar Bar77-93
27/10/17Mornar Bar v Zadar80-70
10/02/17Zadar v Mornar Bar80-62
13/11/16Mornar Bar v Zadar104-110
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/21HGran Canaria81-85
26/02/21HKK Krka Novo mesto80-61
07/02/21AMega Soccerbet89-90
03/02/21AUnics Kazan61-86
30/01/21HBorac Mozzart86-72
27/01/21HUnics Kazan70-87
24/01/21HCrvena zvezda78-86
20/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra71-74
16/01/21ACibona92-78
13/01/21AGran Canaria102-100
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/21AGKK Sibenka96-78
28/02/21HZabok75-79
27/02/21HPartizan96-94 OT
13/02/21ASplit79-70
10/02/21HCibona84-82
07/02/21ASplit89-76
06/02/21ASplit62-82
02/02/21AOsijek81-75
29/01/21HPrimorska20-0
29/01/21HDubrava93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW78%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game81.278.284.2
Allowed / game73.365.181.4
Point differential+7.9+13.1+2.8
Avg total154.5143.3165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW40%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%29%50%
Points / game68.868.469.1
Allowed / game69.370.168.6
Point differential-0.5-1.7+0.5
Avg total138.1138.6137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%14%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %13%14%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1614288%77.762.9+14.8
2 Cedevita Olimpija1714382%82.272.4+9.8
3 Buducnost1613381%78.071.9+6.1
4 Mornar Bar1814478%81.273.3+7.9
5 Igokea1814478%73.768.0+5.7
6 Mega Soccerbet1913668%79.976.1+3.8
7 Zadar156940%68.869.3-0.5
8 Partizan1871139%76.876.6+0.3
9 FMP Beograd1761135%77.180.3-3.2
10 Cibona1761135%68.472.9-4.6
11 Split1961332%73.179.4-6.4
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1851328%67.974.0-6.1
13 Borac Mozzart1741324%74.478.6-4.2
14 Primorska190190%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1820241577
Zadar2120111971
← all games of the day
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