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Mornar Bar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:05
Final 86-84
31-15 21-23 15-17 19-29
Position#11
Record8-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#12
Record7-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 24
Domestic2021
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Zadar
23 Dec 2024
MBA55
ZAD81
13 Jan 2024
MBA86
ZAD78
09 Oct 2022
MBA100
ZAD91
27 Mar 2022
MBA86
ZAD84
04 Mar 2021
MBA77
ZAD71
13 Jan 2019
MBA89
ZAD81
27 Oct 2017
MBA80
ZAD70
13 Nov 2016
MBA104
ZAD110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Primorje
#8
W
98-66
98
66
+32
no box
A18/01
Montenegrin Cup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
82-78
82
78
+4
76avg 70
H22/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 70
A30/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
62-73
62
73
-11
57avg 70
H05/02
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
57-70
57
70
-13
45avg 70
A12/02
ABA League
Lovcen Cetinje
#4
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
H16/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
A17/02
Montenegrin Cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-101
79
101
-22
67avg 70
H05/03
ABA League
Split
#13
L
67-76
67
76
-9
61avg 70
A11/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A20/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
28-14
19-19
24-15
22-20
23-26
18-19
19-13
19-22
19-19
12-20
24-20
21-14
21-22
9-17
11-20
10-13
21-18
16-20
10-19
34-13
26-14
16-21
19-17
30-21
14-16
16-29
17-23
23-29
21-19
19-28
16-25
17-23
13-25
14-13
23-15
27-10
13-23
20-18
23-19
154.3Avg total
77.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.477.8153.1-2.438%
Season at home (10)76.078.8154.8-2.840%
Season away (11)74.876.8151.6-2.036%
Last 10 (10)77.476.9154.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)80.280.2160.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.979.8149.7-9.99%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.478.0159.4+3.458%
vs Weaker (6)82.273.8156.0+8.350%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
63avg 65
A13/02
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
A18/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
112-58
112
58
+54
no box
H27/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
65-63
65
63
+2
no box
H05/03
ABA League
Osijek
#13
W
101-63
101
63
+38
no box
A09/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#5
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 65
A11/03
ABA League
Split
#2
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
A14/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
no box
H18/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
77-92
77
92
-15
69avg 65
H19/03
ABA League
Cibona
#1
W
80-52
80
52
+28
no box
H25/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
15-25
16-19
16-21
13-22
22-24
20-15
17-16
24-13
32-12
28-14
28-19
18-21
13-16
22-12
12-14
24-20
28-12
23-15
26-16
23-19
14-18
17-23
13-19
27-12
27-20
25-26
16-23
31-22
25-11
21-20
14-23
18-25
16-18
25-27
18-22
19-17
17-5
21-22
23-8
156.1Avg total
82.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.378.0149.4-6.733%
Season at home (11)71.173.0144.1-1.945%
Season away (10)71.683.6155.2-12.020%
Last 10 (10)82.973.2156.1+9.760%
Last 5 (5)82.076.0158.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.481.7153.1-10.233%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.573.3151.8+5.250%
vs Weaker (14)87.670.1157.7+17.486%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
Mornar BarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Primorje
#8
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A18/01
Montenegrin Cup
FMP Beograd
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A30/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
ABA League
Igokea
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A12/02
ABA League
Lovcen Cetinje
#4
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H16/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A17/02
Montenegrin Cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H05/03
ABA League
Split
#13
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A11/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/03
ABA League
80.8Avg total
42.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.080.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.141.483.4+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)38.738.977.6-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.980.8+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.682.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.140.978.0-3.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.640.380.9+0.267%-
vs Weaker (6)43.039.282.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A18/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
56-25
56
25
+31
H27/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/03
ABA League
Osijek
#13
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A09/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A11/03
ABA League
Split
#2
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A14/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H18/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H19/03
ABA League
Cibona
#1
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H25/03
Premijer liga
78.6Avg total
42.8Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.576.9+4.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.234.173.3+5.150%-
Last 30 away (16)41.638.680.1+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)42.835.878.6+7.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.476.8+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.140.777.8-3.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.232.771.8+6.550%-
vs Weaker (14)42.236.178.4+6.157%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.7
56.8%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.5
30.0%
34.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.2
76.8%
73.4%14.2
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.116.3
46.4%
52.2%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.9
34.2%
34.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.1
73.7%
73.4%15.1
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
WLLLWLLLWW
Zadar
WLWWLWWWLL
#11
League position
#12
-1.6
Net rating
-8.2
104.5
Offensive rating
101.1
106.1
Defensive rating
109.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
48.4%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.0%
3-point %
34.2%
61.5%
Assist %
64.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 101.1Defence106.1 · 109.3Shooting51.7% · 48.4%3-point %30.0% · 34.2%Ball care18.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mornar Bar wins
2
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
12/12/21Zadar v Mornar Bar71-76
04/03/21Mornar Bar v Zadar77-71
09/10/20Zadar v Mornar Bar66-82
13/01/19Mornar Bar v Zadar89-81
21/10/18Zadar v Mornar Bar83-93
22/01/18Zadar v Mornar Bar77-93
27/10/17Mornar Bar v Zadar80-70
10/02/17Zadar v Mornar Bar80-62
13/11/16Mornar Bar v Zadar104-110
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22AMega Basket83-70
11/03/22ASplit67-76
05/03/22HCedevita Olimpija79-101
17/02/22ABuducnost77-89
16/02/22HLovcen Cetinje95-65
12/02/22AIgokea57-70
05/02/22HBuducnost62-73
30/01/22ACrvena zvezda74-81
22/01/22HFMP Beograd82-78
18/01/22APrimorje98-66
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/22HCibona80-52
19/03/22HCedevita Olimpija77-92
18/03/22HZabok91-76
14/03/22ASplit95-81
11/03/22AIgokea67-79
09/03/22AOsijek101-63
05/03/22HBuducnost65-63
27/02/22HSonik Puntamika112-58
18/02/22ACibona72-77
13/02/22ACrvena zvezda69-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%40%36%
Points / game75.476.074.8
Allowed / game77.878.876.8
Point differential-2.4-2.8-2.0
Avg total153.1154.8151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%10%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWWWWL45%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%45%20%
Points / game71.371.171.6
Allowed / game78.073.083.6
Point differential-6.7-1.9-12.0
Avg total149.4144.1155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2119290%83.070.7+12.3
2 Partizan2319483%82.170.1+12.0
3 Buducnost2014670%80.273.7+6.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija2215768%85.379.0+6.4
5 FMP Beograd2213959%81.780.3+1.4
6 Igokea23131057%78.174.6+3.5
7 Studentski Centar23101343%81.085.7-4.7
8 Cibona2191243%77.775.3+2.3
9 Mornar Bar2181338%75.477.8-2.4
10 Mega Basket2281436%78.780.9-2.2
11 Borac Mozzart2281436%75.680.6-5.0
12 Zadar2171433%71.378.0-6.7
13 Split2251723%70.080.4-10.3
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2141719%70.383.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar3121151986
Zadar1523172984
← all games of the day
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