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Mornar Bar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 55-81
13-13 18-27 10-23 14-18
Position#17
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game93.8
Mornar Bar
vs
Zadar 🏆
Position#10
Record5-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Zadar
23 Dec 2024
MBA55
ZAD81
13 Jan 2024
MBA86
ZAD78
09 Oct 2022
MBA100
ZAD91
27 Mar 2022
MBA86
ZAD84
04 Mar 2021
MBA77
ZAD71
13 Jan 2019
MBA89
ZAD81
27 Oct 2017
MBA80
ZAD70
13 Nov 2016
MBA104
ZAD110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
66avg 68
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
59-84
59
84
-25
44avg 68
A13/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
90-98 OT
90
98
-8
74avg 68
H19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
64-85
64
85
-21
50avg 68
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 68
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
91-99
91
99
-8
84avg 68
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
78-105
78
105
-27
66avg 68
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
90-103
90
103
-13
76avg 68
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
55avg 68
H08/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
66-104
66
104
-38
54avg 68
A15/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-21
18-27
21-19
14-23
13-21
21-19
11-21
20-17
18-26
23-21
26-23
14-27
21-20
13-15
16-23
34-24
19-19
11-25
28-17
17-23
15-25
30-27
29-24
16-28
14-21
26-29
22-27
15-25
20-31
34-25
21-22
13-15
23-28
18-21
22-17
21-30
11-26
25-20
9-28
172.4Avg total
78.8Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.993.8169.7-17.88%
Season at home (6)78.293.2171.3-15.017%
Season away (6)73.794.3168.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)78.893.6172.4-14.810%
Last 5 (5)80.298.4178.6-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.793.1172.8-13.421%
vs Similar (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 77
H15/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
76avg 77
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
64-58
64
58
+6
53avg 77
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
54avg 77
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
55avg 77
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 77
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 77
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
71-61
71
61
+10
70avg 77
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
87-55
87
55
+32
83avg 77
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
80-53
80
53
+27
74avg 77
H20/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-14
21-11
13-17
22-22
17-14
27-21
15-13
24-19
17-12
11-18
22-19
14-9
19-21
25-19
12-11
9-17
21-23
16-11
16-17
10-20
25-23
23-11
11-14
18-15
21-14
18-12
26-18
24-23
18-17
24-13
15-26
14-5
20-22
26-19
26-6
15-8
16-11
22-14
20-10
22-18
139.6Avg total
76.9Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.275.2149.4-1.142%
Season at home (8)72.176.0148.1-3.925%
Season away (4)78.273.8152.0+4.575%
Last 10 (10)76.962.7139.6+14.280%
Last 5 (5)80.859.8140.6+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.580.2146.8-13.80%
vs Similar (5)72.473.4145.8-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)83.065.1148.1+17.995%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
Mornar BarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A13/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A11/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H17/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A15/12
ABA League
83.6Avg total
36.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.846.486.2-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.144.085.1-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)38.548.887.3-10.37%-
Last 10 (10)36.147.583.6-11.410%-
Last 5 (5)33.050.483.4-17.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.146.686.8-6.525%-
vs Similar (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H15/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H20/12
Premijer liga
74.1Avg total
42.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.335.276.6+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.234.376.4+7.978%-
Last 30 away (12)40.136.776.8+3.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.132.074.1+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)42.631.273.8+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.242.277.5-7.050%-
vs Similar (5)36.638.074.6-1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.532.976.3+10.680%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.2
48.2%
54.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.1
31.3%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.3
70.5%
75.6%15.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.3
52.0%
54.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.7
30.6%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.6
72.7%
75.6%13.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLWLLLL
Zadar
WWWWWLLWWW
#17
League position
#10
-18.6
Net rating
+20.8
97.8
Offensive rating
107.3
116.3
Defensive rating
86.5
47.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.3%
3-point %
30.6%
56.4%
Assist %
62.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 107.3Defence116.3 · 86.5Shooting47.7% · 49.3%3-point %31.3% · 30.6%Ball care16.3% · 14.9%Off. rebounds23.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mornar Bar wins
2
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Mornar Bar v Zadar86-78
13/10/23Zadar v Mornar Bar92-57
15/01/23Zadar v Mornar Bar97-77
09/10/22Mornar Bar v Zadar100-91
27/03/22Mornar Bar v Zadar86-84
12/12/21Zadar v Mornar Bar71-76
04/03/21Mornar Bar v Zadar77-71
09/10/20Zadar v Mornar Bar66-82
13/01/19Mornar Bar v Zadar89-81
21/10/18Zadar v Mornar Bar83-93
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ADubai66-104
08/12/24HFMP Beograd76-81
29/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto90-103
17/11/24HPartizan78-105
11/11/24AStudentski Centar91-99
04/11/24HCibona92-85
27/10/24ASpartak Subotica64-85
19/10/24HBorac Mozzart90-98 OT
13/10/24AMega Basket59-84
05/10/24HCedevita Olimpija82-92
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HZabok80-53
16/12/24ASamobor87-55
15/12/24AAlkar71-61
12/12/24HBorac Mozzart89-67
08/12/24HKvarner77-63
06/12/24HDubai63-71
02/12/24HMega Basket65-68
29/11/24ADinamo Zagreb64-58
17/11/24AFMP Beograd83-67
15/11/24HGKK Sibenka90-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game75.978.273.7
Allowed / game93.893.294.3
Point differential-17.8-15.0-20.7
Avg total169.7171.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW42%
HomeLWLLW25%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %42%25%75%
Points / game74.272.178.2
Allowed / game75.276.073.8
Point differential-1.1-3.9+4.5
Avg total149.4148.1152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%12%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1211192%94.571.8+22.7
2 Buducnost1311285%88.874.2+14.6
3 Crvena zvezda1210283%87.779.5+8.2
4 Dubai1310377%85.177.8+7.3
5 Spartak Subotica138562%85.380.6+4.7
6 Igokea138562%81.281.7-0.5
7 Mega Basket137654%80.177.7+2.4
8 Cedevita Olimpija137654%82.782.2+0.5
9 FMP Beograd137654%81.283.5-2.3
10 Zadar125742%74.275.2-1.1
11 Split135838%77.983.5-5.6
12 Studentski Centar134931%83.887.2-3.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1331023%82.588.2-5.7
14 Borac Mozzart1331023%74.885.4-10.5
15 Cibona1321115%74.987.5-12.6
16 Mornar Bar121118%75.993.8-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1318101455
Zadar1327231881
← all games of the day
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