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Murcia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-90 (OT)
15-28 14-13 22-18 23-15 8-16
Position#12
Record9-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
Position#17
Record6-20
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.5
SpainACBRound 28
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Murcia v Bilbao
28 Mar 2027
MUR v BIL
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
MUR100
BIL81
05 Oct 2024
MUR89
BIL83
03 Feb 2024
MUR96
BIL76
14 May 2023
MUR67
BIL55
31 Jan 2023
MUR90
BIL72
10 Oct 2021
MUR92
BIL87
28 Mar 2021
MUR82
BIL90
19 Nov 2017
MUR82
BIL71
17 Dec 2016
MUR97
BIL71
08 Nov 2015
MUR96
BIL68
08 Mar 2015
MUR91
BIL65
27 Dec 2013
MUR78
BIL77
07 Apr 2013
MUR77
BIL80
26 Feb 2012
MUR73
BIL69
06 Dec 2009
MUR75
BIL80
30 Nov 2008
MUR67
BIL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H23/01
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
93-103
93
103
-10
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A02/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A27/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H07/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A20/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A24/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
18-13
22-20
28-21
18-20
17-17
19-11
21-33
18-28
20-18
26-28
29-29
11-20
25-17
9-25
18-30
32-24
19-23
9-26
27-25
21-22
21-22
21-24
21-23
18-18
13-24
29-18
24-25
6-16
18-14
20-20
14-24
26-23
16-17
19-23
17-22
17-13
13-17
25-14
27-26
165.2Avg total
79.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.684.0164.6-3.436%
Season at home (12)81.480.5161.9+0.950%
Season away (13)79.887.2167.1-7.423%
Last 10 (10)79.785.5165.2-5.820%
Last 5 (5)77.281.0158.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.083.1161.1-5.136%
vs Similar (15)80.986.7167.5-5.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.572.0154.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#5
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A12/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A17/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
73-96
73
96
-23
H23/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#10
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A27/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A30/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H06/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A27/02
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H07/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A14/03
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H21/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
17-20
14-28
23-25
13-18
13-19
24-22
20-13
24-29
8-23
20-21
21-23
19-20
11-24
16-27
30-14
19-25
18-17
12-18
23-20
23-25
16-20
12-30
22-15
24-21
18-15
24-17
31-21
18-18
24-26
24-22
20-18
20-26
23-18
26-30
20-21
19-20
16-25
20-24
17-16
163.4Avg total
78.3Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.086.5165.5-7.523%
Season at home (13)77.085.8162.8-8.823%
Season away (13)81.087.2168.2-6.223%
Last 10 (10)78.385.1163.4-6.820%
Last 5 (5)83.485.6169.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.787.2160.9-13.40%
vs Similar (8)83.983.9167.8+0.050%
vs Weaker (4)82.268.0150.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +4.1+4.1
MurciaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/01
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H07/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A24/03
ACB
76.0Avg total
37.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.778.3-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.136.975.1+1.233%-
Last 30 away (15)39.242.481.6-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.876.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.271.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.936.177.0+4.864%-
vs Similar (15)36.843.680.4-6.813%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.534.874.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A17/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H23/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A27/01
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A30/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A27/02
ACB
Real Betis
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/03
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/03
ACB
79.0Avg total
36.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.941.577.4-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.340.576.7-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.678.1-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.679.0-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.883.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.944.077.9-10.117%-
vs Similar (8)38.639.678.2-1.025%-
vs Weaker (4)39.034.273.2+4.875%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.020.8
47.3%
53.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.3
31.6%
36.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
76.6%15.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.6
53.8%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.7
34.7%
36.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.19.8
74.8%
76.6%9.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLLLLLLLW
Bilbao
LLWWLLLLLL
#12
League position
#17
-7.8
Net rating
-9.9
101.7
Offensive rating
106.4
109.4
Defensive rating
116.4
47.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.6%
3-point %
34.7%
53.0%
Assist %
51.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 106.4Defence109.4 · 116.4Shooting47.3% · 53.1%3-point %31.6% · 34.7%Ball care19.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds36.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Murcia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Murcia wins
3
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
15/11/20Bilbao v Murcia63-73
20/05/18Bilbao v Murcia73-82
19/11/17Murcia v Bilbao82-71
19/03/17Bilbao v Murcia71-82
17/12/16Murcia v Bilbao97-71
07/02/16Bilbao v Murcia90-79
08/11/15Murcia v Bilbao96-68
08/03/15Murcia v Bilbao91-65
19/10/14Bilbao v Murcia82-74
21/04/14Bilbao v Murcia82-69
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/21AFuenlabrada82-70
20/03/21ATenerife78-85
07/03/21HReal Madrid58-74
27/02/21AManresa84-85
07/02/21HJoventut Badalona84-91
02/02/21AReal Madrid87-98
31/01/21ABarcelona63-92
26/01/21HManresa93-103
23/01/21HSan Pablo Burgos75-81
27/12/20HObradoiro CAB93-76
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HBaskonia72-85
14/03/21AEstudiantes89-95
07/03/21HReal Betis86-84
27/02/21AGipuzkoa97-74
06/02/21HBarcelona73-90
30/01/21AObradoiro CAB72-80
27/01/21AKarsiyaka76-85
23/01/21HBasket Zaragoza73-96
17/01/21AMoraBanc Andorra70-72
12/01/21ABamberg75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%50%23%
Points / game80.681.479.8
Allowed / game84.080.587.2
Point differential-3.4+0.9-7.4
Avg total164.6161.9167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL23%
HomeLLLWL23%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %23%23%23%
Points / game79.077.081.0
Allowed / game86.585.887.2
Point differential-7.5-8.8-6.2
Avg total165.5162.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2726196%86.775.0+11.7
2 Barcelona2724389%87.072.5+14.5
3 Tenerife2520580%88.179.6+8.5
4 Baskonia2720774%83.077.4+5.6
5 San Pablo Burgos2417771%87.581.2+6.3
6 Valencia27171063%85.080.6+4.5
7 Joventut Badalona26151158%84.783.8+0.9
8 Unicaja27131448%84.582.8+1.7
9 MoraBanc Andorra25121348%78.277.9+0.3
10 Manresa27121544%82.986.5-3.6
11 Gran Canaria26111542%79.684.5-4.9
12 Basket Zaragoza26101638%87.789.0-1.4
13 Murcia2591636%80.684.0-3.4
14 Obradoiro CAB2681831%79.284.4-5.3
15 Estudiantes2681831%81.086.6-5.6
16 Real Betis2671927%77.283.4-6.2
17 Fuenlabrada2772026%79.984.0-4.1
18 Bilbao2662023%79.086.5-7.5
19 Gipuzkoa2662023%73.586.0-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Murcia15142223882
Bilbao281318151690
← all games of the day
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