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Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 98-87
24-32 23-19 26-9 25-27
Position#1
Record18-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game75.5
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Murcia
Spain
Position#12
Record8-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game84.1
SpainACBRound 19
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Real Madrid v Murcia
08 Nov 2026
MAD v MUR
upcoming
03 May 2026
MAD131
MUR123
09 Mar 2025
MAD80
MUR75
10 Jun 2024
MAD79
MUR63
08 Jun 2024
MAD84
MUR76
15 Feb 2024
MAD84
MUR79
15 Oct 2023
MAD106
MUR92
20 Nov 2022
MAD93
MUR57
11 May 2022
MAD90
MUR69
02 Feb 2021
MAD98
MUR87
23 Dec 2018
MAD80
MUR74
10 Dec 2017
MAD87
MUR85
16 Oct 2016
MAD93
MUR86
31 May 2016
MAD93
MUR72
27 May 2016
MAD107
MUR103
06 Dec 2015
MAD101
MUR80
16 Nov 2014
MAD90
MUR65
15 Mar 2014
MAD102
MUR65
03 Mar 2013
MAD86
MUR69
29 Apr 2012
MAD80
MUR79
25 Oct 2009
MAD73
MUR66
14 Dec 2008
MAD70
MUR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
92-85
92
85
+7
91avg 79
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 79
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 79
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
70avg 79
H18/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 79
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
78avg 79
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
73avg 79
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 79
H31/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
19-19
26-27
22-13
23-17
14-15
14-15
24-22
18-17
21-22
10-22
27-19
23-15
16-19
12-16
21-22
21-23
19-22
18-21
19-13
33-24
13-21
20-18
18-23
24-12
27-26
13-18
22-23
25-12
24-15
15-23
12-16
22-14
18-16
19-17
13-16
16-15
25-20
22-22
18-23
156.3Avg total
80.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.875.5162.3+11.395%
Season at home (10)89.079.6168.6+9.490%
Season away (9)84.371.0155.3+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)80.076.3156.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)79.874.8154.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.576.0153.5+1.550%
vs Similar (11)85.278.5163.7+6.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.975.1158.9+8.894%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#17
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 72
A15/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
84-81
84
81
+3
73avg 72
H21/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 72
A06/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
83avg 72
H09/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
76avg 72
A20/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
92avg 72
A23/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 72
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 72
H23/01
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
93-103
93
103
-10
79avg 72
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
59avg 72
A31/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-17
21-15
19-12
24-19
15-19
22-23
18-18
29-21
23-22
21-33
23-23
14-24
25-15
29-20
19-24
17-14
22-14
21-28
19-18
16-29
22-26
21-30
24-28
26-20
25-22
18-13
22-20
28-21
18-20
17-17
19-11
21-33
18-28
20-18
26-28
29-29
11-20
25-17
9-25
18-30
168.7Avg total
82.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.284.1165.2-2.942%
Season at home (10)83.580.1163.6+3.460%
Season away (9)78.688.4167.0-9.922%
Last 10 (10)82.386.4168.7-4.140%
Last 5 (5)83.491.2174.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.682.6161.2-4.040%
vs Similar (16)86.188.8174.9-2.731%
vs Weaker (4)82.572.0154.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
Real MadridMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H31/01
ACB
79.6Avg total
42.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.978.1+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.181.1+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)39.435.474.8+3.971%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.079.6+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.080.4+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.541.580.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (11)42.238.780.9+3.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.035.176.1+5.971%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#17
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A15/11
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H21/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A06/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H09/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A23/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/01
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A31/01
ACB
82.0Avg total
40.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.281.1+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.777.5+2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.884.7-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.782.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.281.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.735.376.0+5.460%-
vs Similar (16)41.344.786.0-3.438%-
vs Weaker (4)39.534.874.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.7
55.2%
53.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
36.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.911.4
76.5%
76.6%11.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.4
51.5%
53.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.6
33.0%
36.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.113.9
69.2%
76.6%13.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWLLWLWW
Murcia
LLLWLLWLWW
#1
League position
#12
+5.7
Net rating
-5.1
111.0
Offensive rating
106.8
105.3
Defensive rating
111.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.1%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
39.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.6%
3-point %
33.0%
59.6%
Assist %
48.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 106.8Defence105.3 · 111.9Shooting55.0% · 50.8%3-point %36.6% · 33.0%Ball care18.4% · 20.1%Off. rebounds30.7% · 39.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
02/05/19Murcia v Real Madrid80-82
23/12/18Real Madrid v Murcia80-74
12/05/18Murcia v Real Madrid61-63
10/12/17Real Madrid v Murcia87-85 OT
05/02/17Murcia v Real Madrid61-89
16/10/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-86
31/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-72
29/05/16Murcia v Real Madrid91-87
27/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia107-103
03/04/16Murcia v Real Madrid99-104 OT
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/21HGran Canaria81-80
29/01/21AAlba Berlin72-63
27/01/21HPanathinaikos76-66
24/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra86-79
21/01/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-86
18/01/21HCrvena zvezda77-79
15/01/21ABayern81-76 OT
08/01/21HOlimpia Milano76-80
04/01/21AMoraBanc Andorra75-69
02/01/21ATenerife92-85
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/21ABarcelona63-92
26/01/21HManresa93-103
23/01/21HSan Pablo Burgos75-81
27/12/20HObradoiro CAB93-76
23/12/20AJoventut Badalona93-104
20/12/20AValencia78-89
09/12/20HGipuzkoa90-73
06/12/20AUnicaja81-102
21/11/20HFuenlabrada84-81
15/11/20ABilbao73-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW95%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %95%90%100%
Points / game86.889.084.3
Allowed / game75.579.671.0
Point differential+11.3+9.4+13.3
Avg total162.3168.6155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%40%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%60%22%
Points / game81.283.578.6
Allowed / game84.180.188.4
Point differential-2.9+3.4-9.9
Avg total165.2163.6167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1918195%86.875.5+11.3
2 Barcelona2017385%86.773.4+13.2
3 Tenerife2117481%88.279.8+8.4
4 Baskonia2116576%83.176.3+6.8
5 San Pablo Burgos2115671%87.580.6+6.9
6 Valencia2115671%86.380.0+6.3
7 Joventut Badalona2011955%84.583.2+1.3
8 Manresa21101148%83.086.2-3.2
9 Unicaja2191243%85.383.4+1.9
10 MoraBanc Andorra1981142%78.279.1-0.9
11 Murcia1981142%81.284.1-2.9
12 Obradoiro CAB1771041%80.283.4-3.2
13 Basket Zaragoza2071335%87.288.5-1.2
14 Gran Canaria2171433%77.385.0-7.6
15 Estudiantes1651131%79.284.8-5.6
16 Fuenlabrada2061430%82.384.5-2.2
17 Real Betis2051525%76.383.8-7.5
18 Gipuzkoa2041620%72.887.7-14.8
19 Bilbao2141719%78.086.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2423262598
Murcia321992787
← all games of the day
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