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Murcia vs Bilbao Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game92.6
SpainACBRound 26· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Murcia v Bilbao
28 Mar 2027
MUR v BIL
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
MUR100
BIL81
05 Oct 2024
MUR89
BIL83
03 Feb 2024
MUR96
BIL76
14 May 2023
MUR67
BIL55
31 Jan 2023
MUR90
BIL72
10 Oct 2021
MUR92
BIL87
28 Mar 2021
MUR82
BIL90
19 Nov 2017
MUR82
BIL71
17 Dec 2016
MUR97
BIL71
08 Nov 2015
MUR96
BIL68
08 Mar 2015
MUR91
BIL65
27 Dec 2013
MUR78
BIL77
07 Apr 2013
MUR77
BIL80
26 Feb 2012
MUR73
BIL69
06 Dec 2009
MUR75
BIL80
30 Nov 2008
MUR67
BIL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 81
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 81
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 81
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 81
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 81
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 81
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 81
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 81
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
98-66
98
66
+32
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
20-22
19-25
16-16
16-27
29-19
21-18
15-11
33-18
173.5Avg total
89.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.193.3183.4-3.143%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (3)80.396.7177.0-16.30%
Last 10 (10)89.584.0173.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)90.883.0173.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.297.5182.8-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.192.4178.6-6.329%
vs Weaker (19)91.979.4171.4+12.589%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 81
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 81
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 81
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 81
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
75avg 81
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 81
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
L
100-103
100
103
-3
98avg 81
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 81
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
27-23
11-21
29-17
14-17
25-19
19-27
23-20
20-26
22-18
23-21
19-14
19-22
180.8Avg total
90.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.092.6184.6-0.657%
Season at home (3)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)88.298.2186.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)90.989.9180.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)87.884.8172.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.392.9171.1-14.614%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.283.7172.9+5.678%
vs Weaker (14)91.684.4176.1+7.271%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
MurciaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/11
Champions League
80.5Avg total
40.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.682.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.940.283.2+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)40.741.181.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.980.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.483.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.548.887.2-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.442.482.9-2.043%-
vs Weaker (19)43.438.281.5+5.274%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/11
Champions League
86.8Avg total
43.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.384.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.383.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.385.0-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.586.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.146.481.6-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.641.083.6+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)45.441.186.4+4.364%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
55.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.7
32.7%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.0%19.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
55.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
36.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.619.3
72.6%
76.0%19.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWLWLWLWW
Bilbao
WLWLWLWWWL
#11
League position
#8
+1.2
Net rating
+0.5
97.1
Offensive rating
99.9
95.9
Defensive rating
99.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.7%
3-point %
36.8%
53.3%
Assist %
66.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 99.9Defence95.9 · 99.4Shooting50.0% · 53.8%3-point %32.7% · 36.8%Ball care14.0% · 13.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Murcia wins
3
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Murcia v Bilbao100-81
10/01/26Bilbao v Murcia96-82
27/04/25Bilbao v Murcia80-83 OT
05/10/24Murcia v Bilbao89-83 OT
03/02/24Murcia v Bilbao96-76
08/10/23Bilbao v Murcia77-68
14/05/23Murcia v Bilbao67-55
21/03/23Bilbao v Murcia67-71
31/01/23Murcia v Bilbao90-72
08/01/23Bilbao v Murcia99-81
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBamberg98-66
08/11/26AReal Madrid71-90
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HAlba Berlin83-75
07/11/26ABasquet Girona87-92
01/11/26AJoventut Badalona81-78
28/10/26AAlba Berlin100-103
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game90.197.580.3
Allowed / game93.390.896.7
Point differential-3.1+6.8-16.3
Avg total183.4188.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game92.097.088.2
Allowed / game92.685.098.2
Point differential-0.6+12.0-10.0
Avg total184.6182.0186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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