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Murcia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-81
22-25 27-22 21-16 30-18
Position#4
Record16-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game83.5
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#7
Record14-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game86.3
SpainACBRound 24· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Murcia v Bilbao
28 Mar 2027
MUR v BIL
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
MUR100
BIL81
05 Oct 2024
MUR89
BIL83
03 Feb 2024
MUR96
BIL76
14 May 2023
MUR67
BIL55
31 Jan 2023
MUR90
BIL72
10 Oct 2021
MUR92
BIL87
28 Mar 2021
MUR82
BIL90
19 Nov 2017
MUR82
BIL71
17 Dec 2016
MUR97
BIL71
08 Nov 2015
MUR96
BIL68
08 Mar 2015
MUR91
BIL65
27 Dec 2013
MUR78
BIL77
07 Apr 2013
MUR77
BIL80
26 Feb 2012
MUR73
BIL69
06 Dec 2009
MUR75
BIL80
30 Nov 2008
MUR67
BIL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
83avg 80
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-66
92
66
+26
86avg 80
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
106-95
106
95
+11
97avg 80
A07/02
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
87avg 80
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
94avg 80
H14/02
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
84-110
84
110
-26
60avg 80
A08/03
ACB
Reggiana
#12
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 80
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#15
W
87-76
87
76
+11
82avg 80
H14/03
ACB
Reggiana
#12
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 80
H18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 80
A21/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
24-21
19-17
23-15
22-16
21-20
28-10
21-20
29-24
27-22
27-27
23-22
22-20
24-13
17-30
26-19
28-15
20-24
20-22
33-21
19-30
20-25
23-35
22-20
16-21
35-21
21-18
13-24
15-15
22-15
28-18
22-28
15-19
13-8
18-17
31-19
18-15
18-22
32-31
22-18
172.2Avg total
89.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.983.5172.4+5.370%
Season at home (11)87.780.2167.9+7.582%
Season away (12)89.986.6176.5+3.358%
Last 10 (10)89.582.7172.2+6.890%
Last 5 (5)84.683.8168.4+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.095.0183.0-7.050%
vs Similar (4)81.282.2163.5-1.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.278.2167.4+11.083%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#22
W
93-51
93
51
+42
95avg 80
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 80
A07/02
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
88-87
88
87
+1
86avg 80
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
42avg 80
H15/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
87avg 80
A18/02
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
88-96
88
96
-8
84avg 80
A07/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 80
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 80
H14/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
85-60
85
60
+25
90avg 80
H18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
92avg 80
A21/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-8
23-11
25-12
21-20
19-13
19-26
24-23
22-20
24-30
18-20
22-25
24-12
14-13
22-17
12-21
21-25
14-30
17-18
30-20
25-18
27-20
19-21
29-23
13-32
23-17
12-18
19-17
23-17
23-25
26-17
22-27
29-21
31-16
21-12
21-15
12-17
25-15
20-27
18-19
24-26
169.0Avg total
88.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.886.3172.1-0.558%
Season at home (12)86.080.6166.6+5.475%
Season away (12)85.692.0177.6-6.442%
Last 10 (10)88.480.6169.0+7.880%
Last 5 (5)90.482.6173.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.787.6165.3-9.929%
vs Similar (7)93.188.9182.0+4.371%
vs Weaker (16)93.573.1166.6+20.4100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
MurciaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/02
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/02
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A08/03
ACB
Reggiana
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/03
ACB
Reggiana
#12
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/03
ACB
82.2Avg total
42.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.483.0+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.637.777.3+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)47.641.188.7+6.573%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.682.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.584.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (4)40.543.083.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.438.482.8+6.075%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#22
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/02
ACB
PAOK
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/02
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A07/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
ACB
79.5Avg total
42.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.237.882.0+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.034.080.0+12.081%-
Last 30 away (14)42.142.284.3-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.479.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.683.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.641.481.0-1.957%-
vs Similar (7)43.441.685.0+1.957%-
vs Weaker (16)46.534.681.1+11.981%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.1
56.9%
50.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.1
36.4%
42.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.0
75.8%
74.7%16.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.8
55.9%
50.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.5
37.1%
42.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
74.7%14.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWWWLWWWWW
Bilbao
WWWWLWLWWW
#4
League position
#7
+7.9
Net rating
+8.3
101.2
Offensive rating
100.0
93.2
Defensive rating
91.8
55.9%
Effective FG%
55.8%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
37.1%
56.7%
Assist %
69.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 100.0Defence93.2 · 91.8Shooting55.9% · 55.8%3-point %36.4% · 37.1%Ball care14.1% · 15.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Murcia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Murcia wins
4
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Bilbao v Murcia96-82
27/04/25Bilbao v Murcia80-83 OT
05/10/24Murcia v Bilbao89-83 OT
03/02/24Murcia v Bilbao96-76
08/10/23Bilbao v Murcia77-68
14/05/23Murcia v Bilbao67-55
21/03/23Bilbao v Murcia67-71
31/01/23Murcia v Bilbao90-72
08/01/23Bilbao v Murcia99-81
23/04/22Bilbao v Murcia78-77
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AManresa90-86
18/03/26HReggiana77-63
14/03/26HGran Canaria87-76
11/03/26AReggiana85-84
08/03/26AValencia84-110
14/02/26HSan Pablo Burgos101-82
11/02/26ARostock89-82
07/02/26ABreogan106-95
03/02/26HTrefl Sopot92-66
01/02/26HBarcelona84-83
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-98 OT
18/03/26HPetkim Spor85-60
14/03/26HBreogan100-90
11/03/26APetkim Spor77-69
07/03/26ASan Pablo Burgos88-96
18/02/26AGran Canaria98-97 OT
15/02/26HBaskonia69-76
11/02/26APAOK88-87
07/02/26ABasket Zaragoza84-82
03/02/26HBC Prievidza93-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%82%58%
Points / game88.987.789.9
Allowed / game83.580.286.6
Point differential+5.3+7.5+3.3
Avg total172.4167.9176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Bilbao
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game85.886.085.6
Allowed / game86.380.692.0
Point differential-0.5+5.4-6.4
Avg total172.1166.6177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (2)71% (7)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2321291%92.582.0+10.5
2 Valencia2317674%95.381.8+13.4
3 Murcia2316770%88.983.5+5.3
4 Baskonia2215768%93.187.8+5.4
5 Barcelona2315865%88.380.8+7.5
6 Joventut Badalona2315865%85.080.5+4.5
7 Unicaja2315865%88.785.3+3.3
8 Tenerife2314961%87.483.2+4.2
9 Bilbao24141058%85.886.3-0.5
10 Basquet Girona23111248%86.489.6-3.2
11 Breogan24101442%89.492.5-3.0
12 Manresa2491538%84.491.8-7.5
13 Forca Lleida2381535%82.088.2-6.2
14 Gran Canaria2371630%79.184.1-5.0
15 Basket Zaragoza2371630%87.792.9-5.2
16 San Pablo Burgos2361726%89.093.3-4.3
17 MoraBanc Andorra2361726%85.593.3-7.8
18 Granada232219%80.791.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia22272130100
Bilbao2522161881
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