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Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 May 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 90-69
19-21 22-16 27-12 22-20
Position#1
Record23-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#9
Record16-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game83.0
SpainACBRound 33
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Real Madrid v Murcia
08 Nov 2026
MAD v MUR
upcoming
03 May 2026
MAD131
MUR123
09 Mar 2025
MAD80
MUR75
10 Jun 2024
MAD79
MUR63
08 Jun 2024
MAD84
MUR76
15 Feb 2024
MAD84
MUR79
15 Oct 2023
MAD106
MUR92
20 Nov 2022
MAD93
MUR57
11 May 2022
MAD90
MUR69
02 Feb 2021
MAD98
MUR87
23 Dec 2018
MAD80
MUR74
10 Dec 2017
MAD87
MUR85
16 Oct 2016
MAD93
MUR86
31 May 2016
MAD93
MUR72
27 May 2016
MAD107
MUR103
06 Dec 2015
MAD101
MUR80
16 Nov 2014
MAD90
MUR65
15 Mar 2014
MAD102
MUR65
03 Mar 2013
MAD86
MUR69
29 Apr 2012
MAD80
MUR79
25 Oct 2009
MAD73
MUR66
14 Dec 2008
MAD70
MUR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bayern
#11
L
88-97
88
97
-9
88avg 75
H08/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
97-108 OT
97
108
-11
no box
A10/04
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
67-79
67
79
-12
54avg 75
A13/04
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
92avg 75
H17/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 75
H20/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
95-66
95
66
+29
95avg 75
H22/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
66avg 75
A24/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
93avg 75
A26/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
99-89
99
89
+10
92avg 75
H01/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 75
A08/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
28-17
23-25
13-38
23-27
23-24
19-20
24-18
18-22
23-23
14-15
12-19
26-13
27-16
24-16
13-20
25-19
22-19
18-18
19-18
35-26
21-11
18-11
21-18
18-16
9-20
20-9
24-24
25-22
26-19
22-20
14-15
29-23
18-23
29-23
23-20
23-21
23-23
16-19
27-25
167.8Avg total
86.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.175.9159.0+7.272%
Season at home (16)82.674.9157.6+7.762%
Season away (16)83.676.8160.4+6.881%
Last 10 (10)86.781.1167.8+5.670%
Last 5 (5)88.277.6165.8+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.064.0123.0-5.00%
vs Similar (3)85.095.7180.7-10.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.076.7156.7+3.256%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
83avg 77
H23/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
71-72
71
72
-1
64avg 77
H27/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
68avg 77
H29/03
ACB
Real Betis
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
84avg 77
A02/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H10/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
65avg 77
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
93-103
93
103
-10
76avg 77
A17/04
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
60avg 77
A23/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
98-80
98
80
+18
90avg 77
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 77
H08/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
24-15
27-22
22-15
13-17
14-21
22-22
22-12
27-16
19-26
14-22
27-25
19-27
24-19
28-18
22-20
25-22
17-14
22-26
22-13
22-23
25-26
12-15
24-29
24-36
25-27
15-18
29-22
15-21
21-22
26-14
15-21
18-22
33-17
21-20
26-21
17-23
20-23
26-17
8-20
167.9Avg total
85.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.283.0169.2+3.250%
Season at home (16)84.478.2162.7+6.262%
Season away (16)88.087.7175.7+0.338%
Last 10 (10)85.082.9167.9+2.140%
Last 5 (5)84.487.4171.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.790.7173.3-8.00%
vs Similar (14)82.883.1165.9-0.450%
vs Weaker (12)92.283.4175.6+8.858%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
Real MadridMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#11
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H08/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A10/04
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A13/04
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H17/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H22/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#13
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A24/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A26/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H01/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/05
ACB
86.7Avg total
46.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.578.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.335.879.1+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)38.839.278.0-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)46.640.186.7+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.886.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.018.047.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (3)42.749.091.7-6.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.437.278.5+4.264%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H27/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H29/03
ACB
Real Betis
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A17/04
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/05
ACB
85.7Avg total
42.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.583.4+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.179.3+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.987.5+1.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.785.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.092.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)43.347.390.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (14)39.541.180.6-1.643%-
vs Weaker (12)45.938.884.7+7.267%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.8
55.3%
52.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.1
38.1%
35.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
75.5%13.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.1
50.0%
52.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.2
31.9%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.714.4
66.4%
75.5%14.4
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLLL
Murcia
LWLLLWWLLW
#1
League position
#9
+7.7
Net rating
+3.2
117.1
Offensive rating
108.1
109.4
Defensive rating
104.9
56.2%
Effective FG%
49.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.1%
3-point %
31.9%
61.2%
Assist %
54.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 108.1Defence109.4 · 104.9Shooting56.2% · 49.2%3-point %38.1% · 31.9%Ball care15.0% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 35.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
19/12/21Murcia v Real Madrid71-80
07/03/21Murcia v Real Madrid58-74
02/02/21Real Madrid v Murcia98-87
02/05/19Murcia v Real Madrid80-82
23/12/18Real Madrid v Murcia80-74
12/05/18Murcia v Real Madrid61-63
10/12/17Real Madrid v Murcia87-85 OT
05/02/17Murcia v Real Madrid61-89
16/10/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-86
31/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/22AObradoiro CAB89-88
01/05/22HJoventut Badalona99-89
26/04/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv87-76
24/04/22AReal Betis71-69
22/04/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv95-66
20/04/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-74
17/04/22HBreogan90-65
13/04/22ABilbao67-79
10/04/22ABarcelona97-108 OT
08/04/22HBayern88-97
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/22HJoventut Badalona71-83
01/05/22HObradoiro CAB98-80
23/04/22ABilbao77-78
17/04/22AManresa93-103
13/04/22ABaskonia83-93
10/04/22HGran Canaria86-75
02/04/22AReal Betis93-84
29/03/22HBarcelona87-89
27/03/22HValencia71-72
23/03/22HBreogan91-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLLWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %72%62%81%
Points / game83.182.683.6
Allowed / game75.974.976.8
Point differential+7.2+7.7+6.8
Avg total159.0157.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)25% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Murcia
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game86.284.488.0
Allowed / game83.078.287.7
Point differential+3.2+6.2+0.3
Avg total169.2162.7175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)57% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3326779%83.074.5+8.5
2 Real Madrid3223972%83.175.9+7.2
3 Valencia33221167%83.079.3+3.7
4 Joventut Badalona33211264%81.478.3+3.1
5 Tenerife32201262%83.278.7+4.5
6 Manresa33201361%88.385.2+3.2
7 Baskonia32191359%81.478.4+3.0
8 Gran Canaria33171652%80.882.0-1.2
9 Murcia32161650%86.283.0+3.2
10 Bilbao33161748%80.984.5-3.5
11 Breogan33151845%83.083.8-0.8
12 Unicaja33132039%80.580.2+0.3
13 Obradoiro CAB33122136%82.186.1-4.0
14 Real Betis33122136%78.084.4-6.4
15 MoraBanc Andorra33112233%78.582.9-4.4
16 Fuenlabrada33112233%82.587.0-4.5
17 Basket Zaragoza33112233%75.582.2-6.6
18 San Pablo Burgos33102330%77.882.4-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1922272290
Murcia2116122069
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