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Murcia vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game98.7
SpainACBRound 30· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Murcia v Breogan
25 Apr 2027
MUR v BRE
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
MUR83
BRE96
16 Nov 2024
MUR79
BRE63
12 May 2024
MUR68
BRE61
29 Sep 2022
MUR70
BRE84
23 Mar 2022
MUR91
BRE72
03 Nov 2018
MUR76
BRE64
01 Oct 2010
MUR83
BRE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 80
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#6
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 80
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 80
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 80
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 80
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 80
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 80
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 80
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
17-14
19-16
25-32
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
20-22
19-25
16-16
16-27
173.2Avg total
87.4Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.193.3183.4-3.143%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (3)80.396.7177.0-16.30%
Last 10 (10)87.485.8173.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)89.893.0182.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.297.5182.8-12.225%
vs Similar (7)86.192.4178.6-6.329%
vs Weaker (19)91.380.4171.6+10.989%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
128avg 97
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 97
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 97
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 97
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 97
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 97
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 97
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 97
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 97
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
202.8Avg total
106.0Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)102.798.7201.4+4.057%
Season at home (3)105.099.7204.7+5.367%
Season away (4)101.098.0199.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)106.096.8202.8+9.260%
Last 5 (5)101.698.4200.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (12)91.993.3185.2-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)104.493.2197.6+11.270%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
MurciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#17
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/11
ACB
78.7Avg total
38.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.782.8+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.540.482.9+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)41.541.282.6+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.878.7-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.684.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.548.887.2-10.20%-
vs Similar (7)40.442.482.9-2.043%-
vs Weaker (19)43.438.481.8+5.074%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/11
ACB
95.8Avg total
51.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.845.891.5+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.844.892.5+3.054%-
Last 30 away (17)44.246.590.8-2.335%-
Last 10 (10)51.544.395.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)50.245.095.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (12)43.247.290.5-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)51.542.594.0+9.080%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
55.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.7
32.7%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
75.8%19.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.7%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.2%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
75.8%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLWLWLWWL
Breogan
LWLLWWWLWW
#11
League position
#7
+1.2
Net rating
+11.0
97.1
Offensive rating
114.3
95.9
Defensive rating
103.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
64.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.7%
3-point %
44.8%
53.3%
Assist %
59.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 114.3Defence95.9 · 103.4Shooting50.0% · 64.1%3-point %32.7% · 44.8%Ball care14.0% · 15.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Murcia wins
3
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Breogan v Murcia95-106
16/11/25Murcia v Breogan83-96
22/03/25Breogan v Murcia70-86
16/11/24Murcia v Breogan79-63
12/05/24Murcia v Breogan68-61
17/12/23Breogan v Murcia74-83
07/05/23Breogan v Murcia60-65
29/09/22Murcia v Breogan70-84
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AReal Madrid71-90
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
27/09/26ABasquet Girona77-84
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ABarcelona91-99
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
14/09/26HRilski Sportist126-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game90.197.580.3
Allowed / game93.390.896.7
Point differential-3.1+6.8-16.3
Avg total183.4188.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game102.7105.0101.0
Allowed / game98.799.798.0
Point differential+4.0+5.3+3.0
Avg total201.4204.7199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+11.1
3 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+7.7
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+4.9
6 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+4.0
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-8.0
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-0.6
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-0.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-10.7
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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