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Murcia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 68-61
18-9 20-16 16-22 14-14
Position#6
Record20-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game81.0
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#16
Record11-22
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game79.0
SpainACBRound 34· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Murcia v Breogan
25 Apr 2027
MUR v BRE
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
MUR83
BRE96
16 Nov 2024
MUR79
BRE63
12 May 2024
MUR68
BRE61
29 Sep 2022
MUR70
BRE84
23 Mar 2022
MUR91
BRE72
03 Nov 2018
MUR76
BRE64
01 Oct 2010
MUR83
BRE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
98-72
98
72
+26
104avg 75
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 75
A06/04
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 75
A09/04
Champions League
Palencia
#18
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 75
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
72avg 75
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 75
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
87-84
87
84
+3
74avg 75
A28/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 75
H01/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
66avg 75
A05/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 75
A10/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
17-19
27-22
27-17
21-23
17-19
20-15
24-18
25-20
22-17
17-21
21-14
19-11
20-19
22-29
29-18
22-21
18-26
28-32
18-18
26-15
14-18
15-26
19-21
27-23
17-12
19-20
24-29
22-24
16-16
23-13
21-24
18-25
18-22
15-31
20-18
24-30
24-16
11-23
20-25
165.8Avg total
83.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.781.0164.7+2.661%
Season at home (16)86.675.9162.5+10.688%
Season away (17)80.985.8166.8-4.935%
Last 10 (10)83.482.4165.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)78.686.2164.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.781.7151.3-12.033%
vs Similar (9)81.687.4169.0-5.922%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.176.3162.4+9.888%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
61avg 66
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
82avg 66
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 66
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 66
H30/03
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
46avg 66
H06/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
73avg 66
A14/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
56avg 66
H20/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
85-84
85
84
+1
80avg 66
A27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
76-54
76
54
+22
71avg 66
H05/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
97-92
97
92
+5
84avg 66
H10/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
20-17
13-22
19-20
26-23
20-24
21-25
21-13
14-25
13-16
23-21
22-21
9-16
23-21
16-19
20-24
16-16
17-19
15-12
25-18
27-13
12-20
19-18
16-25
13-16
20-12
17-19
8-11
17-18
28-18
21-26
19-22
26-13
11-18
22-9
17-14
26-19
22-19
29-29
20-25
154.0Avg total
76.8Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.879.0153.8-4.233%
Season at home (17)77.477.8155.1-0.441%
Season away (16)72.180.2152.4-8.125%
Last 10 (10)76.877.2154.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.476.6157.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.879.6151.4-7.820%
vs Similar (18)80.480.6161.1-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)69.071.0140.0-2.050%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
MurciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/04
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/04
Champions League
Palencia
#18
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H26/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A28/04
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/05
ACB
80.4Avg total
41.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.279.5+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.634.177.7+9.486%-
Last 30 away (16)39.341.781.0-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.080.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.281.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.039.072.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (9)41.142.984.0-1.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.335.278.5+8.176%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/03
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H20/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H05/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H10/05
ACB
73.3Avg total
37.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.376.6-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.575.8+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.177.3-4.827%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.073.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.273.6+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.439.176.5-1.750%-
vs Similar (18)37.839.677.4-1.733%-
vs Weaker (2)31.538.069.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.4
54.2%
53.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.9
32.0%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.616.7
77.3%
75.6%16.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.0
52.1%
53.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.0
71.8%
75.6%15.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLWWLLWWWW
Breogan
WWWLLWLLWL
#6
League position
#16
+0.8
Net rating
+0.6
109.9
Offensive rating
106.0
109.1
Defensive rating
105.4
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.0%
3-point %
34.5%
64.3%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 106.0Defence109.1 · 105.4Shooting51.5% · 51.9%3-point %32.0% · 34.5%Ball care16.2% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 30.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Murcia wins
4
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Breogan v Murcia74-83
07/05/23Breogan v Murcia60-65
29/09/22Murcia v Breogan70-84
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
10/02/19Breogan v Murcia77-73
03/11/18Murcia v Breogan76-64
09/01/11Breogan v Murcia73-84
01/10/10Murcia v Breogan83-87
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24ABaskonia79-94
05/05/24AUnicaja71-96
01/05/24HBasket Zaragoza82-77
28/04/24APeristeri87-84
26/04/24HUnicaja74-80
20/04/24ABarcelona86-97
13/04/24HPalencia90-77
09/04/24ALudwigsburg85-72
06/04/24AJoventut Badalona82-75
03/04/24HLudwigsburg98-72
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24HMoraBanc Andorra97-92
05/05/24HTenerife76-54
27/04/24AGranada85-84
20/04/24HGran Canaria70-77 OT
14/04/24ABaskonia74-76
06/04/24HPalencia73-65
30/03/24HBilbao68-80
23/03/24AObradoiro CAB72-83
17/03/24ABarcelona88-85
09/03/24HUnicaja65-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL61%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %61%88%35%
Points / game83.786.680.9
Allowed / game81.075.985.8
Point differential+2.6+10.6-4.9
Avg total164.7162.5166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%69%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW33%
HomeLWLWW41%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %33%41%25%
Points / game74.877.472.1
Allowed / game79.077.880.2
Point differential-4.2-0.4-8.1
Avg total153.8155.1152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja3327682%88.677.5+11.1
2 Real Madrid3327682%87.779.0+8.7
3 Barcelona33221167%88.381.8+6.4
4 Valencia33211264%84.481.5+2.9
5 Gran Canaria33201361%84.681.7+2.9
6 Murcia33201361%83.781.0+2.6
7 Tenerife33201361%83.781.2+2.5
8 Manresa33191458%84.884.6+0.2
9 Baskonia33181555%88.187.8+0.3
10 Joventut Badalona33161748%82.086.1-4.2
11 Bilbao33132039%79.182.0-2.9
12 Basquet Girona33132039%81.185.6-4.5
13 MoraBanc Andorra33122136%84.485.5-1.2
14 Basket Zaragoza33122136%82.185.3-3.2
15 Breogan33112233%74.879.0-4.2
16 Obradoiro CAB33102330%80.784.8-4.1
17 Granada33102330%81.286.8-5.6
18 Palencia3362718%79.287.1-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1820161468
Breogan916221461
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