Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2009

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 83-89

18-27 21-15 20-28 24-19

Position#18

Record2-7

FormLLLWL

Points / game70.8

Allowed / game82.7

Murcia

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#7

Record3-6

FormLWWWL

Points / game74.2

Allowed / game77.1

ACBRound 10

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Murcia v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

60-59

A09/05

ACB

Baskonia

66-88

-22

H11/10

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

77-93

-16

A15/10

ACB

Manresa

#12

73-63

+10

H18/10

ACB

Real Madrid

66-73

-7

A25/10

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#15

73-81

-8

H01/11

ACB

Unicaja

54-84

-30

A07/11

ACB

Alicante

#13

69-113

113

-44

A15/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#17

86-66

+20

H19/11

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

73-83 OT

-10

A22/11

ACB

18-9

13-20

15-12

14-18

20-20

22-23

17-20

7-25

19-23

24-19

14-33

20-18

22-14

15-13

24-14

12-22

20-27

12-16

15-12

19-18

24-25

16-19

12-21

21-16

13-19

15-15

5-22

21-28

16-29

17-24

18-37

18-23

20-24

12-14

30-15

24-13

19-21

24-20

13-20

12-7

150.0Avg total

69.7Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	70.8	82.7	153.4	-11.9	22%
Season at home (4)	74.5	74.5	149.0	+0.0	50%
Season away (5)	67.8	89.2	157.0	-21.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.7	80.3	150.0	-10.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.0	85.4	156.4	-14.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	70.3	82.2	152.4	-11.9	17%
vs Similar (7)	80.3	78.3	158.6	+2.0	57%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

83-105

105

-22

H09/05

ACB

Valencia

68-80

-12

A11/10

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

64-85

-21

A18/10

ACB

Real Betis

63-84

-21

H24/10

ACB

Gran Canaria

72-75

-3

H27/10

ACB

Barcelona

75-78

-3

H01/11

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#14

89-83

A08/11

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

80-61

+19

H15/11

ACB

Manresa

#12

86-76 OT

+10

A18/11

ACB

Unicaja

71-72

-1

H21/11

ACB

22-24

16-38

19-31

26-12

13-21

14-18

23-14

18-27

24-17

9-26

17-18

14-24

25-15

15-28

12-26

11-15

–

20-23

20-17

9-12

26-26

32-21

20-22

18-11

19-29

23-12

25-23

18-14

14-12

10-20

27-13

19-21

15-17

25-21

19-14

11-15

16-22

155.0Avg total

75.1Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	74.2	77.1	151.3	-2.9	33%
Season at home (5)	72.2	74.0	146.2	-1.8	20%
Season away (4)	76.8	81.0	157.8	-4.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	75.1	79.9	155.0	-4.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	74.0	154.2	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.2	87.0	163.2	-10.8	10%
vs Similar (15)	74.9	76.4	151.3	-1.5	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	88.5	74.5	163.0	+14.0	100%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.3	21.4	40.6	-2.1	26%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	20.4	40.7	-0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.1	40.6	-3.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.6	42.0	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	21.8	43.2	-0.5	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	17.9	37.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	11%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.0	26%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	25%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.3	36.0	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.3	35.3	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.0	19.4	37.3	-1.4	19%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	17.0	34.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.8	22.7	40.4	-4.9	44%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.5	20.0	43.5	+3.5	50%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

31-29

A09/05

ACB

Baskonia

42-43

-1

H11/10

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

43-42

A15/10

ACB

Manresa

#12

37-27

+10

H18/10

ACB

Real Madrid

32-43

-11

A25/10

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#15

40-44

-4

H01/11

ACB

Unicaja

28-34

-6

A07/11

ACB

Alicante

#13

33-53

-20

A15/11

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#17

32-38

-6

H19/11

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

43-41

A22/11

ACB

75.5Avg total

36.1Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	37.1	40.2	77.3	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.2	39.9	78.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	40.5	76.6	-4.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	39.4	75.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.0	77.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.6	40.6	77.2	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.7	38.8	77.5	-0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

38-62

-24

H09/05

ACB

Valencia

27-39

-12

A11/10

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

33-43

-10

A18/10

ACB

Real Betis

40-43

-3

H24/10

ACB

Barcelona

40-40

H01/11

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#14

52-43

A08/11

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

48-35

+13

H15/11

ACB

Manresa

#12

37-33

A18/11

ACB

Unicaja

44-35

H21/11

ACB

81.3Avg total

39.9Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	37.4	38.4	75.9	-1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	37.9	76.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.8	39.0	74.8	-3.2	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.9	41.4	81.3	-1.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	37.2	81.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.8	43.4	79.2	-7.7	22%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.4	35.5	71.9	+0.8	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	45.5	37.5	83.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.6	36.9	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	23.0	38.6	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.6	17.4	34.9	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.0	17.4	33.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	14.6	29.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.2	17.1	33.3	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.7	19.2	35.8	-2.5	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.1	21.0	37.1	-4.8	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.9	22.8	43.7	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.8	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	44%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	24.2	44.6	-3.7	15%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.5	18.8	37.2	-0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	35.0	40.8	75.8	-5.8	22%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.5	38.2	73.8	-2.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.6	42.9	77.5	-8.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.1	39.4	72.5	-6.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	40.4	75.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	33.6	41.4	75.0	-7.8	19%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.8	38.8	78.7	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	38.5	40.1	78.6	-1.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.2	39.6	76.9	-2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.8	40.7	80.5	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	33.9	38.4	72.3	-4.6	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	35.8	68.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.2	39.6	77.8	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.8	41.8	79.7	-4.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.2	35.8	75.0	+3.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/09	Murcia v Estudiantes	78-99
11/10/08	Estudiantes v Murcia	93-66

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/09	A	Joventut Badalona	73-83 OT
19/11/09	H	Obradoiro CAB	86-66
15/11/09	A	Alicante	69-113
07/11/09	A	Unicaja	54-84
01/11/09	H	Gipuzkoa	73-81
25/10/09	A	Real Madrid	66-73
18/10/09	H	Manresa	73-63
15/10/09	A	Fuenlabrada	77-93
11/10/09	H	Baskonia	66-88
09/05/09	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	60-59

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/11/09	H	Unicaja	71-72
18/11/09	A	Manresa	86-76 OT
15/11/09	H	Fuenlabrada	80-61
08/11/09	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	89-83
01/11/09	H	Barcelona	75-78
27/10/09	H	Gran Canaria	72-75
24/10/09	H	Real Betis	63-84
18/10/09	A	Joventut Badalona	64-85
11/10/09	A	Valencia	68-80
09/05/09	H	Baskonia	83-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2009-10

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	22%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	22%	50%	0%
Points / game	70.8	74.5	67.8
Allowed / game	82.7	74.5	89.2
Point differential	-11.9	+0.0	-21.4
Avg total	153.4	149.0	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Estudiantes

ACB 2009-10

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	33%
Home	LLLWL	20%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	33%	20%	50%
Points / game	74.2	72.2	76.8
Allowed / game	77.1	74.0	81.0
Point differential	-2.9	-1.8	-4.2
Avg total	151.3	146.2	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	20%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (3)	-
Overtime %	11%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	9	9	0	100%	79.9	68.0	+11.9
2	Barcelona	10	9	1	90%	79.2	63.8	+15.4
3	Baskonia	9	7	2	78%	80.9	74.8	+6.1
4	Valencia	9	7	2	78%	77.9	72.3	+5.6
5	Joventut Badalona	9	6	3	67%	72.6	73.9	-1.3
6	Real Betis	10	6	4	60%	71.9	69.7	+2.2
7	Gipuzkoa	8	4	4	50%	74.1	75.6	-1.5
8	Gran Canaria	9	4	5	44%	76.2	72.3	+3.9
9	CB Granada	9	4	5	44%	77.0	78.6	-1.6
10	Manresa	9	4	5	44%	68.4	73.2	-4.8
11	Fuenlabrada	10	4	6	40%	73.2	77.6	-4.4
12	Estudiantes	9	3	6	33%	74.2	77.1	-2.9
13	Obradoiro CAB	9	3	6	33%	75.4	79.0	-3.6
14	Alicante	9	3	6	33%	74.3	79.1	-4.8
15	Unicaja	10	3	7	30%	72.6	72.4	+0.2
16	Bilbao	8	2	6	25%	71.4	76.6	-5.2
17	Baloncesto Valladolid	9	2	7	22%	69.9	75.4	-5.6
18	Murcia	9	2	7	22%	70.8	82.7	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Murcia	18	21	20	24	83
Estudiantes	27	15	28	19	89

← all games of the day

Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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