PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-76
18-13 19-20 27-15 20-28
Position#1
Record33-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#6
Record26-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game80.4
SpainACBACB - Final· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Real Madrid v Murcia
08 Nov 2026
MAD90
MUR71
03 May 2026
MAD131
MUR123
09 Mar 2025
MAD80
MUR75
10 Jun 2024
MAD79
MUR63
08 Jun 2024
MAD84
MUR76
15 Feb 2024
MAD84
MUR79
15 Oct 2023
MAD106
MUR92
20 Nov 2022
MAD93
MUR57
11 May 2022
MAD90
MUR69
02 Feb 2021
MAD98
MUR87
23 Dec 2018
MAD80
MUR74
10 Dec 2017
MAD87
MUR85
16 Oct 2016
MAD93
MUR86
31 May 2016
MAD93
MUR72
27 May 2016
MAD107
MUR103
06 Dec 2015
MAD101
MUR80
16 Nov 2014
MAD90
MUR65
15 Mar 2014
MAD102
MUR65
03 Mar 2013
MAD86
MUR69
29 Apr 2012
MAD80
MUR79
25 Oct 2009
MAD73
MUR66
14 Dec 2008
MAD70
MUR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
94-80
94
80
+14
100avg 86
H05/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-99
93
99
-6
76avg 86
A10/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
106-100
106
100
+6
110avg 86
H12/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
105-70
105
70
+35
98avg 86
H15/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
73-71
73
71
+2
74avg 86
A17/05
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 86
H24/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
70avg 86
H26/05
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 86
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
104-98
104
98
+6
99avg 86
H31/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
95-92
95
92
+3
101avg 86
A02/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
29-23
26-15
17-23
27-28
22-19
23-28
21-24
28-26
28-21
20-29
30-24
27-25
19-13
31-15
28-17
25-18
18-15
17-25
13-13
28-10
28-27
15-21
16-18
36-25
18-24
7-15
19-31
24-14
20-22
28-26
25-16
22-24
22-16
29-22
31-36
28-20
21-25
23-31
23-16
179.3Avg total
93.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)89.179.9169.0+9.285%
Season at home (20)92.679.7172.3+12.990%
Season away (19)85.480.1165.5+5.379%
Last 10 (10)93.485.9179.3+7.580%
Last 5 (5)92.687.8180.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.087.2172.2-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.182.5171.6+6.781%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 75
A10/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
68-61
68
61
+7
56avg 75
H12/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
96-86
96
86
+10
97avg 75
A18/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
63avg 75
H22/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
84-77
84
77
+7
62avg 75
A25/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 75
A28/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
101-83
101
83
+18
86avg 75
A30/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
51avg 75
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
52avg 75
H03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 75
A05/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
24-16
11-23
20-25
18-9
20-16
16-22
14-14
21-13
27-25
17-19
31-29
14-23
22-20
22-18
14-22
26-27
17-17
18-19
23-14
24-21
17-15
26-27
21-16
25-21
19-24
30-16
27-22
9-25
15-14
20-26
22-9
18-31
25-24
20-17
16-16
14-25
17-7
24-20
24-18
160.7Avg total
81.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)83.280.4163.5+2.862%
Season at home (20)83.576.0159.6+7.575%
Season away (22)82.984.3167.2-1.450%
Last 10 (10)81.279.5160.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)82.678.8161.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.781.7162.3-1.050%
vs Similar (9)84.485.4169.9-1.044%
vs Weaker (14)84.375.8160.1+8.586%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
Real MadridMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H05/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A10/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H12/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H15/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A17/05
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H24/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H26/05
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A02/06
ACB
90.6Avg total
49.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.982.8+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.341.685.9+2.765%-
Last 30 away (13)41.237.778.8+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)49.241.490.6+7.8100%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.490.8+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)48.542.891.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.139.581.5+2.665%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H12/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A18/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H22/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A25/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H03/06
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/06
ACB
79.9Avg total
39.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.879.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.236.678.8+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)40.240.580.7-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.379.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.478.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.542.378.8-5.817%-
vs Similar (9)42.642.084.6+0.656%-
vs Weaker (14)42.534.977.4+7.679%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.319.7
61.0%
53.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.5
40.2%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.518.9
84.0%
75.6%18.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.2
52.4%
53.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.315.0
82.0%
75.6%15.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWLW
Murcia
WLLWWWLWWL
#1
League position
#6
+11.1
Net rating
+2.0
123.6
Offensive rating
108.4
112.6
Defensive rating
106.3
60.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.2%
3-point %
33.1%
66.0%
Assist %
56.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.6 · 108.4Defence112.6 · 106.3Shooting60.7% · 51.2%3-point %40.2% · 33.1%Ball care16.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.9% · 31.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
15/02/24Real Madrid v Murcia84-79
14/01/24Murcia v Real Madrid73-61
15/10/23Real Madrid v Murcia106-92
12/02/23Murcia v Real Madrid80-88
20/11/22Real Madrid v Murcia93-57
11/05/22Real Madrid v Murcia90-69
19/12/21Murcia v Real Madrid71-80
07/03/21Murcia v Real Madrid58-74
02/02/21Real Madrid v Murcia98-87
02/05/19Murcia v Real Madrid80-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/24ABarcelona95-92
31/05/24HBarcelona104-98
29/05/24HBarcelona97-78
26/05/24HPanathinaikos80-95
24/05/24HOlympiacos87-76
17/05/24AGran Canaria73-71
15/05/24HGran Canaria105-70
12/05/24HBaskonia106-100
10/05/24AValencia93-99
05/05/24HGranada94-80
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/24AUnicaja79-70
03/06/24HUnicaja79-88
01/06/24HUnicaja66-74
30/05/24AUnicaja101-83
28/05/24AUnicaja88-79
25/05/24AValencia84-77
22/05/24HValencia72-83
18/05/24AValencia96-86
12/05/24HBreogan68-61
10/05/24ABaskonia79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %85%90%79%
Points / game89.192.685.4
Allowed / game79.979.780.1
Point differential+9.2+12.9+5.3
Avg total169.0172.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%55%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWLLL75%
AwayWWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game83.283.582.9
Allowed / game80.476.084.3
Point differential+2.8+7.5-1.4
Avg total163.5159.6167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%55%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3933685%89.179.9+9.2
2 Unicaja4132978%87.477.6+9.8
3 Barcelona39251464%88.483.2+5.2
4 Murcia42261662%83.280.4+2.8
5 Valencia37221559%83.882.2+1.7
6 Tenerife36211558%84.082.0+1.9
7 Gran Canaria36201656%83.381.9+1.4
8 Baskonia34181653%88.588.4+0.1
9 Manresa36191753%83.984.7-0.8
10 Joventut Badalona34161847%81.686.4-4.8
11 MoraBanc Andorra34132138%84.885.1-0.3
12 Basket Zaragoza34132138%82.385.1-2.8
13 Bilbao34132138%78.781.7-2.9
14 Basquet Girona34132138%81.085.7-4.7
15 Obradoiro CAB34112332%81.284.4-3.2
16 Breogan34112332%74.478.6-4.2
17 Granada34112332%80.986.2-5.2
18 Palencia3462818%78.987.2-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1819272084
Murcia1320152876
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.