Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (44)	82.6	80.4	163.0	+2.2	59%
Season at home (20)	83.5	76.0	159.6	+7.5	75%
Season away (24)	81.8	84.0	165.8	-2.2	46%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	80.3	160.7	+0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	79.0	151.6	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	77.9	81.6	159.5	-3.8	38%
vs Similar (9)	84.4	85.4	169.9	-1.0	44%
vs Weaker (12)	83.8	75.3	159.1	+8.4	83%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Baskonia

106-100

106

100

110avg 85

H12/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

105-70

105

+35

98avg 85

H15/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

73-71

74avg 85

A17/05

ACB

Olympiacos

87-76

+11

87avg 85

H24/05

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

80-95

-15

70avg 85

H26/05

Euroleague

Barcelona

97-78

+19

96avg 85

H29/05

ACB

Barcelona

104-98

104

99avg 85

H31/05

ACB

Barcelona

95-92

101avg 85

A02/06

ACB

Murcia

84-76

74avg 85

H08/06

ACB

Murcia

79-63

+16

72avg 85

H10/06

ACB

28-26

28-21

20-29

30-24

27-25

19-13

31-15

28-17

25-18

18-15

17-25

13-13

28-10

28-27

15-21

16-18

36-25

18-24

7-15

19-31

24-14

20-22

28-26

25-16

22-24

22-16

29-22

31-36

28-20

21-25

23-31

23-16

18-13

19-20

27-15

20-28

18-15

22-15

17-22

22-11

172.9Avg total

91.0Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	88.7	79.4	168.1	+9.3	85%
Season at home (22)	91.6	78.8	170.4	+12.8	91%
Season away (19)	85.4	80.1	165.5	+5.3	79%
Last 10 (10)	91.0	81.9	172.9	+9.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	81.4	173.2	+10.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	84.7	84.0	168.7	+0.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	88.6	82.0	170.5	+6.6	81%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.1	21.4	41.6	-1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	23.4	37.2	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.5	16.8	39.3	+5.7	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.3	19.1	42.3	+4.2	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	19.0	44.4	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	29.3	18.0	47.3	+11.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.7	38.5	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.1	62%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.1	41.2	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.8	21.2	42.1	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.3	24.0	47.3	-0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	56%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

48-38

+10

A18/05

ACB

Valencia

36-43

-7

H22/05

ACB

Valencia

43-44

-1

A25/05

ACB

Unicaja

41-36

A28/05

ACB

Unicaja

44-45

-1

A30/05

ACB

Unicaja

24-39

-15

H01/06

ACB

Unicaja

43-55

-12

H03/06

ACB

Unicaja

31-32

-1

A05/06

ACB

Real Madrid

33-37

-4

A08/06

ACB

Real Madrid

30-40

-10

A10/06

ACB

78.2Avg total

37.3Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.0	79.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.8	37.0	78.8	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.1	40.4	79.5	-1.3	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	40.9	78.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	40.6	72.8	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.2	41.4	76.6	-6.1	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.6	42.0	84.6	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.2	34.8	77.1	+7.4	75%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

56-47

H12/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

46-38

H15/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

43-33

+10

A17/05

ACB

Olympiacos

56-37

+19

H24/05

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

54-49

H26/05

Euroleague

Barcelona

44-36

H29/05

ACB

Barcelona

44-40

H31/05

ACB

Barcelona

49-45

A02/06

ACB

Murcia

37-33

H08/06

ACB

Murcia

40-30

+10

H10/06

ACB

85.7Avg total

46.9Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.1	82.2	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.1	40.3	84.4	+3.8	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.5	37.4	78.9	+4.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	38.8	85.7	+8.1	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	36.8	79.6	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	52.7	42.0	94.7	+10.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.2	70%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	21.8	43.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.7	20.2	40.8	+0.5	42%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.2	43.8	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.1	20.6	43.7	+2.6	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.7	22.2	43.9	-0.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.2	48.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	12.7	20.0	32.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.3	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.1	41.3	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.1	17.6	38.8	+3.5	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.8	20.3	41.2	+0.5	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.0	22.5	45.5	+0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.4	45.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.9	21.8	44.7	+1.1	37%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	41.3	83.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.8	41.4	83.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.4	82.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.4	78.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	42.6	40.2	82.9	+2.4	62%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.9	43.4	85.3	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.5	40.5	82.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	43.0	88.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	46.1	43.1	89.2	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	43.6	43.0	86.6	+0.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	43.1	87.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	44.6	93.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	32.0	42.0	74.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	46.6	43.1	89.7	+3.4	63%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	17.5	49.9%	53.0%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.5	35.1%	34.9%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.0	15.7	82.6%	75.6%	15.7

They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 90.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	20.0	58.0%	53.0%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	10.7	39.1%	34.9%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	21.9	18.5	84.5%	75.6%	18.5

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	19.5	48.9%	53.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	8.5	31.4%	34.9%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	20.1	15.2	75.6%	75.6%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	18.4	48.5%	53.0%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	10.5	38.7%	34.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	16.3	12.0	73.6%	75.6%	12.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	18.9	52.5%	53.0%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.1	33.5%	34.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	20.4	16.0	78.3%	75.6%	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.9	56.3%	53.0%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.2	36.6%	34.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	21.0	17.0	80.9%	75.6%	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.5	51.0%	53.0%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.0	33.2%	34.9%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.5	76.1%	75.6%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.1	49.8%	53.0%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	10.2	36.1%	34.9%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	15.7	12.3	78.4%	75.6%	12.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Murcia

LLWLLWWWLW

Real Madrid

WWWWWLWWWW

League position

-0.7

Net rating

+14.0

107.9

Offensive rating

123.0

108.6

Defensive rating

109.0

51.0%

Effective FG%

58.2%

48.1%

Opp. effective FG%

52.5%

18.4%

Turnover %

15.6%

32.0%

Off. rebound %

30.9%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.35

35.1%

3-point %

39.1%

55.6%

Assist %

65.1%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Murcia ■ Real Madrid

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
10/06/24	Real Madrid v Murcia	79-63
08/06/24	Real Madrid v Murcia	84-76
15/02/24	Real Madrid v Murcia	84-79
14/01/24	Murcia v Real Madrid	73-61
15/10/23	Real Madrid v Murcia	106-92
12/02/23	Murcia v Real Madrid	80-88
20/11/22	Real Madrid v Murcia	93-57
11/05/22	Real Madrid v Murcia	90-69
19/12/21	Murcia v Real Madrid	71-80
07/03/21	Murcia v Real Madrid	58-74

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/06/24	A	Real Madrid	63-79
08/06/24	A	Real Madrid	76-84
05/06/24	A	Unicaja	79-70
03/06/24	H	Unicaja	79-88
01/06/24	H	Unicaja	66-74
30/05/24	A	Unicaja	101-83
28/05/24	A	Unicaja	88-79
25/05/24	A	Valencia	84-77
22/05/24	H	Valencia	72-83
18/05/24	A	Valencia	96-86

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/06/24	H	Murcia	79-63
08/06/24	H	Murcia	84-76
02/06/24	A	Barcelona	95-92
31/05/24	H	Barcelona	104-98
29/05/24	H	Barcelona	97-78
26/05/24	H	Panathinaikos	80-95
24/05/24	H	Olympiacos	87-76
17/05/24	A	Gran Canaria	73-71
15/05/24	H	Gran Canaria	105-70
12/05/24	H	Baskonia	106-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	59%
Home	WWLLL	75%
Away	WWWLL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	44	20	24
Win %	59%	75%	46%
Points / game	82.6	83.5	81.8
Allowed / game	80.4	76.0	84.0
Point differential	+2.2	+7.5	-2.2
Avg total	163.0	159.6	165.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	55%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	5%	4%

Real Madrid

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	85%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	LWLWW	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	22	19
Win %	85%	91%	79%
Points / game	88.7	91.6	85.4
Allowed / game	79.4	78.8	80.1
Point differential	+9.3	+12.8	+5.3
Avg total	168.1	170.4	165.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	55%	26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	41	35	6	85%	88.7	79.4	+9.3
2	Unicaja	41	32	9	78%	87.4	77.6	+9.8
3	Barcelona	39	25	14	64%	88.4	83.2	+5.2
4	Valencia	37	22	15	59%	83.8	82.2	+1.7
5	Murcia	44	26	18	59%	82.6	80.4	+2.2
6	Tenerife	36	21	15	58%	84.0	82.0	+1.9
7	Gran Canaria	36	20	16	56%	83.3	81.9	+1.4
8	Baskonia	34	18	16	53%	88.5	88.4	+0.1
9	Manresa	36	19	17	53%	83.9	84.7	-0.8
10	Joventut Badalona	34	16	18	47%	81.6	86.4	-4.8
11	MoraBanc Andorra	34	13	21	38%	84.8	85.1	-0.3
12	Basket Zaragoza	34	13	21	38%	82.3	85.1	-2.8
13	Bilbao	34	13	21	38%	78.7	81.7	-2.9
14	Basquet Girona	34	13	21	38%	81.0	85.7	-4.7
15	Obradoiro CAB	34	11	23	32%	81.2	84.4	-3.2
16	Breogan	34	11	23	32%	74.4	78.6	-4.2
17	Granada	34	11	23	32%	80.9	86.2	-5.2
18	Palencia	34	6	28	18%	78.9	87.2	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Murcia	19	21	16	17	73
Real Madrid	17	15	34	18	84

← all games of the day

Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature