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Murcia vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-76
15-15 22-15 28-18 22-28
Position#4
Record14-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game83.8
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#15
Record7-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.0
SpainACBRound 22· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Murcia v Gran Canaria
14 Mar 2026
MUR87
GKA76
01 Dec 2024
MUR63
GKA83
21 Oct 2023
MUR95
GKA69
17 Dec 2022
MUR99
GKA85
10 Apr 2022
MUR86
GKA75
07 Nov 2020
MUR74
GKA78
26 May 2019
MUR v GKA
upcoming
14 Jan 2018
MUR84
GKA78
25 Jan 2017
MUR67
GKA83
29 Oct 2016
MUR57
GKA76
20 Dec 2015
MUR71
GKA75
30 Dec 2014
MUR85
GKA89
16 Feb 2014
MUR71
GKA78
18 Nov 2012
MUR97
GKA99
07 Mar 2012
MUR76
GKA60
27 Dec 2009
MUR86
GKA83
30 Apr 2009
MUR72
GKA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 78
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
77avg 78
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
83avg 78
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-66
92
66
+26
86avg 78
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
106-95
106
95
+11
97avg 78
A07/02
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
87avg 78
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
94avg 78
H14/02
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
84-110
84
110
-26
60avg 78
A08/03
ACB
Reggiana
#12
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 78
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
27-10
32-20
13-30
21-15
28-19
15-24
16-17
24-20
24-17
21-25
10-17
18-30
24-21
19-17
23-15
22-16
21-20
28-10
21-20
29-24
27-22
27-27
23-22
22-20
24-13
17-30
26-19
28-15
20-24
20-22
33-21
19-30
20-25
23-35
22-20
16-21
35-21
21-18
13-24
175.2Avg total
89.9Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.983.8172.7+5.167%
Season at home (10)87.880.6168.4+7.280%
Season away (11)89.986.6176.5+3.355%
Last 10 (10)89.985.3175.2+4.680%
Last 5 (5)93.090.6183.6+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.095.0183.0-7.050%
vs Similar (5)82.882.6165.4+0.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.678.9168.4+10.778%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
66avg 74
H25/01
ACB
Nymburk
#30
W
67-64
67
64
+3
66avg 74
A27/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
62avg 74
A31/01
ACB
Tenerife
#12
W
72-70
72
70
+2
64avg 74
H04/02
Champions League
Baskonia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
64avg 74
H08/02
ACB
Trieste
#26
W
94-70
94
70
+24
94avg 74
A11/02
Champions League
Granada
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 74
A14/02
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
89avg 74
H18/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 74
H08/03
ACB
Tenerife
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 74
A11/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
14-26
28-24
18-21
22-16
3-18
27-17
15-13
25-29
16-18
20-19
17-28
18-22
11-22
25-11
18-15
14-26
11-13
23-32
27-26
21-19
28-18
22-13
23-20
18-20
24-24
26-23
22-16
30-14
18-17
20-30
18-25
25-20
13-26
18-16
24-20
24-23
10-20
18-20
24-16
163.6Avg total
80.9Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.584.0163.5-4.533%
Season at home (11)78.483.8162.2-5.527%
Season away (10)80.784.2164.9-3.540%
Last 10 (10)80.982.7163.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)87.482.4169.8+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.282.0156.2-7.825%
vs Similar (14)81.183.1164.2-2.143%
vs Weaker (8)83.673.4157.0+10.288%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
MurciaGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/02
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/02
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A08/03
ACB
Reggiana
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
87.4Avg total
46.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.785.4+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.339.180.4+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)47.642.289.8+5.469%-
Last 10 (10)46.740.787.4+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.091.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.584.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (5)42.242.084.2+0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.640.185.7+5.470%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H25/01
ACB
Nymburk
#30
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A27/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A31/01
ACB
Tenerife
#12
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H04/02
Champions League
Baskonia
#3
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H08/02
ACB
Trieste
#26
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/02
Champions League
Granada
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/02
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/03
ACB
Tenerife
#12
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A11/03
Champions League
77.5Avg total
36.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.278.1-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.638.275.9-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)40.440.380.7+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.077.5-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.282.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.138.973.0-4.825%-
vs Similar (14)41.140.481.5+0.636%-
vs Weaker (8)40.037.477.4+2.662%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.9
53.2%
50.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.4
37.9%
42.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
74.7%15.1
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
50.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
42.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.4%
74.7%15.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWWWWWLWW
Gran Canaria
LLLWWLWLWL
#4
League position
#15
+3.2
Net rating
-0.9
101.3
Offensive rating
99.6
98.1
Defensive rating
100.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.9%
3-point %
33.5%
57.8%
Assist %
51.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 99.6Defence98.1 · 100.4Shooting54.8% · 52.5%3-point %37.9% · 33.5%Ball care13.3% · 13.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Murcia wins
5
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Gran Canaria v Murcia77-72
30/05/25Gran Canaria v Murcia69-76
01/12/24Murcia v Gran Canaria63-83
20/01/24Gran Canaria v Murcia91-80
21/10/23Murcia v Gran Canaria95-69
18/03/23Gran Canaria v Murcia107-89
17/12/22Murcia v Gran Canaria99-85
10/04/22Murcia v Gran Canaria86-75
27/12/21Gran Canaria v Murcia83-100
02/05/21Gran Canaria v Murcia91-81
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AReggiana85-84
08/03/26AValencia84-110
14/02/26HSan Pablo Burgos101-82
11/02/26ARostock89-82
07/02/26ABreogan106-95
03/02/26HTrefl Sopot92-66
01/02/26HBarcelona84-83
25/01/26AUnicaja88-92 OT
21/01/26ASzombathely80-75
18/01/26HBasket Zaragoza90-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26ATenerife76-79
08/03/26HReal Madrid80-82
18/02/26HBilbao97-98 OT
14/02/26AGranada90-83
11/02/26ATrieste94-70
08/02/26HBaskonia75-97
04/02/26HTenerife72-70
31/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra78-94
27/01/26ANymburk67-64
25/01/26HValencia80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%80%55%
Points / game88.987.889.9
Allowed / game83.880.686.6
Point differential+5.1+7.2+3.3
Avg total172.7168.4176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%27%40%
Points / game79.578.480.7
Allowed / game84.083.884.2
Point differential-4.5-5.5-3.5
Avg total163.5162.2164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2119290%92.282.4+9.8
2 Valencia2116576%95.981.0+14.8
3 Barcelona2115671%89.680.0+9.7
4 Baskonia2014670%93.087.2+5.8
5 Unicaja2215768%89.584.9+4.6
6 Murcia2114767%88.983.8+5.1
7 Joventut Badalona2113862%84.980.6+4.3
8 Tenerife2112957%87.084.4+2.5
9 Bilbao22121055%84.485.6-1.2
10 Basquet Girona21101148%86.990.0-3.2
11 Manresa2191243%84.992.0-7.1
12 Breogan2181338%89.693.6-4.0
13 Forca Lleida2181338%82.087.9-5.9
14 Gran Canaria2171433%79.584.0-4.5
15 MoraBanc Andorra2161529%85.493.4-8.0
16 Basket Zaragoza2261627%86.892.7-5.9
17 San Pablo Burgos2151624%87.792.4-4.7
18 Granada211205%79.791.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1522282287
Gran Canaria1515182876
← all games of the day
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