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Murcia vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-77
19-11 20-19 22-29 29-18
Position#6
Record18-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.8
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Palencia
Spain
Position#18
Record5-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game86.8
SpainACBRound 29· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Murcia v Palencia
13 Apr 2024
MUR90
PAL77
15 Oct 2010
MUR69
PAL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#13
L
78-79
78
79
-1
73avg 75
A05/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
75avg 75
H09/03
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 75
H12/03
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-81
94
81
+13
98avg 75
H16/03
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
60-64
60
64
-4
53avg 75
A20/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 75
A24/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
85avg 75
H31/03
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
98-72
98
72
+26
104avg 75
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 75
A06/04
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 75
A09/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
20-26
19-20
23-20
21-19
27-13
18-23
15-18
35-15
20-29
24-19
21-26
22-15
25-15
23-23
24-28
17-16
16-15
20-15
7-18
16-23
15-26
27-7
24-27
21-22
29-18
26-24
23-22
27-14
17-19
27-22
27-17
21-23
17-19
20-15
24-18
25-20
22-17
17-21
21-14
163.3Avg total
85.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.079.8163.8+4.364%
Season at home (14)86.675.8162.4+10.986%
Season away (14)81.483.7165.1-2.343%
Last 10 (10)85.977.4163.3+8.570%
Last 5 (5)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.074.5143.5-5.550%
vs Similar (7)81.785.9167.6-4.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.275.0161.2+11.285%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
83avg 71
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
94-102
94
102
-8
89avg 71
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
77-89
77
89
-12
50avg 71
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
83avg 71
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-111
93
111
-18
87avg 71
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 71
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
96-103
96
103
-7
84avg 71
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 71
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 71
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
44avg 71
A06/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
24-22
25-22
22-34
16-29
27-23
25-18
26-32
24-19
16-19
17-25
20-26
20-20
25-12
21-11
16-15
25-25
31-28
20-27
17-31
18-8
22-20
22-23
15-19
17-30
25-16
23-31
31-26
13-17
17-26
26-23
22-20
17-29
15-11
22-19
14-30
16-16
19-17
12-15
18-25
169.4Avg total
81.8Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.186.8164.9-8.718%
Season at home (14)76.379.9156.2-3.629%
Season away (14)79.993.6173.6-13.77%
Last 10 (10)81.887.6169.4-5.820%
Last 5 (5)76.884.2161.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.086.7164.7-8.717%
vs Similar (6)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Weaker (1)90.060.0150.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.7-5.7
MurciaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H09/03
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H12/03
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H16/03
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A24/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H31/03
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/04
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/04
Champions League
80.6Avg total
42.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.379.1+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.734.478.1+9.486%-
Last 30 away (16)40.239.880.0+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.780.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.282.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.535.066.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (7)38.343.081.3-4.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.535.179.7+9.485%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/04
ACB
80.8Avg total
40.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.679.8-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.637.675.2+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)39.046.185.1-7.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.480.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.073.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.341.980.2-3.535%-
vs Similar (6)38.342.080.3-3.750%-
vs Weaker (1)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.8
56.2%
53.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.8
35.1%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.916.9
73.8%
75.6%16.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.4
53.5%
53.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.7
35.1%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
75.6%14.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWWWLLWWWL
Palencia
LLLLWLWLLL
#6
League position
#18
+11.1
Net rating
-7.7
114.8
Offensive rating
108.0
103.8
Defensive rating
115.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.1%
3-point %
35.1%
64.2%
Assist %
60.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 108.0Defence103.8 · 115.7Shooting54.8% · 53.2%3-point %35.1% · 35.1%Ball care16.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds32.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Murcia   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Murcia wins
0
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Palencia v Murcia66-76
21/01/11Palencia v Murcia60-86
15/10/10Murcia v Palencia69-61
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24ALudwigsburg85-72
06/04/24AJoventut Badalona82-75
03/04/24HLudwigsburg98-72
31/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra99-86
24/03/24AValencia82-83
20/03/24AHapoel Holon60-64
16/03/24HObradoiro CAB94-81
12/03/24HAEK Athens100-89
09/03/24HBasquet Girona81-73
05/03/24APromitheas78-79
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24ABreogan65-73
30/03/24HTenerife68-89
24/03/24HReal Madrid78-86
17/03/24ABasket Zaragoza96-103
10/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra77-70
03/03/24AValencia93-111
10/02/24HGran Canaria82-58
03/02/24AJoventut Badalona77-89
28/01/24ABarcelona94-102
20/01/24HManresa88-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game84.086.681.4
Allowed / game79.875.883.7
Point differential+4.3+10.9-2.3
Avg total163.8162.4165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%71%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %18%29%7%
Points / game78.176.379.9
Allowed / game86.879.993.6
Point differential-8.7-3.6-13.7
Avg total164.9156.2173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja2823582%88.276.6+11.6
2 Real Madrid2823582%87.778.5+9.2
3 Barcelona2819968%87.880.4+7.4
4 Murcia28181064%84.079.8+4.3
5 Tenerife28181064%84.280.0+4.2
6 Gran Canaria28171161%84.181.2+2.8
7 Valencia28171161%82.981.0+1.9
8 Manresa28161257%83.883.6+0.2
9 Baskonia28151354%87.687.9-0.2
10 Joventut Badalona28141450%80.985.3-4.4
11 Bilbao28131546%79.480.8-1.3
12 Basket Zaragoza28111739%83.085.9-2.9
13 MoraBanc Andorra28101836%82.483.8-1.4
14 Basquet Girona28101836%80.286.1-5.8
15 Breogan2882029%73.879.4-5.6
16 Granada2882029%80.687.0-6.4
17 Obradoiro CAB2872125%80.485.3-4.9
18 Palencia2852318%78.186.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1920222990
Palencia1119291877
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