PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murcia vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 98-72
27-14 17-19 27-22 27-17
Position#2
Record9-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game73.3
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#26
Record8-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2023
Meetings · Murcia v Ludwigsburg
03 Apr 2024
MUR98
LUD72
29 Jan 2019
MUR73
LUD47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
91-78
91
78
+13
88avg 73
H11/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
66avg 73
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Manresa
#9
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 73
A02/03
ACB
Promitheas
#13
L
78-79
78
79
-1
73avg 73
A05/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
75avg 73
H09/03
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 73
H12/03
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-81
94
81
+13
98avg 73
H16/03
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
60-64
60
64
-4
53avg 73
A20/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 73
A24/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
85avg 73
H31/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
22-20
28-18
17-28
17-25
17-19
22-19
23-21
21-24
26-14
21-25
20-20
16-13
20-26
19-20
23-20
21-19
27-13
18-23
15-18
35-15
20-29
24-19
21-26
22-15
25-15
23-23
24-28
17-16
16-15
20-15
7-18
16-23
15-26
27-7
24-27
21-22
29-18
26-24
23-22
165.2Avg total
85.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.973.3157.2+10.675%
Season at home (6)90.373.7164.0+16.7100%
Season away (6)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)85.280.0165.2+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.080.6167.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.074.5143.5-5.550%
vs Similar (8)81.884.2166.0-2.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.875.6162.5+11.284%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
100-89
100
89
+11
90avg 74
A10/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
88avg 74
H14/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 74
A02/03
BBL
Dijon
#12
W
71-59
71
59
+12
70avg 74
H06/03
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 74
H09/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
91-93
91
93
-2
78avg 74
A12/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 74
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 74
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 74
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
60-94
60
94
-34
35avg 74
H31/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
24-22
23-23
25-22
24-24
24-16
21-28
22-26
19-19
21-27
18-19
28-7
13-16
12-16
18-13
28-14
22-23
19-20
21-22
25-27
18-28
24-26
23-24
26-15
23-18
21-22
20-20
22-22
25-31
24-21
17-11
15-22
18-26
30-16
29-15
21-22
22-29
18-23
8-20
12-22
169.0Avg total
85.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.779.2161.9+3.553%
Season at home (8)84.675.8160.4+8.975%
Season away (7)80.483.1163.6-2.729%
Last 10 (10)85.183.9169.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)83.286.6169.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.582.0158.5-5.550%
vs Similar (13)84.181.8165.8+2.354%
vs Weaker (15)88.778.5167.2+10.167%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
MurciaLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Manresa
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A02/03
ACB
Promitheas
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H09/03
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H12/03
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H16/03
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A24/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H31/03
ACB
80.6Avg total
42.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.579.4+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.835.379.1+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.779.6+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.980.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.882.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.535.066.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (8)37.942.480.2-4.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.035.480.4+9.689%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A10/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A02/03
BBL
Dijon
#12
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H06/03
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A12/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H31/03
BBL
87.4Avg total
42.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.884.4+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.138.983.0+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)40.845.586.3-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)42.944.587.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.648.092.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.536.074.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (13)42.244.386.5-2.231%-
vs Weaker (15)43.740.384.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.7
55.5%
51.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.8
35.1%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
74.5%16.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.3
49.1%
51.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.8
34.3%
34.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.915.3
81.0%
74.5%15.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLWWWLWLW
Ludwigsburg
LWLWLLWWLW
#2
League position
#26
+6.5
Net rating
+1.8
111.3
Offensive rating
110.9
104.8
Defensive rating
109.0
54.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.1%
3-point %
34.3%
59.0%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 110.9Defence104.8 · 109.0Shooting54.3% · 50.1%3-point %35.1% · 34.3%Ball care18.0% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.6% · 34.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
1
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
29/01/19Murcia v Ludwigsburg73-47
13/11/18Ludwigsburg v Murcia81-80
06/05/18Ludwigsburg v Murcia74-85
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra99-86
24/03/24AValencia82-83
20/03/24AHapoel Holon60-64
16/03/24HObradoiro CAB94-81
12/03/24HAEK Athens100-89
09/03/24HBasquet Girona81-73
05/03/24APromitheas78-79
02/03/24AManresa88-83
15/02/24AReal Madrid79-84
11/02/24HGranada91-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HUlm60-94
22/03/24ATubingen98-79
20/03/24HBonn81-85
15/03/24HBasketball Braunschweig86-82
12/03/24AGalatasaray91-93
09/03/24HBamberg87-92
06/03/24HDijon71-59
02/03/24AVechta86-72
14/02/24HWurzburg91-94
10/02/24ACrailsheim Merlins100-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.990.377.5
Allowed / game73.373.773.0
Point differential+10.6+16.7+4.5
Avg total157.2164.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL53%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game82.784.680.4
Allowed / game79.275.883.1
Point differential+3.5+8.9-2.7
Avg total161.9160.4163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja1210283%83.372.0+11.3
2 Murcia129375%83.973.3+10.6
3 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
4 Hapoel Jerusalem128467%83.276.6+6.6
5 Bonn128467%83.178.2+4.8
6 Tenerife128467%84.279.5+4.8
7 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
8 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
9 Promitheas149564%83.678.1+5.5
10 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
11 Hapoel Holon159660%77.176.6+0.5
12 Strasbourg159660%80.180.5-0.4
13 Dijon127558%82.077.6+4.4
14 Peristeri148657%80.681.4-0.8
15 Cholet1810856%81.783.5-1.8
16 Ludwigsburg158753%82.779.2+3.5
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
19 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Galatasaray147750%85.485.5-0.1
22 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
24 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
25 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
26 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
27 Karsiyaka157847%83.883.7+0.1
28 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
29 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
30 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
31 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
32 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
33 AEK Athens125742%84.882.9+1.9
34 Tofas156940%84.082.6+1.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2717272798
Ludwigsburg1419221772
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.