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Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-82
23-16 26-15 7-27 27-24
Position#4
Record15-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#6
Record16-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game79.6
SpainACBRound 26· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Valencia v Murcia
18 Oct 2026
VAL116
MUR93
08 Mar 2026
VAL110
MUR84
05 Apr 2025
VAL71
MUR86
25 May 2024
VAL77
MUR84
18 May 2024
VAL86
MUR96
24 Mar 2024
VAL83
MUR82
16 Oct 2022
VAL74
MUR75
18 Feb 2022
VAL83
MUR86
26 Sep 2021
VAL86
MUR91
20 Dec 2020
VAL89
MUR78
10 Mar 2019
VAL89
MUR65
01 Apr 2018
VAL73
MUR84
14 May 2017
VAL67
MUR70
22 Dec 2015
VAL65
MUR54
24 Jan 2015
VAL81
MUR63
14 Dec 2013
VAL88
MUR86
26 Jan 2013
VAL94
MUR96
24 Mar 2012
VAL87
MUR80
29 Dec 2009
VAL72
MUR67
26 Apr 2009
VAL83
MUR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 71
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
69avg 71
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
111-93
111
93
+18
103avg 71
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 71
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
97avg 71
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
88-118
88
118
-30
86avg 71
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
71avg 71
A17/03
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
70-68
70
68
+2
62avg 71
H20/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 71
A22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
15-17
16-19
29-23
17-23
22-25
16-32
21-15
20-18
12-26
25-21
17-22
25-25
28-31
27-20
31-17
18-18
24-19
15-22
21-29
27-20
22-20
20-18
28-17
19-22
18-35
24-28
27-33
20-23
29-25
16-21
23-23
28-15
17-22
12-19
13-12
15-25
19-13
20-19
24-22
172.5Avg total
84.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.280.2162.5+2.060%
Season at home (12)81.881.2163.0+0.758%
Season away (13)82.679.4162.0+3.262%
Last 10 (10)84.987.6172.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)84.286.4170.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.689.1165.7-12.60%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.477.8155.2-0.350%
vs Weaker (8)87.981.9169.8+6.062%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
W
96-76
96
76
+20
88avg 73
H03/02
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
84-79
84
79
+5
81avg 73
A06/02
Champions League
Granada
#17
W
91-78
91
78
+13
88avg 73
H11/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
66avg 73
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Manresa
#9
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 73
A02/03
ACB
Promitheas
#13
L
78-79
78
79
-1
73avg 73
A05/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
75avg 73
H09/03
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 73
H12/03
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-81
94
81
+13
98avg 73
H16/03
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
60-64
60
64
-4
53avg 73
A20/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
32-13
26-18
20-26
27-25
15-14
20-21
22-19
24-12
22-20
28-18
17-28
17-25
17-19
22-19
23-21
21-24
26-14
21-25
20-20
16-13
20-26
19-20
23-20
21-19
27-13
18-23
15-18
35-15
20-29
24-19
21-26
22-15
25-15
23-23
24-28
17-16
16-15
20-15
7-18
163.7Avg total
85.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.679.6163.2+4.064%
Season at home (13)85.775.0160.7+10.785%
Season away (12)81.384.5165.8-3.242%
Last 10 (10)85.178.6163.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)82.677.2159.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.074.5143.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.082.7162.7-2.743%
vs Weaker (20)86.174.2160.3+11.985%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
ValenciaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A14/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A17/03
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H20/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A22/03
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
41.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.280.0-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.742.382.0-2.629%-
Last 30 away (16)38.140.278.2-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.085.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.086.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.442.780.1-5.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.139.877.8-1.742%-
vs Weaker (8)42.442.484.8+0.038%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/02
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/02
Champions League
Granada
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Manresa
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A02/03
ACB
Promitheas
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H09/03
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H12/03
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H16/03
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/03
Champions League
79.9Avg total
43.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.578.3+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.934.277.1+8.881%-
Last 30 away (14)40.539.179.6+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.836.179.9+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.279.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.535.066.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.141.179.3-3.029%-
vs Weaker (20)44.534.679.1+9.990%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.0
54.5%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.5
37.3%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.315.1
74.4%
75.6%15.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.6
55.5%
53.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.816.5
75.7%
75.6%16.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLLWLWLLW
Murcia
LWWWLWLWWW
#4
League position
#6
-7.7
Net rating
+8.4
112.9
Offensive rating
111.0
120.6
Defensive rating
102.6
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
61.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.3%
3-point %
34.8%
65.8%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 111.0Defence120.6 · 102.6Shooting55.1% · 54.2%3-point %37.3% · 34.8%Ball care15.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds26.4% · 30.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Murcia v Valencia77-85 OT
19/04/23Murcia v Valencia90-82
16/10/22Valencia v Murcia74-75
27/03/22Murcia v Valencia71-72
18/02/22Valencia v Murcia83-86
26/09/21Valencia v Murcia86-91
30/04/21Murcia v Valencia66-80
20/12/20Valencia v Murcia89-78
10/03/19Valencia v Murcia89-65
07/10/18Murcia v Valencia68-81
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24AMonaco78-79
20/03/24HBayern70-68
17/03/24ABasquet Girona88-92
14/03/24AFenerbahce88-118
10/03/24AObradoiro CAB97-75
07/03/24HBarcelona78-88
03/03/24HPalencia111-93
29/02/24AVirtus Bologna74-87
17/02/24AReal Madrid76-95
15/02/24AGran Canaria89-81 OT
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24AHapoel Holon60-64
16/03/24HObradoiro CAB94-81
12/03/24HAEK Athens100-89
09/03/24HBasquet Girona81-73
05/03/24APromitheas78-79
02/03/24AManresa88-83
15/02/24AReal Madrid79-84
11/02/24HGranada91-78
06/02/24AAEK Athens84-79
03/02/24HBilbao96-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%58%62%
Points / game82.281.882.6
Allowed / game80.281.279.4
Point differential+2.0+0.7+3.2
Avg total162.5163.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%85%42%
Points / game83.685.781.3
Allowed / game79.675.084.5
Point differential+4.0+10.7-3.2
Avg total163.2160.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%69%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2623388%88.678.0+10.6
2 Unicaja2621581%87.476.5+10.9
3 Barcelona2516964%87.680.5+7.1
4 Murcia2516964%83.679.6+4.0
5 Tenerife26161062%84.481.2+3.2
6 Gran Canaria26161062%84.881.7+3.1
7 Valencia25151060%82.280.2+2.0
8 Manresa26151158%84.183.9+0.2
9 Baskonia25141156%86.886.9-0.1
10 Joventut Badalona25141156%81.385.1-3.8
11 Bilbao25101540%79.281.7-2.4
12 Basket Zaragoza26101638%82.085.6-3.6
13 Basquet Girona26101638%81.085.6-4.5
14 MoraBanc Andorra2691735%82.084.0-2.0
15 Obradoiro CAB2671927%80.384.7-4.3
16 Breogan2671927%74.179.9-5.8
17 Granada2671927%81.287.1-6.0
18 Palencia2652119%79.087.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia232672783
Murcia1615272482
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