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Murray State vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-64
39-28 42-36
Position#182
Record9-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#289
Record9-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Murray State v Illinois (Chi.)
29 Dec 2026
MURR v ILLI
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
MURR79
ILLI92
03 Feb 2026
MURR81
ILLI74
11 Feb 2025
MURR63
ILLI53
02 Jan 2024
MURR85
ILLI73
14 Jan 2023
MURR81
ILLI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
33-32
25-32
33-37
27-42
39-23
27-29
41-31
26-44
41-39
23-26
34-37
41-21
37-40
34-27
33-31
29-44
35-38
27-28
40-47
135.5Avg total
66.9Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.469.2139.6+1.253%
Season at home (7)69.662.4132.0+7.171%
Season away (10)71.073.9144.9-2.940%
Last 10 (10)66.968.6135.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)66.667.8134.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.373.7142.0-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.771.4139.1-3.743%
vs Weaker (17)74.961.9136.8+13.194%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
54-92
54
92
-38
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
45-79
45
79
-34
A31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
71-76 OT
71
76
-5
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
19-39
45-38
30-18
32-38
39-34
31-27
46-41
35-32
21-42
33-50
33-17
22-34
13-39
32-40
31-35
40-42
28-42
32-38
35-30
26-31
135.5Avg total
63.3Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)66.969.2136.2-2.350%
Season at home (10)70.064.8134.8+5.260%
Season away (8)63.174.8137.9-11.638%
Last 10 (10)63.372.2135.5-8.940%
Last 5 (5)60.472.6133.0-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)64.376.4140.7-12.115%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.166.9138.0+4.267%
vs Weaker (8)78.166.6144.8+11.5100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -4.2-4.2
Murray StateIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A11/01
NCAA
61.1Avg total
28.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.331.064.4+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.829.164.9+6.760%-
Last 30 away (15)30.932.963.8-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)28.832.361.1-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)30.829.260.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.733.263.8-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.333.763.0-4.429%-
vs Weaker (17)35.929.265.1+6.853%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A03/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
30-18
30
18
+12
A10/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
13-39
13
39
-26
A31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H11/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
29.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.566.6-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.931.166.1+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)31.335.867.1-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)29.533.763.2-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)28.032.660.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)28.436.564.8-8.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.131.268.3+5.978%-
vs Weaker (8)36.231.167.4+5.188%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23ANorthern Iowa67-75
07/01/23ADrake64-82
05/01/23HBradley67-58
01/01/23AEvansville78-61
30/12/22HSouthern Illinois57-63
22/12/22AMiddle Tenn. St.67-83
17/12/22HAustin Peay68-60
14/12/22HChicago State66-65
10/12/22ABellarmine58-69
04/12/22AValparaiso77-70 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23HDrake71-76 OT
07/01/23AIndiana State60-80
05/01/23HBelmont71-77
31/12/22ABradley45-79
29/12/22HIllinois State55-51
21/12/22ANorthwestern54-92
18/12/22HNortheastern81-73
14/12/22HPrairie View A&M70-61
10/12/22AWestern Michigan62-56
03/12/22ADrake64-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL53%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %53%71%40%
Points / game70.469.671.0
Allowed / game69.262.473.9
Point differential+1.2+7.1-2.9
Avg total139.6132.0144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%14%10%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game66.970.063.1
Allowed / game69.264.874.8
Point differential-2.3+5.2-11.6
Avg total136.2134.8137.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1813572%79.769.3+10.4
2 Drake1813572%72.763.8+8.9
3 Southern Illinois1813572%66.760.4+6.3
4 Bradley1812667%70.958.9+12.0
5 Belmont1812667%74.270.2+4.1
6 Northern Iowa179853%69.965.6+4.3
7 Murray State179853%70.469.2+1.2
8 Illinois (Chi.)189950%66.969.2-2.3
9 Illinois State1881044%66.968.2-1.2
10 Valparaiso1861233%67.673.9-6.3
11 Evansville1841422%61.173.9-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State394281
Illinois (Chi.)283664
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