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Murray State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-52
33-28 51-24
Position#102
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#112
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game82.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Murray State v Morehead State
02 Dec 2025
MURR84
MORE52
05 Mar 2022
MURR71
MORE67
29 Jan 2022
MURR77
MORE66
02 Jan 2021
MURR56
MORE61
15 Feb 2020
MURR85
MORE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
108-60
108
60
+48
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
96-95
96
95
+1
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
39-24
28-27
34-43
34-31
51-46
47-23
61-37
42-49
49-53
48-39
51-40
43-23
46-45
40-43
47-47
17-40
43-33
45-43
51-52
161.8Avg total
85.1Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.480.5169.9+8.962%
Season at home (5)95.475.8171.2+19.6100%
Season away (3)79.388.3167.7-9.00%
Last 10 (10)85.176.7161.8+8.460%
Last 5 (5)86.281.0167.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.673.0140.6-5.429%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.074.7149.7+0.350%
vs Weaker (9)80.770.3151.0+10.367%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#263
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A06/03
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
81-120
81
120
-39
A09/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A12/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
121-51
121
51
+70
H16/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-20
35-27
30-21
35-52
32-44
57-40
31-44
34-37
42-64
39-56
20-39
36-44
60-26
61-25
31-38
31-39
38-44
45-36
30-33
50-52
154.2Avg total
76.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.682.6162.2-3.038%
Season at home (2)105.067.5172.5+37.5100%
Season away (6)71.287.7158.8-16.517%
Last 10 (10)76.178.1154.2-2.040%
Last 5 (5)80.475.2155.6+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)62.572.2134.6-9.738%
vs Similar ◀ (12)65.068.6133.6-3.642%
vs Weaker (5)93.472.6166.0+20.880%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
Murray StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
17-40
17
40
-23
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H26/11
NCAA
72.6Avg total
37.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.566.4-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.232.968.2+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)30.234.164.4-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.934.772.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.735.064.7-5.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.334.968.2-1.643%-
vs Weaker (9)34.830.164.9+4.778%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#263
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A06/03
NCAA
Midway
#519
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
42-64
42
64
-22
A09/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A12/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H16/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A29/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
33.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.763.4-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.232.064.2+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)29.533.362.8-3.847%-
Last 10 (10)33.837.371.1-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.071.8-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)28.833.862.5-5.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)29.730.860.4-1.158%-
vs Weaker (5)38.234.873.0+3.440%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murray State wins
2
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HGeorge Washington96-95
25/11/25AMcNeese State60-73
24/11/25AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90
19/11/25HUALR89-68
15/11/25HNicholls State99-79
12/11/25ASMU Mustangs91-102
08/11/25HMiss. Valley St.108-60
03/11/25HNebraska O.85-77
08/03/25ABradley62-70
07/03/25HEvansville74-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AIU Indy80-85
23/11/25ALouisiana Monroe83-80
22/11/25AEast Tennessee St62-77
16/11/25HKentucky Christian121-51
12/11/25AClemson56-83
09/11/25AGeorgia81-120
08/11/25AWake Forest65-81
04/11/25HMidway89-84
06/03/25ALindenwood65-73
01/03/25AUT Martin59-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%100%0%
Points / game89.495.479.3
Allowed / game80.575.888.3
Point differential+8.9+19.6-9.0
Avg total169.9171.2167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%100%17%
Points / game79.6105.071.2
Allowed / game82.667.587.7
Point differential-3.0+37.5-16.5
Avg total162.2172.5158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont98189%83.168.9+14.2
2 Northern Iowa87188%74.055.4+18.6
3 Illinois State86275%78.966.0+12.9
4 Valparaiso75271%70.168.1+2.0
5 Drake96367%80.864.4+16.3
6 Murray State85362%89.480.5+8.9
7 Illinois (Chi.)74357%81.073.7+7.3
8 Indiana State95456%75.870.7+5.1
9 Southern Illinois84450%79.272.1+7.1
10 Bradley84450%75.671.0+4.6
11 Evansville83538%69.873.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin86275%76.465.1+11.2
2 Siu Edwardsville96367%76.865.6+11.2
3 Tennessee State85362%84.976.4+8.5
4 Lindenwood73443%74.778.4-3.7
5 Southern Indiana83538%76.076.5-0.5
6 Morehead State83538%79.682.6-3.0
7 Tennessee Tech83538%77.680.8-3.1
8 Southeast Missouri State93633%77.977.4+0.4
9 UALR72529%67.176.3-9.1
10 Eastern Illinois72529%60.477.1-16.7
11 Western Illinois92722%67.078.4-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State335184
Morehead State282452
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