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Nacional vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-61
20-22 21-14 26-8 19-17
Position#3
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#10
Record6-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game76.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nacional v Cordon
19 Feb 2026
NACI126
CORD75
17 Mar 2025
NACI85
CORD80
07 Dec 2024
NACI98
CORD83
06 May 2024
NACI81
CORD68
30 Apr 2024
NACI60
CORD73
01 Apr 2024
NACI69
CORD61
22 Jan 2024
NACI86
CORD61
12 Nov 2012
NACI70
CORD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 87
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
99-91
99
91
+8
82avg 87
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 87
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
89avg 87
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 87
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 87
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 87
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
111-61
111
61
+50
111avg 87
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 87
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
111-105 OT
111
105
+6
no box
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
22-22
27-32
18-24
29-33
23-28
18-13
29-17
30-20
17-26
18-22
12-29
17-8
26-23
21-24
12-21
18-18
24-13
13-28
23-27
29-14
15-24
18-25
22-20
24-17
34-12
14-26
22-27
32-13
31-25
25-14
23-9
16-24
30-13
32-21
21-21
18-26
25-30
36-21
19-21
180.5Avg total
93.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.983.0176.9+10.988%
Season at home (7)88.375.9164.1+12.486%
Season away (9)98.288.6186.8+9.789%
Last 10 (10)93.686.9180.5+6.770%
Last 5 (5)99.882.0181.8+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.881.3159.2-3.542%
vs Similar (8)87.884.8172.5+3.088%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)97.080.5177.5+16.590%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 63
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
67-75
67
75
-8
56avg 63
H26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
67-75
67
75
-8
61avg 63
A29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
62-78
62
78
-16
48avg 63
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
81-66
81
66
+15
72avg 63
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 63
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
74avg 63
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
78avg 63
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
70-87
70
87
-17
63avg 63
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
64-57
64
57
+7
58avg 63
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
17-20
14-18
12-20
19-16
24-19
12-26
12-14
19-17
16-25
20-19
12-14
18-24
17-16
13-18
14-20
25-20
21-19
18-17
17-10
27-22
21-15
22-18
10-16
19-20
16-28
23-15
17-15
22-30
17-24
15-15
29-28
14-27
18-23
22-18
16-19
18-13
25-11
13-19
8-14
147.0Avg total
71.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.676.1148.7-3.638%
Season at home (8)72.580.0152.5-7.538%
Season away (8)72.672.2144.9+0.438%
Last 10 (10)71.575.5147.0-4.030%
Last 5 (5)74.478.0152.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.087.7164.8-10.75%
vs Similar (7)75.672.1147.7+3.471%
vs Weaker (2)80.074.5154.5+5.550%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
NacionalCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
58-29
58
29
+29
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
89.9Avg total
48.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.486.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.841.687.5+4.262%-
Last 30 away (17)43.741.385.0+2.459%-
Last 10 (10)48.741.289.9+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)50.839.690.4+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.640.880.4-1.242%-
vs Similar (8)45.044.889.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)50.439.589.9+10.990%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
79.8Avg total
39.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.680.2+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.240.482.6+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.677.5+0.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.279.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.682.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.040.980.9-0.938%-
vs Similar (7)41.635.076.6+6.671%-
vs Weaker (2)44.542.086.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.5
53.3%
51.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.1
41.3%
33.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.614.5
70.4%
71.7%14.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.1
45.7%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.6
26.2%
33.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.612.7
64.8%
71.7%12.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWWLWLWL
Cordon
WLLLWWLLLL
#3
League position
#10
+8.5
Net rating
-5.0
115.5
Offensive rating
94.9
106.9
Defensive rating
99.9
56.8%
Effective FG%
43.3%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
41.3%
3-point %
26.2%
65.0%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 94.9Defence106.9 · 99.9Shooting56.8% · 43.3%3-point %41.3% · 26.2%Ball care17.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 31.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Nacional   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nacional wins
0
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
31/10/23Cordon v Nacional65-98
12/11/12Nacional v Cordon70-66
22/09/12Cordon v Nacional78-85
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24AAguada111-105 OT
16/01/24ATrouville99-79
13/01/24HGoes111-61
10/01/24ALarre Borges94-82
05/01/24AMalvin84-83
18/12/23AQuimsa78-86
17/12/23ASao Paulo89-84 OT
13/12/23HPenarol77-97
09/12/23ADefensor99-91
27/11/23ABigua94-101
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HUrupan64-57
12/01/24HHebraica y Macabi70-87
09/01/24HTrouville83-97
05/01/24AAguada75-78
20/12/23HGoes80-71
09/12/23HLarre Borges81-66
05/12/23AMalvin62-78
29/11/23ADefensor67-75
26/11/23HPenarol67-75
21/11/23ABigua66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %88%86%89%
Points / game93.988.398.2
Allowed / game83.075.988.6
Point differential+10.9+12.4+9.7
Avg total176.9164.1186.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game72.672.572.6
Allowed / game76.180.072.2
Point differential-3.6-7.5+0.4
Avg total148.7152.5144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1614288%84.970.2+14.7
2 Nacional1614288%93.983.0+10.9
3 Aguada1712571%87.781.1+6.6
4 Defensor1710759%80.878.6+2.1
5 Hebraica y Macabi169756%82.179.6+2.5
6 Malvin178947%82.180.4+1.7
7 Bigua178947%85.185.4-0.3
8 Cordon1661038%72.676.1-3.6
9 Trouville1761135%80.787.1-6.4
10 Goes1651131%80.087.0-7.0
11 Urupan1751229%75.882.6-6.8
12 Larre Borges1621412%77.091.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2021261986
Cordon221481761
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