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Cordon vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-67
19-19 18-18 29-17 20-13
Position#10
Record10-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game74.7
Cordon 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#3
Record16-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game80.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Cordon
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cordon v Nacional
03 Dec 2025
CORD90
NACI109
07 Feb 2025
CORD79
NACI86
09 May 2024
CORD66
NACI78
02 May 2024
CORD66
NACI72
15 Mar 2024
CORD86
NACI67
30 Oct 2023
CORD65
NACI98
21 Sep 2012
CORD78
NACI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cordon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
74avg 63
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
78avg 63
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
70-87
70
87
-17
63avg 63
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
64-57
64
57
+7
58avg 63
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
61-86
61
86
-25
52avg 63
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
67avg 63
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
67avg 63
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
68avg 63
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
72-57
72
57
+15
66avg 63
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 63
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
16-28
23-15
17-15
22-30
17-24
15-15
29-28
14-27
18-23
22-18
16-19
18-13
25-11
13-19
8-14
22-20
14-21
8-26
17-19
30-18
11-17
11-15
25-22
24-22
21-17
12-11
18-15
16-22
24-14
19-16
15-24
18-12
26-13
10-16
18-16
18-16
20-18
17-7
20-28
147.0Avg total
72.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.574.7147.2-2.245%
Season at home (11)73.377.9151.2-4.645%
Season away (11)71.771.5143.2+0.345%
Last 10 (10)72.674.4147.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)74.667.8142.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.284.5160.8-8.320%
vs Similar (8)75.170.2145.4+4.975%
vs Weaker (2)80.074.5154.5+5.550%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 82
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
no box
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
65avg 82
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 82
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
76avg 82
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
57avg 82
H22/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
71avg 82
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
80avg 82
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
108avg 82
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
67avg 82
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
24-22
20-17
20-19
21-14
9-13
17-19
12-13
14-24
16-14
17-22
21-19
9-15
22-32
21-24
24-22
20-23
18-20
18-13
22-16
17-19
16-20
11-18
21-15
16-16
28-27
14-26
16-20
26-23
17-22
12-14
24-19
17-21
21-25
27-22
22-19
20-23
14-19
16-17
25-29
160.1Avg total
77.6Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.980.8169.6+8.176%
Season at home (10)84.073.1157.1+10.980%
Season away (11)93.387.7181.0+5.573%
Last 10 (10)77.682.5160.1-4.940%
Last 5 (5)79.486.4165.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.085.8167.8-3.833%
vs Similar (11)83.384.8168.1-1.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.478.6171.0+13.885%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
CordonNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
77.9Avg total
39.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.279.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.483.1+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)38.936.775.6+2.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.677.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.875.4+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.939.580.4+1.455%-
vs Similar (8)41.933.875.6+8.175%-
vs Weaker (2)44.542.086.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H22/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A11/03
Champions League Americas
78.3Avg total
36.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.485.0+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.584.4+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)43.342.285.5+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.678.3-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.081.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.741.380.0-2.717%-
vs Similar (11)41.544.886.4-3.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.638.586.2+9.192%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.4
46.6%
51.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.9
29.5%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.011.3
66.5%
71.7%11.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.5
50.3%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.7
34.8%
33.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.213.3
73.1%
71.7%13.3
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cordon
WWLWWLWLLL
Nacional
LLWLLWLLWW
#10
League position
#3
-1.9
Net rating
-8.5
93.2
Offensive rating
101.3
95.1
Defensive rating
109.8
45.6%
Effective FG%
51.1%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.5%
3-point %
34.8%
61.2%
Assist %
73.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 101.3Defence95.1 · 109.8Shooting45.6% · 51.1%3-point %29.5% · 34.8%Ball care20.0% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 23.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Cordon   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cordon wins
4
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
23/01/24Nacional v Cordon86-61
31/10/23Cordon v Nacional65-98
12/11/12Nacional v Cordon70-66
22/09/12Cordon v Nacional78-85
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HMalvin75-69
09/02/24ATrouville72-57
06/02/24HDefensor74-76
31/01/24APenarol75-65
26/01/24HBigua77-72
23/01/24ANacional61-86
17/01/24HUrupan64-57
12/01/24HHebraica y Macabi70-87
09/01/24HTrouville83-97
05/01/24AAguada75-78
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-88
10/03/24AHalcones de Xalapa104-105 OT
06/03/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-78
02/03/24AUrupan74-89
22/02/24HDefensor65-72
12/02/24HQuimsa78-72
11/02/24ASao Paulo76-93
07/02/24APenarol68-79
03/02/24HBigua71-67 OT
29/01/24HSao Paulo86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeLWWLW45%
AwayLLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game72.573.371.7
Allowed / game74.777.971.5
Point differential-2.2-4.6+0.3
Avg total147.2151.2143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%9%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL76%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayWWWLL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game88.984.093.3
Allowed / game80.873.187.7
Point differential+8.1+10.9+5.5
Avg total169.6157.1181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%10%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2218482%81.970.1+11.8
2 Aguada2318578%89.180.5+8.6
3 Nacional2116576%88.980.8+8.1
4 Defensor2315865%81.078.3+2.7
5 Hebraica y Macabi2113862%83.980.5+3.4
6 Malvin24111346%81.881.0+0.8
7 Bigua24111346%84.484.0+0.4
8 Cordon22101245%72.574.7-2.2
9 Trouville2381535%80.685.3-4.7
10 Goes2581732%80.085.0-4.9
11 Urupan2471729%78.085.0-7.0
12 Larre Borges2432112%76.290.5-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cordon1918292086
Nacional1918171367
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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