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Nacional vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 85-80
22-23 24-15 21-21 18-21
Position#1
Record21-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game78.9
Nacional 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Cordon
Uruguay
Position#9
Record11-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game85.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Cordon
19 Feb 2026
NACI126
CORD75
17 Mar 2025
NACI85
CORD80
07 Dec 2024
NACI98
CORD83
06 May 2024
NACI81
CORD68
30 Apr 2024
NACI60
CORD73
01 Apr 2024
NACI69
CORD61
22 Jan 2024
NACI86
CORD61
12 Nov 2012
NACI70
CORD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 82
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
93avg 82
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
117-69
117
69
+48
128avg 82
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
121-65
121
65
+56
121avg 82
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 82
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
99avg 82
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
75avg 82
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
91avg 82
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 82
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
63avg 82
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
22-20
21-13
18-35
23-17
16-19
26-26
31-19
28-21
29-23
30-13
30-12
27-25
36-10
29-14
29-16
20-17
27-17
17-23
22-22
33-16
24-24
22-16
20-23
19-22
20-36
26-15
26-21
24-19
20-26
27-26
17-17
26-18
14-25
26-9
24-20
13-29
24-26
28-24
16-20
177.5Avg total
96.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)93.678.9172.5+14.788%
Season at home (12)93.178.7171.8+14.483%
Season away (12)94.279.2173.3+15.092%
Last 10 (10)96.081.5177.5+14.570%
Last 5 (5)92.688.0180.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)92.098.2190.2-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)92.578.0170.5+14.588%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
91avg 67
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
80avg 67
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
92-104
92
104
-12
82avg 67
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
67avg 67
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 67
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
85avg 67
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
60-82
60
82
-22
42avg 67
A28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
69avg 67
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
61avg 67
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 67
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
15-19
31-20
29-26
30-16
21-19
18-25
18-17
23-31
19-30
25-17
25-26
25-23
14-18
17-21
26-18
17-20
17-27
23-17
22-22
25-19
24-23
15-20
9-11
23-25
10-19
14-21
13-17
23-24
24-12
8-13
19-20
29-28
19-22
10-26
20-12
14-24
28-21
19-16
21-14
167.1Avg total
82.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.985.2168.1-2.446%
Season at home (11)83.282.9166.1+0.355%
Season away (13)82.687.2169.8-4.638%
Last 10 (10)82.884.3167.1-1.560%
Last 5 (5)78.481.6160.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.885.2163.0-7.426%
vs Similar (7)76.375.6151.9+0.771%
vs Weaker (4)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
NacionalCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
63-35
63
35
+28
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
88.4Avg total
46.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.541.387.8+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.188.0+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)46.141.587.6+4.760%-
Last 10 (10)46.142.388.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)46.051.297.2-5.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.639.786.3+6.969%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
86.4Avg total
42.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.644.086.7-1.431%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.644.784.3-5.121%-
Last 30 away (15)45.543.488.9+2.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.386.4-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.487.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)41.345.486.6-4.116%-
vs Similar (6)45.742.588.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (4)44.540.084.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 95.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.7
53.1%
51.5%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.5
35.7%
33.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.116.7
69.3%
71.7%16.7
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.2
47.6%
51.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.9
35.1%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.311.7
71.8%
71.7%11.7
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
LWWLWWWWWL
Cordon
WLWLWLWLWW
#1
League position
#9
+17.9
Net rating
-2.1
114.7
Offensive rating
103.0
96.9
Defensive rating
105.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
49.6%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.7%
3-point %
35.1%
62.6%
Assist %
51.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 103.0Defence96.9 · 105.1Shooting53.3% · 49.6%3-point %35.7% · 35.1%Ball care14.3% · 14.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 22.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Nacional   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Nacional wins
2
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Cordon v Nacional79-86
07/12/24Nacional v Cordon98-83
10/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-78 OT
06/05/24Nacional v Cordon81-68
03/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-72
30/04/24Nacional v Cordon60-73
02/04/24Nacional v Cordon69-61
16/03/24Cordon v Nacional86-67
23/01/24Nacional v Cordon86-61
31/10/23Cordon v Nacional65-98
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25AAguada81-99
10/03/25HPenarol90-72
05/03/25ABigua102-96 OT
13/02/25HAguada91-94
10/02/25HUrunday99-79
07/02/25ACordon86-79
03/02/25AUrupan121-65
30/01/25AWelcome117-69
27/01/25HDefensor96-81
23/01/25HTrouville77-81
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25AMalvin82-75
10/03/25ADefensor78-88
05/03/25HTrouville74-69
28/02/25AMalvin60-82
10/02/25AHebraica y Macabi98-94 OT
07/02/25HNacional79-86
04/02/25HBigua82-80
30/01/25HPenarol92-104
27/01/25AUrunday87-77
24/01/25HAguada96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL88%
HomeLWWLW83%
AwayWWWWL92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %88%83%92%
Points / game93.693.194.2
Allowed / game78.978.779.2
Point differential+14.7+14.4+15.0
Avg total172.5171.8173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW46%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %46%55%38%
Points / game82.983.282.6
Allowed / game85.282.987.2
Point differential-2.4+0.3-4.6
Avg total168.1166.1169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2421388%93.678.9+14.7
2 Aguada2419579%89.980.3+9.6
3 Penarol2418675%83.974.5+9.5
4 Malvin2415962%80.877.1+3.7
5 Defensor24121250%87.182.4+4.7
6 Cordon24111346%82.985.2-2.4
7 Bigua25111444%84.685.4-0.8
8 Hebraica y Macabi25111444%85.287.4-2.2
9 Urunday2591636%80.285.8-5.6
10 Urupan2591636%81.287.0-5.8
11 Welcome2571828%78.493.0-14.5
12 Trouville2542116%74.984.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2224211885
Cordon2315212180
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