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Nagasaki vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 97-61
27-23 21-15 28-15 21-8
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#26
Record3-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game83.1
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Akita
30 Dec 2026
NAGA v AKIT
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
NAGA97
AKIT61
15 Nov 2025
NAGA91
AKIT70
10 Nov 2024
NAGA54
AKIT55
09 Nov 2024
NAGA68
AKIT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
91-71
91
71
+20
80avg 75
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-67
91
67
+24
97avg 75
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 75
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 75
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 75
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
90avg 75
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
80avg 75
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 75
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 75
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
91-70
91
70
+21
87avg 75
H15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
22-16
31-17
13-11
26-20
17-17
23-23
25-7
25-19
18-21
28-16
20-17
18-19
31-8
25-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
19-21
26-15
20-24
23-24
29-18
28-30
27-25
21-26
25-23
18-22
22-18
29-29
24-21
20-19
21-26
23-21
30-15
12-18
26-20
23-17
23-17
19-16
171.8Avg total
92.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.377.8170.1+14.588%
Season at home (8)92.080.5172.5+11.588%
Season away (9)92.675.3167.9+17.289%
Last 10 (10)92.879.0171.8+13.890%
Last 5 (5)92.685.8178.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.984.2157.1-11.311%
vs Similar (3)80.775.3156.0+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.077.2168.2+13.889%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Shimane
#14
L
93-101
93
101
-8
90avg 65
H25/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
76-79
76
79
-3
72avg 65
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#6
L
50-69
50
69
-19
34avg 65
H29/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
66-65
66
65
+1
53avg 65
A01/11
B League
Shiga
#18
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 65
A02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
58-88
58
88
-30
45avg 65
H05/11
B League
Gunma
#5
L
48-81
48
81
-33
38avg 65
H08/11
B League
Gunma
#5
L
55-76
55
76
-21
45avg 65
H09/11
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
75-65
75
65
+10
69avg 65
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
64avg 65
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
24-24
21-30
26-24
21-20
24-22
11-14
20-23
15-18
12-21
13-26
10-4
17-21
20-15
8-19
21-10
17-28
19-30
18-19
19-12
18-19
13-31
14-18
13-20
12-23
11-26
14-20
11-12
9-17
16-26
12-14
18-19
22-23
23-18
19-8
11-16
20-26
17-23
17-23
16-19
146.8Avg total
66.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.883.1151.9-14.318%
Season at home (9)65.983.1149.0-17.211%
Season away (8)72.183.1155.2-11.025%
Last 10 (10)66.480.4146.8-14.020%
Last 5 (5)61.280.2141.4-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.581.0149.5-12.521%
vs Similar (3)70.369.7140.0+0.767%
vs Weaker (3)71.771.3143.0+0.367%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
NagasakiAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/11
B League
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.783.3+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.340.282.5+2.267%-
Last 30 away (18)42.841.183.9+1.844%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.046.093.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.740.976.6-5.211%-
vs Similar (3)41.040.381.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.440.787.1+5.778%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#14
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#6
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H29/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/11
B League
Shiga
#18
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H05/11
B League
Gunma
#5
L
23-49
23
49
-26
H08/11
B League
Gunma
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H09/11
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A15/11
B League
80.6Avg total
35.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.341.777.0-6.420%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.640.774.3-7.119%-
Last 30 away (14)37.142.980.0-5.721%-
Last 10 (10)35.245.480.6-10.230%-
Last 5 (5)32.246.478.6-14.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.243.678.8-8.312%-
vs Similar (3)34.033.067.0+1.067%-
vs Weaker (3)36.735.372.0+1.333%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.2
57.3%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.113.9
39.6%
33.7%41.7
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
73.1%11.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 66.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.1
45.0%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.5
27.2%
33.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.510.4
71.7%
73.1%10.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWLWWWWWW
Akita
LWLLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#26
+17.7
Net rating
-18.2
116.3
Offensive rating
90.6
98.6
Defensive rating
108.8
58.4%
Effective FG%
43.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.5%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.6%
3-point %
27.2%
71.0%
Assist %
71.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 90.6Defence98.6 · 108.8Shooting58.4% · 43.4%3-point %39.6% · 27.2%Ball care17.7% · 19.5%Off. rebounds29.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
4
Akita wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Nagasaki v Akita91-70
10/11/24Nagasaki v Akita54-55
09/11/24Nagasaki v Akita68-71
21/01/24Akita v Nagasaki88-79
20/01/24Akita v Nagasaki78-71
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HAkita91-70
12/11/25ANeoPhoenix86-80
09/11/25HDiamond Dolphins95-87
08/11/25HDiamond Dolphins91-96
05/11/25HOsaka100-96
02/11/25ABrave Thunders99-79
01/11/25ABrave Thunders93-71
29/10/25HKyoto91-73
26/10/25AToyama91-67
25/10/25AToyama91-71
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ANagasaki70-91
12/11/25HYokohama75-65
09/11/25HGunma55-76
08/11/25HGunma48-81
05/11/25HDiamond Dolphins58-88
02/11/25AShiga73-89
01/11/25AShiga66-65
29/10/25HChiba50-69
26/10/25HShimane76-79
25/10/25HShimane93-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%88%89%
Points / game92.392.092.6
Allowed / game77.880.575.3
Point differential+14.5+11.5+17.2
Avg total170.1172.5167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akita
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLLLW11%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %18%11%25%
Points / game68.865.972.1
Allowed / game83.183.183.1
Point differential-14.3-17.2-11.0
Avg total151.9149.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1715288%84.870.2+14.6
2 Nagasaki1715288%92.377.8+14.5
3 Chiba1815383%82.774.8+7.9
4 Utsunomiya Brex1814478%84.176.1+8.0
5 Hokkaido1814478%87.483.7+3.8
6 Gunma1812667%82.774.6+8.1
7 SeaHorses Mikawa1812667%84.279.3+4.9
8 Ryukyu1711665%84.076.5+7.5
9 Hiroshima D.1811761%87.781.9+5.8
10 Alvark1710759%77.577.9-0.4
11 Shimane1810856%83.481.2+2.3
12 Shiga189950%81.182.1-1.1
13 Osaka1881044%84.185.0-0.9
14 Koshigaya Alphas1881044%73.175.6-2.5
15 Sendai1881044%78.682.6-4.0
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya1881044%76.080.2-4.2
17 NeoPhoenix1871139%79.279.9-0.7
18 Saga1871139%81.284.7-3.4
19 Altiri Chiba1861233%80.684.1-3.5
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1861233%79.183.4-4.3
21 Yokohama1861233%79.284.1-4.9
22 Kyoto1751229%72.879.3-6.5
23 Toyama1851328%83.692.1-8.5
24 Akita1731418%68.883.1-14.3
25 Ibaraki Robots1831517%74.381.6-7.3
26 Brave Thunders1831517%74.784.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2721282197
Akita231515861
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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