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NeoPhoenix vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 80-86
26-21 21-23 15-30 18-12
Position#10
Record7-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#1
Record13-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game78.1
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki
02 Apr 2027
NEOP v NAGA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
NEOP95
NAGA87
24 Jan 2026
NEOP70
NAGA95
12 Nov 2025
NEOP80
NAGA86
06 Apr 2025
NEOP79
NAGA76
05 Apr 2025
NEOP95
NAGA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 81
A18/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
86-87
86
87
-1
83avg 81
A19/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-63
82
63
+19
82avg 81
H25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
79-63
79
63
+16
73avg 81
H26/10
B League
Saga
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
62avg 81
H29/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 81
A01/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
71-61
71
61
+10
68avg 81
A02/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 81
A05/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-92
69
92
-23
58avg 81
H08/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
74avg 81
H09/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
17-16
19-21
26-19
22-22
21-20
18-20
25-25
22-13
25-17
19-12
16-21
13-15
22-22
28-12
16-14
15-20
20-25
27-27
11-13
11-19
25-18
23-23
11-22
14-21
19-18
20-8
18-14
30-21
13-28
6-17
23-18
17-23
17-25
16-21
19-23
29-23
18-19
22-23
14-16
154.4Avg total
76.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.379.1158.4+0.347%
Season at home (8)81.077.5158.5+3.562%
Season away (7)77.480.9158.3-3.429%
Last 10 (10)76.478.0154.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)73.080.0153.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.086.5162.5-10.550%
vs Similar (7)80.685.7166.3-5.114%
vs Weaker (21)82.078.0160.0+4.062%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 74
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 74
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-71
91
71
+20
80avg 74
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-67
91
67
+24
97avg 74
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 74
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 74
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 74
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
90avg 74
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
80avg 74
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 74
H09/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
18-15
17-25
21-22
29-22
23-17
16-16
24-14
25-27
22-16
31-17
13-11
26-20
17-17
23-23
25-7
25-19
18-21
28-16
20-17
18-19
31-8
25-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
19-21
26-15
20-24
23-24
29-18
28-30
27-25
21-26
25-23
18-22
22-18
29-29
24-21
20-19
171.3Avg total
92.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.878.1170.9+14.787%
Season at home (7)92.182.0174.1+10.186%
Season away (8)93.474.8168.1+18.688%
Last 10 (10)92.878.5171.3+14.390%
Last 5 (5)95.685.8181.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.082.4155.4-9.418%
vs Similar (3)80.775.3156.0+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.377.4168.8+13.988%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
NeoPhoenixNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A18/10
B League
Sendai
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A19/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/10
B League
Saga
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H29/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A01/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A05/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H08/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H09/11
B League
79.8Avg total
38.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.883.0-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.983.1+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)40.342.783.0-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.179.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.081.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.545.085.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (7)39.444.183.6-4.714%-
vs Weaker (21)41.940.782.6+1.252%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
B League
88.1Avg total
47.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.782.5+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.440.881.2-0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)42.840.783.5+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)47.740.488.1+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)49.043.292.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.241.276.4-6.09%-
vs Similar (3)41.040.381.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.440.586.9+5.981%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.5
48.7%
53.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.1
31.5%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.813.3
63.9%
73.1%13.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.413.4
40.1%
33.7%40.2
🏀 Free throws17.913.0
72.6%
73.1%13.0
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
WLLWLLWWLL
Nagasaki
WLWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#1
-2.2
Net rating
+17.9
105.5
Offensive rating
116.6
107.7
Defensive rating
98.7
48.1%
Effective FG%
57.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.5%
3-point %
40.1%
74.8%
Assist %
72.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 116.6Defence107.7 · 98.7Shooting48.1% · 57.4%3-point %31.5% · 40.1%Ball care17.8% · 16.6%Off. rebounds37.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
NeoPhoenix wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki79-76
05/04/25NeoPhoenix v Nagasaki95-65
28/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24Nagasaki v NeoPhoenix75-98
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HRyukyu83-81
08/11/25HRyukyu69-92
05/11/25AHiroshima D.72-84
02/11/25AKyoto71-61
01/11/25AKyoto70-82
29/10/25HSaga73-85
26/10/25HBrave Thunders79-63
25/10/25HBrave Thunders82-63
19/10/25ASendai86-87
18/10/25ASendai79-82
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HDiamond Dolphins95-87
08/11/25HDiamond Dolphins91-96
05/11/25HOsaka100-96
02/11/25ABrave Thunders99-79
01/11/25ABrave Thunders93-71
29/10/25HKyoto91-73
26/10/25AToyama91-67
25/10/25AToyama91-71
19/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya92-69
18/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game79.381.077.4
Allowed / game79.177.580.9
Point differential+0.3+3.5-3.4
Avg total158.4158.5158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%86%88%
Points / game92.892.193.4
Allowed / game78.182.074.8
Point differential+14.7+10.1+18.6
Avg total170.9174.1168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%43%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba1514193%84.272.3+11.9
2 Nagasaki1513287%92.878.1+14.7
3 Diamond Dolphins1513287%86.072.2+13.8
4 Utsunomiya Brex1512380%85.177.9+7.2
5 Hokkaido1511473%86.182.9+3.2
6 Ryukyu159660%82.975.9+7.0
7 Gunma159660%81.375.2+6.1
8 SeaHorses Mikawa159660%84.579.3+5.3
9 Hiroshima D.159660%88.183.8+4.3
10 Shimane159660%81.179.3+1.8
11 Alvark159660%79.578.7+0.8
12 Shiga158753%81.381.9-0.7
13 NeoPhoenix157847%79.379.1+0.3
14 Sendai157847%79.381.8-2.5
15 Osaka156940%81.983.2-1.3
16 Altiri Chiba156940%80.783.9-3.3
17 Koshigaya Alphas156940%70.774.4-3.7
18 Saga156940%80.784.3-3.7
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya156940%75.381.6-6.3
20 Yokohama1551033%80.384.5-4.3
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1551033%79.183.7-4.6
22 Kyoto1551033%74.079.0-5.0
23 Toyama1551033%82.289.6-7.4
24 Ibaraki Robots1521313%74.481.5-7.1
25 Brave Thunders1521313%75.586.7-11.1
26 Akita1521313%68.383.8-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NeoPhoenix2621151880
Nagasaki2123301286
← all games of the day
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