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Nagasaki vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 91-70
26-20 23-17 23-17 19-16
Position#1
Record14-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#26
Record3-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game82.6
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Akita
30 Dec 2026
NAGA v AKIT
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
NAGA97
AKIT61
15 Nov 2025
NAGA91
AKIT70
10 Nov 2024
NAGA54
AKIT55
09 Nov 2024
NAGA68
AKIT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 74
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-71
91
71
+20
80avg 74
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-67
91
67
+24
97avg 74
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 74
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 74
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 74
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
90avg 74
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
80avg 74
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 74
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 74
A12/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
23-17
16-16
24-14
25-27
22-16
31-17
13-11
26-20
17-17
23-23
25-7
25-19
18-21
28-16
20-17
18-19
31-8
25-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
19-21
26-15
20-24
23-24
29-18
28-30
27-25
21-26
25-23
18-22
22-18
29-29
24-21
20-19
21-26
23-21
30-15
12-18
171.8Avg total
92.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)92.478.2170.6+14.188%
Season at home (7)92.182.0174.1+10.186%
Season away (9)92.675.3167.9+17.289%
Last 10 (10)92.978.9171.8+14.090%
Last 5 (5)94.287.6181.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.382.3155.6-9.020%
vs Similar (3)80.775.3156.0+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.077.6168.6+13.488%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
50avg 65
H19/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
93-101
93
101
-8
90avg 65
H25/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
76-79
76
79
-3
72avg 65
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#6
L
50-69
50
69
-19
34avg 65
H29/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
66-65
66
65
+1
53avg 65
A01/11
B League
Shiga
#18
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 65
A02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
58-88
58
88
-30
45avg 65
H05/11
B League
Gunma
#5
L
48-81
48
81
-33
38avg 65
H08/11
B League
Gunma
#5
L
55-76
55
76
-21
45avg 65
H09/11
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
75-65
75
65
+10
69avg 65
H12/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-21
14-21
18-31
22-23
24-24
21-30
26-24
21-20
24-22
11-14
20-23
15-18
12-21
13-26
10-4
17-21
20-15
8-19
21-10
17-28
19-30
18-19
19-12
18-19
13-31
14-18
13-20
12-23
11-26
14-20
11-12
9-17
16-26
12-14
18-19
22-23
23-18
19-8
11-16
146.5Avg total
66.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)68.882.6151.4-13.919%
Season at home (9)65.983.1149.0-17.211%
Season away (7)72.482.0154.4-9.629%
Last 10 (10)66.380.2146.5-13.920%
Last 5 (5)61.879.8141.6-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.480.6149.0-12.222%
vs Similar (3)70.369.7140.0+0.767%
vs Weaker (4)73.573.5147.0+0.050%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
NagasakiAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/11
B League
89.6Avg total
47.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.682.7+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.040.081.0+1.058%-
Last 30 away (18)42.841.183.9+1.844%-
Last 10 (10)47.442.289.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.047.295.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.440.375.7-4.910%-
vs Similar (3)41.040.381.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.240.987.1+5.476%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H19/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#6
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H29/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/11
B League
Shiga
#18
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H05/11
B League
Gunma
#5
L
23-49
23
49
-26
H08/11
B League
Gunma
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H09/11
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H12/11
B League
79.4Avg total
35.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.541.276.8-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.640.774.3-7.119%-
Last 30 away (14)37.741.979.6-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)35.244.279.4-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.048.280.2-16.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.243.378.5-8.213%-
vs Similar (3)34.033.067.0+1.067%-
vs Weaker (4)38.835.274.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.1
55.4%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.113.7
40.2%
33.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws17.512.6
72.0%
73.1%12.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.217.9
44.5%
53.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.6
27.4%
33.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws14.610.6
72.6%
73.1%10.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWLWWWWWWW
Akita
WLLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#26
+17.5
Net rating
-17.7
116.6
Offensive rating
91.4
99.1
Defensive rating
109.1
57.8%
Effective FG%
43.2%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.2%
3-point %
27.4%
73.2%
Assist %
69.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 91.4Defence99.1 · 109.1Shooting57.8% · 43.2%3-point %40.2% · 27.4%Ball care16.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds28.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
4
Akita wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Nagasaki v Akita54-55
09/11/24Nagasaki v Akita68-71
21/01/24Akita v Nagasaki88-79
20/01/24Akita v Nagasaki78-71
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ANeoPhoenix86-80
09/11/25HDiamond Dolphins95-87
08/11/25HDiamond Dolphins91-96
05/11/25HOsaka100-96
02/11/25ABrave Thunders99-79
01/11/25ABrave Thunders93-71
29/10/25HKyoto91-73
26/10/25AToyama91-67
25/10/25AToyama91-71
19/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya92-69
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HYokohama75-65
09/11/25HGunma55-76
08/11/25HGunma48-81
05/11/25HDiamond Dolphins58-88
02/11/25AShiga73-89
01/11/25AShiga66-65
29/10/25HChiba50-69
26/10/25HShimane76-79
25/10/25HShimane93-101
19/10/25HRyukyu69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %88%86%89%
Points / game92.492.192.6
Allowed / game78.282.075.3
Point differential+14.1+10.1+17.2
Avg total170.6174.1167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%43%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akita
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeLLLLW11%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %19%11%29%
Points / game68.865.972.4
Allowed / game82.683.182.0
Point differential-13.9-17.2-9.6
Avg total151.4149.0154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1715288%84.870.2+14.6
2 Chiba1715288%83.573.9+9.5
3 Nagasaki1614288%92.478.2+14.1
4 Utsunomiya Brex1713476%83.876.5+7.3
5 Hokkaido1713476%86.983.8+3.1
6 Gunma1711665%81.574.4+7.1
7 SeaHorses Mikawa1711665%85.079.9+5.1
8 Ryukyu1610662%83.676.6+7.0
9 Hiroshima D.1710759%87.882.0+5.8
10 Shimane1710759%83.680.2+3.4
11 Alvark1710759%77.577.9-0.4
12 Shiga178947%80.582.9-2.5
13 Sendai178947%78.582.4-3.9
14 Sun Rockers Shibuya167944%75.280.2-5.0
15 NeoPhoenix1771041%79.179.7-0.6
16 Osaka1771041%83.384.6-1.3
17 Koshigaya Alphas1771041%72.575.4-2.8
18 Saga1661038%81.485.0-3.6
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1761135%79.282.2-3.1
20 Altiri Chiba1761135%81.384.9-3.6
21 Yokohama1761135%79.983.7-3.8
22 Kyoto1651131%72.678.6-5.9
23 Toyama1751229%83.191.8-8.7
24 Akita1631319%68.882.6-13.9
25 Ibaraki Robots1731418%74.381.6-7.4
26 Brave Thunders1721512%74.485.4-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2623231991
Akita2017171670
← all games of the day
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