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Nagasaki vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 10:15
Final 100-96
20-24 23-24 29-18 28-30
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#17
Record5-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game81.7
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Osaka
17 Feb 2027
NAGA v OSAK
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
NAGA100
OSAK96
23 Oct 2024
NAGA81
OSAK79
28 Apr 2024
NAGA84
OSAK66
27 Apr 2024
NAGA85
OSAK87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
67avg 72
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 72
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
107-82
107
82
+25
107avg 72
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 72
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 72
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-71
91
71
+20
80avg 72
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-67
91
67
+24
97avg 72
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 72
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 72
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 72
A02/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
28-16
19-15
14-15
22-16
19-20
20-17
24-20
22-16
20-25
35-22
30-19
29-14
18-15
17-25
21-22
29-22
23-17
16-16
24-14
25-27
22-16
31-17
13-11
26-20
17-17
23-23
25-7
25-19
18-21
28-16
20-17
18-19
31-8
25-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
19-21
26-15
163.8Avg total
91.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.274.4166.6+17.892%
Season at home (4)89.873.8163.5+16.0100%
Season away (8)93.474.8168.1+18.688%
Last 10 (10)91.072.8163.8+18.2100%
Last 5 (5)93.072.2165.2+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.581.3154.8-7.823%
vs Similar (4)79.876.0155.8+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.473.8164.2+16.592%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
66-85
66
85
-19
54avg 76
A11/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
65avg 76
A12/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
87-73
87
73
+14
77avg 76
A15/10
B League
Shiga
#18
L
70-71
70
71
-1
60avg 76
A18/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 76
A19/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
97-102
97
102
-5
95avg 76
H25/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
83-73
83
73
+10
72avg 76
H26/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 76
H29/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
84-69
84
69
+15
83avg 76
H01/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 76
H02/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
12-18
25-29
6-16
12-27
20-23
24-18
14-19
17-22
36-16
18-20
16-15
26-15
19-21
16-20
9-15
24-11
21-17
14-25
21-19
32-19
25-31
11-29
29-23
24-22
22-10
19-12
18-29
19-15
19-27
19-19
21-21
18-18
19-19
18-17
29-15
18-30
14-23
22-24
28-25
161.3Avg total
79.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.681.7162.2-1.142%
Season at home (7)84.984.6169.4+0.343%
Season away (5)74.677.6152.2-3.040%
Last 10 (10)79.781.6161.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)84.885.6170.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.083.9155.9-11.922%
vs Similar (18)83.985.8169.7-1.844%
vs Weaker (3)90.789.3180.0+1.367%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
NagasakiOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
B League
83.3Avg total
46.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.480.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.838.877.6+0.064%-
Last 30 away (19)42.539.782.3+2.847%-
Last 10 (10)46.137.283.3+8.9100%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.085.2+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.039.775.7-3.715%-
vs Similar (4)41.841.082.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.238.684.8+7.592%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A12/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A15/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A18/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A19/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H25/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H29/10
B League
Hokkaido
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H01/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H02/11
B League
82.6Avg total
42.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.984.8-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.243.788.9+1.564%-
Last 30 away (16)38.942.281.2-3.344%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.682.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.884.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.343.077.3-8.711%-
vs Similar (18)44.142.686.7+1.667%-
vs Weaker (3)51.045.096.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.5
55.7%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.214.3
40.6%
33.7%42.9
🏀 Free throws14.310.1
70.6%
73.1%10.1
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.4
51.4%
53.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.4
27.6%
33.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.7%
73.1%13.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWWWWWWWW
Osaka
LWLWLWLWLL
#1
League position
#17
+23.2
Net rating
-2.5
115.9
Offensive rating
105.5
92.8
Defensive rating
108.1
58.4%
Effective FG%
47.5%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.6%
3-point %
27.6%
73.8%
Assist %
67.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 105.5Defence92.8 · 108.1Shooting58.4% · 47.5%3-point %40.6% · 27.6%Ball care17.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.6% · 36.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nagasaki wins
3
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
04/05/25Osaka v Nagasaki76-85
03/05/25Osaka v Nagasaki72-89
12/03/25Osaka v Nagasaki70-83
23/10/24Nagasaki v Osaka81-79
28/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka84-66
27/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka85-87
24/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki90-72
23/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki97-95
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25ABrave Thunders99-79
01/11/25ABrave Thunders93-71
29/10/25HKyoto91-73
26/10/25AToyama91-67
25/10/25AToyama91-71
19/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya92-69
18/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya85-76
15/10/25HSeaHorses Mikawa107-82
11/10/25HSaga85-73
10/10/25HSaga76-67
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HHokkaido82-102
01/11/25HHokkaido84-69
29/10/25HShimane78-82
26/10/25HHiroshima D.83-73
25/10/25HHiroshima D.97-102
19/10/25AShiga80-72
18/10/25AShiga70-71
15/10/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles87-73
12/10/25ADiamond Dolphins70-87
11/10/25ADiamond Dolphins66-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %92%100%88%
Points / game92.289.893.4
Allowed / game74.473.874.8
Point differential+17.8+16.0+18.6
Avg total166.6163.5168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osaka
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%43%40%
Points / game80.684.974.6
Allowed / game81.784.677.6
Point differential-1.1+0.3-3.0
Avg total162.2169.4152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%85.269.0+16.2
2 Chiba1312192%83.872.2+11.6
3 Nagasaki1211192%92.274.4+17.8
4 Utsunomiya Brex1311285%85.876.5+9.3
5 Shimane139469%82.478.2+4.2
6 Hokkaido139469%83.781.6+2.1
7 Hiroshima D.138562%88.384.4+3.9
8 Alvark138562%79.777.5+2.2
9 Shiga138562%79.878.9+0.8
10 Ryukyu127558%81.775.5+6.2
11 SeaHorses Mikawa137654%83.680.2+3.4
12 Gunma137654%81.778.8+2.8
13 Sendai137654%80.380.5-0.2
14 NeoPhoenix136746%79.877.9+1.9
15 Osaka125742%80.681.7-1.1
16 Koshigaya Alphas135838%70.074.4-4.4
17 Saga135838%80.284.6-4.5
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya135838%73.682.1-8.5
19 Toyama124833%80.888.3-7.6
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles134931%79.885.0-5.2
21 Yokohama134931%77.883.5-5.7
22 Altiri Chiba134931%78.585.5-7.0
23 Kyoto1331023%73.180.2-7.2
24 Ibaraki Robots1321115%74.981.7-6.8
25 Brave Thunders1321115%75.885.5-9.6
26 Akita1321115%70.984.6-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki20232928100
Osaka2424183096
← all games of the day
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