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Nagasaki vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 91-73
25-19 18-21 28-16 20-17
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#20
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game81.1
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Kyoto
13 Apr 2027
NAGA v KYOT
upcoming
03 May 2026
NAGA63
KYOT84
02 May 2026
NAGA105
KYOT94
29 Oct 2025
NAGA91
KYOT73
27 Apr 2025
NAGA66
KYOT79
26 Apr 2025
NAGA71
KYOT87
17 Jan 2024
NAGA75
KYOT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 71
A04/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
94-97
94
97
-3
82avg 71
A04/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
102-68
102
68
+34
92avg 71
A05/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
67avg 71
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 71
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
107-82
107
82
+25
107avg 71
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 71
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 71
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-71
91
71
+20
80avg 71
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-67
91
67
+24
97avg 71
A26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
18-25
22-17
20-15
30-28
20-27
27-25
17-17
31-21
18-18
34-13
19-16
15-21
28-16
19-15
14-15
22-16
19-20
20-17
24-20
22-16
20-25
35-22
30-19
29-14
18-15
17-25
21-22
29-22
23-17
16-16
24-14
25-27
22-16
31-17
13-11
26-20
17-17
23-23
25-7
165.4Avg total
90.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.474.4165.9+17.089%
Season at home (3)89.374.0163.3+15.3100%
Season away (6)92.574.7167.2+17.883%
Last 10 (10)90.874.6165.4+16.290%
Last 5 (5)93.273.0166.2+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.581.3154.8-7.823%
vs Similar (7)83.175.7158.9+7.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.273.7162.9+15.590%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
76-71
76
71
+5
71avg 78
H04/05
B League
Toyama
#24
W
94-85
94
85
+9
93avg 78
H04/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 78
H05/10
B League
Shiga
#18
L
71-92
71
92
-21
62avg 78
A12/10
B League
Shiga
#18
L
64-72
64
72
-8
57avg 78
A13/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
57-82
57
82
-25
53avg 78
H15/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
62-64
62
64
-2
59avg 78
A18/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
73-67
73
67
+6
65avg 78
A19/10
B League
Alvark
#8
L
72-78
72
78
-6
66avg 78
H25/10
B League
Alvark
#8
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 78
H26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
28-16
18-11
18-21
23-15
24-18
26-31
21-21
28-23
21-28
20-17
22-28
17-24
17-15
19-22
18-31
14-11
18-21
17-18
15-22
12-18
21-22
15-20
9-22
15-17
9-16
20-19
18-12
25-14
25-25
10-11
13-17
17-20
19-12
20-26
16-20
20-21
22-14
9-33
22-26
153.4Avg total
73.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.081.1154.1-8.122%
Season at home (5)77.487.0164.4-9.620%
Season away (4)67.573.8141.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)73.380.1153.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)67.477.0144.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.088.8167.8-9.825%
vs Similar (12)81.283.9165.2-2.733%
vs Weaker (10)82.472.7155.1+9.790%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -4.8-4.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -4.8-4.8
NagasakiKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A04/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A04/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A05/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
B League
85.7Avg total
45.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.881.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.739.078.7+0.764%-
Last 30 away (19)42.140.382.3+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.085.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.237.884.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.039.775.7-3.715%-
vs Similar (7)44.940.985.7+4.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.439.284.6+6.290%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H04/05
B League
Toyama
#24
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H05/10
B League
Shiga
#18
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/10
B League
Shiga
#18
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H15/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A18/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A19/10
B League
Alvark
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H25/10
B League
Alvark
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/10
B League
76.0Avg total
38.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.281.4-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.341.582.8-0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)38.840.879.6-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.376.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.872.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.144.484.5-4.238%-
vs Similar (12)40.842.182.8-1.317%-
vs Weaker (10)39.637.677.2+2.090%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.6
53.6%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.213.5
38.4%
33.7%40.5
🏀 Free throws16.211.9
73.5%
73.1%11.9
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.2
49.6%
53.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
33.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.611.8
57.3%
73.1%11.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWWWWWWLW
Kyoto
LLWLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#20
+20.1
Net rating
-9.1
115.2
Offensive rating
99.5
95.1
Defensive rating
108.6
55.6%
Effective FG%
49.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.4%
3-point %
32.0%
68.5%
Assist %
75.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 99.5Defence95.1 · 108.6Shooting55.6% · 49.0%3-point %38.4% · 32.0%Ball care17.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nagasaki wins
5
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto66-79
26/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto71-87
23/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki63-84
22/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki88-68
06/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki102-105 OT
05/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki65-82
10/04/24Kyoto v Nagasaki82-78
17/01/24Nagasaki v Kyoto75-81
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25AToyama91-67
25/10/25AToyama91-71
19/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya92-69
18/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya85-76
15/10/25HSeaHorses Mikawa107-82
11/10/25HSaga85-73
10/10/25HSaga76-67
05/10/25AAltiri Chiba102-68
04/10/25AAltiri Chiba94-97
04/05/25AOsaka85-76
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HAlvark73-94
25/10/25HAlvark72-78
19/10/25AKoshigaya Alphas73-67
18/10/25AKoshigaya Alphas62-64
15/10/25HHiroshima D.57-82
13/10/25AShiga64-72
12/10/25AShiga71-92
05/10/25HToyama91-96
04/10/25HToyama94-85
04/05/25HShiga76-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %89%100%83%
Points / game91.489.392.5
Allowed / game74.474.074.7
Point differential+17.0+15.3+17.8
Avg total165.9163.3167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kyoto
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game73.077.467.5
Allowed / game81.187.073.8
Point differential-8.1-9.6-6.2
Avg total154.1164.4141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba990100%87.473.6+13.9
2 Nagasaki98189%91.474.4+17.0
3 Diamond Dolphins98189%84.470.0+14.4
4 Utsunomiya Brex97278%86.877.2+9.6
5 Hiroshima D.96367%93.085.7+7.3
6 Shimane96367%86.481.4+5.0
7 Hokkaido96367%83.284.3-1.1
8 Ryukyu95456%84.277.8+6.4
9 NeoPhoenix95456%83.677.9+5.7
10 Alvark95456%77.476.0+1.4
11 Shiga95456%80.181.6-1.4
12 Sendai95456%79.981.6-1.7
13 Gunma94544%79.977.9+2.0
14 SeaHorses Mikawa94544%83.782.7+1.0
15 Osaka94544%80.380.8-0.4
16 Saga94544%82.385.7-3.3
17 Yokohama94544%77.181.0-3.9
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya94544%75.982.2-6.3
19 Altiri Chiba94544%80.087.7-7.7
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles93633%80.284.8-4.6
21 Koshigaya Alphas93633%70.276.8-6.6
22 Toyama93633%80.489.8-9.3
23 Kyoto92722%73.081.1-8.1
24 Ibaraki Robots91811%73.081.2-8.2
25 Brave Thunders91811%76.484.9-8.4
26 Akita91811%75.087.7-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2518282091
Kyoto1921161773
← all games of the day
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